Polls,coalition signals and strategic voting: An experimental investigation of perceptions and effects

Polls and coalition signals can help strategic voters in multiparty systems with proportional representation and coalition governments to optimise their vote decision. Using a laboratory experiment embedded in two real election campaigns, this study focuses on voters' attention to and perception of polls and coalition signals. The manipulation of polls and coalition signals allows a causal test of their influence on strategic voting in a realistic environment. The findings suggest that active information acquisition to form fairly accurate perceptions of election outcomes can compensate for the advantage of high political sophistication. The theory of strategic voting is supported by the evidence, but only for a small number of voters. Most insincere vote decisions are explained by other factors. Thus, the common practice to consider all insincere voters as strategic is misleading.     

新时期学生干部在新疆高校维稳中的作用研究——以抵御“三股势力”为视角

目前新疆高校在抵御"三股势力"维护高校稳定中存在许多问题也面临诸多挑战。学生干部在日常学习生活中和校园群体性事件中都可以发挥能动的维稳作用,这有利于新疆高校维稳工作由被动维稳转变为主动维稳。学生干部参与新疆高校维稳作用的发挥应从加强对学生干部的思想教育工作、维稳技能的培训、建立通畅的维稳信息沟通渠道、建立维稳长效激励机制几个方面进行积极探索。     

加强法治建设是首都维稳工作的重要途径

维稳越来越成为地方政府的重要任务。针对首都维稳呈现的重人治轻法治的现象,提出必须加强法治建设才能实现彻底维稳。建议采取强化立法、完善行政法律解释体系、强化监督、对疑难信访案件公信听证等措施,推进法治以预防和化解矛盾,实现法治状态下的长期稳定。     

新时期和谐警民关系的建构与完善

和谐的警民关系建设是和谐社会建设的重要组成部分,是做好新形势下社会稳定工作的根本保证。从这个意义出发,新时期建构与完善和谐的警民关系是公安机关的政治责任、法律责任、公共责任和社会责任。公安机关必须正视当前影响警民关系的不和谐因素和原因,不断建构和完善新时期的和谐警民关系：树立和谐警民关系理念;增强做群众工作的意识和水平;提高执法办案的能力和要求;正确行使警察权、严格规范非警务活动;注重社区警务建设;强化警察公共关系建设。     

转型期维护社会稳定的法治路径

法治在维护社会稳定中占据重要的地位,应对转型期社会稳定面临的严峻形势,应当进一步发挥法治在调整人们行为中的权威作用,推动社会活动在法治的轨道上运行.拓宽转型期维护社会稳定的法治路径,应当以弱势群体发展权益的保障为基础,以清除各种形式的垄断和歧视为重心,建立科学化的法律干预手段,扩大制度中表达、传输意见和利益主张的路径、...     

Stability of Morphine,Codeine, and 6‐Acetylmorphine in Blood at Different Sampling and Storage Conditions

The stability of drugs in biological specimens is a major concern during the evaluation of the toxicological results. The stability of morphine, codeine, and 6‐acetyl‐morphine in blood was studied after different sampling conditions: (i) in glass, polypropylene or polystyrene tubes, (ii) with addition of dipotassium ethylene diamine tetraacetic acid (K₂EDTA) or sodium oxalate (Na₂C₂O₄), and (iii) with or without the addition of sodium fluoride (NaF). Spiked blood samples were stored at two different temperatures (4 and ?20^°C), analyzed after different storage times and after three freeze–thaw cycles. Opiate concentrations were decreased in all conditions, but the most unstable was 6‐acetyl‐morphine. The addition of NaF as preservative improved the stability of opiates at all conditions studied, whereas the type of anticoagulant did not affect the stability of opiates. It was concluded that blood samples should be stored at ?20^°C in glass tubes containing oxalate and NaF for maximum stability.     

Scanning Electron Microscope Analysis of Gunshot Defects to Bone: An Underutilized Source of Information on Ballistic Trauma

Recent years have seen increasing involvement by forensic anthropologists in the interpretation of skeletal trauma. With regard to ballistic injuries, there is now a large literature detailing gross features of such trauma; however, less attention has been given to microscopic characteristics. This article presents analysis of experimentally induced gunshot trauma in animal bone (Bos taurus scapulae) using full metal jacket (FMJ), soft point (SP), and captive bolt projectiles. The results were examined using scanning electron microscopy (SEM). Additional analysis was conducted on a purported parietal gunshot lesion in a human cranial specimen. A range of features was observed in these samples suggesting that fibrolamellar bone response to projectile impact is analogous to that observed in synthetic composite laminates. The results indicate that direction of bullet travel can be discerned microscopically even when it is ambiguous on gross examination. It was also possible to distinguish SP from FMJ lesions. SEM analysis is therefore recommended as a previously underexploited tool in the analysis of ballistic trauma.     

中央苏区时期与毛泽东思想的初步形成

毛泽东等老一辈革命家在领导中央红军开辟赣南、闽西中央苏区时期,成功地解决了指导中国革命的四个重大问题即:走什么路,建什么党,建什么军,遵循什么样的思想路线?从而初步构建了毛泽东思想科学体系的基本内涵和框架。其主要内涵为:一是开辟了中国革命新路——提出农村包围城市的革命道路理论;二是制定了思想建党、政治建军的基本纲领及其各项原则;三是确立了红军反"围剿"作战的积极防御战略方针;四是提出了"中国革命斗争的胜利要靠中国同志了解中国情况"的独立自主、实事求是思想路线。     

基于综合保税区的内陆开放平台体系建设

综合保税区叠加整合了此前各类特殊监管区域的全部功能和政策。在内陆设立综合保税区是建设开放平台体系、构筑开放高地的重大机遇。这些机遇集中体现在"三个有利于"。要加快内陆开放平台体系建设,应当借鉴先进经验,从加快综合保税区基础设施建设、加快建设无水港、虚拟空港、公路口岸、内河港口等方面,因地制宜采取有效措施。     

Groupthink and Terrorist Radicalization

Why do groups adopt terrorism? Major theories of terrorist radicalization assume it to be a rational process whereby groups select terrorism as the policy most likely to advance their goals. Not all terrorism is rational, however, and these theories cannot explain cases when groups pursue terrorism despite it being self-defeating. We distinguish between rational and irrational terrorism, and explain the latter using social psychology's groupthink mechanism. Although terrorists are widely assumed to be vulnerable to groupthink, empirical work on the phenomenon has focused overwhelmingly on decision-making by national executives. We firmly establish the link between groupthink and terrorist radicalization by tracing groupthink's operation through the development of the Weather Underground, an American terrorist group that emerged in the late 1960s and conducted six years of bombings against the U.S. government. All of the antecedent conditions, symptoms, and decision-making defects predicted by groupthink are evident in the Weather Underground, providing valuable evidence of the dangers of irrational radicalization and offering lessons for its prevention.