B&R,AIIB: Opportunities for Enhancing FDI in South Asia

Implementation of China's Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road (B&R) initiative and the advent of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) have redirected attention to infrastructure building in economic development.The domestically driven B&R policy is rewriting the geoeconomic and geopolitical map of Eurasia,while AIIB catalyzes a positive change in the dynamics of international development cooperation.They provide opportunities for South Asia which has economic potential but limited foreign investment inflow thus far.     

日元汇率波动对日本对外投资影响的实证分析——基于日本19个行业1971—2007年的面板数据

以日本的制造业和非制造业中的19个行业为例,实证分析了1971—2007年间日元汇率波动对这些行业的影响情况。分析结果表明,总体上日元汇率的波动与日本对外直接投资存在显著的正相关关系。分行业来说,这些行业的结果可以分为三类。最后对这些结果进行了原因分析。     

The compensation hypothesis goes east: FDI and welfare state demand in postcommunist countries

While existing research provides evidence that globalisation sparks citizen demand for the welfare state in wealthy Western democracies, less is known about how globalisation affects public demand for welfare elsewhere. This study explores the link between globalisation and welfare preferences in postcommunist countries by examining workers at multinational corporations (MNCs). These workers have previously been found to have lower levels of job security, even in Western Europe. Additionally, in the postcommunist context, MNC employment also frequently offers better opportunities than other available jobs. This combination of risk and benefit creates higher demand for social insurance (such as unemployment insurance) because MNC workers have both higher job insecurity and higher costs of job loss (if the benefits of MNC employment make it difficult to find an equally good job). Original survey data from Ukraine shows that MNC workers experience greater insecurity and are paid more than other workers. They also express preferences for more expansive welfare programmes, prioritising those related to labour market insurance. This pattern of MNC workers’ experience and preferences is confirmed in cross-national survey data from 30 peripheral economies, demonstrating that the compensation hypothesis has wider application than previously shown.     

Community security: human security at 21

The concept of human security has come a long way since its introduction in the UNDP Human Development Report in 1994. There are now a number of global and regional initiatives aimed at promoting human security issues. However, the achievements over the last two decades may be less impressive when one starts to explicate the progress of each of the key elements subsumed under the broad concept of human security. This paper will examine the extent to which community security, as one of the elements of human security, has been advanced through the security discourses and practices in the international arena. Using ASEAN as a case study, the paper argues that the massive gaps in human development, security and democracy hinder progress in promoting community security. The paper further argues that in developing states, community security is still very much the domain of the state.     

East Asian financial regionalism: why economic enhancements undermine political sustainability

East Asian financial regionalism was born in response to the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997–1998. The centrepiece of financial regionalism was the Chiang Mai Initiative (CMI), an emergency liquidity mechanism created by the ASEAN+3. It embodied both a clear interpretation of what had gone wrong in 1997–1998 and an understanding of the need for institutions that would be politically viable despite Sino-Japanese rivalry. Enforcement under CMI relied on the ‘IMF link’ – release of funds would be predicated on crisis countries' initiating negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as a means of reducing moral hazard, enforcing conditionality and diverting blame from the leading creditors, Japan and China. The global financial crisis of 2008–2010 and the eurozone crisis that followed have inspired important changes meant to address CMI's economic gaps, including accelerated adoption of ‘CMI Multilateralization’ (CMIM), the creation of a new surveillance unit (ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Organization, or AMRO), and the establishment of a new precautionary line. Many observers have remarked that these developments weaken the IMF link, which had effectively subordinated CMI to the IMF. While the moves appear to demonstrate a more confident, autonomous regionalism and a relative devaluation of the US-dominated global financial institutions, this paper argues that in fact, the ASEAN+3 states have again unearthed the underlying politics of divided leadership and mutual suspicion. CMIM is now threatened by the renewed potential for internal divisions. Further complicating the picture, both China and Japan have recently established large bilateral swap lines outside of the CMIM framework with several of their ASEAN+3 partners, raising the question of whether CMIM is moving towards political irrelevance even as it has arrived at a high water mark in its institutional development.     

中国和印度FDI与GDP相关性比较分析

中国和印度的经济发展迅速,两者的比较引人注目。本文基于计量经济学的基本方法,对两国外国直接投资和国民生产总值的关系进行分析,初步探讨两国经济增长模式的区别。     

越南与欧盟缔结自贸协议的考量和影响

2019年6月30日,《越南与欧盟自由贸易协定》正式签署。本文以越欧批准签署FTA为切入点,首先论述了双方启动FTA谈判的背景,认为双方参与FTA有助于实现各自的全球对外贸易战略目标,近年来越欧日益紧密的经贸关系为双方缔结FTA创造了良好的前提条件;进而从越南视域角度分析双方缔结FTA的动机,认为越南与欧盟缔结FTA是出于对经济、政治和大国关系平衡三方面的综合考虑;最后阐述了该协定的内容及协议生效对越南、WTO多边自由贸易体制、东盟地区经济一体化以及中越经济关系产生的影响。     

东盟区域旅游竞争力分析

东南亚地区旅游资源丰富，旅游发展潜力巨大，增强区域旅游竞争力已成为东盟未来旅游发展的关键。如何有效提升东盟旅游区域竞争力，以从整体上带动区域各国旅游经济发展，这也成为东盟区域旅游合作的目标和动力。本文针对东盟目前旅游发展的区域竞争力态势进行分析，结合迈克尔·波特的国际竞争“钻石模型”，探讨东盟作为整体提升区域旅游竞争力的策略，认为东盟的区域旅游竞争力策略主要体现在科学的区域旅游发展战略、日趋完善的旅游生产要素、日益贴近游客需求的旅游条件和协调便捷的旅游支持性产业建设。     

日本安倍政府对东盟的现实主义外交刍议

日本安倍政府“巧妙”利用与东盟建立友好合作关系40周年的重要节点，通过频繁的政治互动与密集的经济合作，深化了日本与东盟在地区政治、经济、安全等各个维度上的政策拟合度。不仅如此，迫于现实与战略层面的利益考虑，安倍政府试图借助政治拉拢与经济控制，把东盟塑造成“遏制中国发展”的潜在战略盟友。但由于存在过分强调主观意志、工具主义与利益至上等严重的局限性，日本安倍政府对东盟的外交战略注定无法达到预期效果，也难以在现实层面拉拢东盟构筑对华包围圈。     

浅议中国—东盟合作背景下来桂东盟留学生情感教育对策

近年来,随着来桂留学生规模的日益壮大,留学生的情感教育问题随之凸显出来。在中国—东盟"10+1"背景下开展东盟留学生的情感教育,其内涵和策略的调整与变化给当今广西高等教育国际化带来了诸多挑战。本文分析了来桂留学生情感教育的内涵以及广西开展东盟留学生情感教育的优势,提出了加强和完善来桂东盟留学生情感教育的对策。