宏观经济相互依存与东亚货币合作可行性

东亚地区存在两个层面的宏观经济相互依存。第一个层面是东亚与美国经济的相互依存,第二个层面是东亚区域内部经济的相互依存。全球性金融危机充分体现了东亚和美国之间经济相互依存的不对称性,而这种不对称性是不能够长期持续的,全球性金融危机促使东亚加强区域、国际的经济协调,验证了相互依存理论的合理性。相互依存的东亚需要通过政策的协调解决宏观经济政策的外部性和溢出效应问题,因而东亚地区进行货币合作的可行性较高。     

2030年全球战略预测

未来20年世界发展演进中将不会出现过往20年间较为典型的剧变和震荡。美国将在创新、金融和军事领域保持全球领导者的地位。中国地位的加强将最大程度地影响到全球权力均衡。以市场经济和民主为基础的全球化意识形态将维持其世界主导思想体系的地位。意识形态将更频繁地与全球的政治、社会经济和文化发展趋势相关联。这将成为未来全球治理意识形态的基础。在2030年前,世界文化体系以及各种文化内核发生大规模变化的可能性极小,同时很难形成创新文化和生产文化占主导地位的全球文化。全球治理的机制和原则将继续形成。世界经济发展的主要动力为创新和全球化。全球化在未来20年将继续推动世界经济的增长。但在预测期的前半段,将始终可以感觉到世界金融经济危机的影响。限制增长的主要因素来自于新的世界经济金融危机以及保护主义的抬头。2011-2030年,世界经济年均增速将达到4.0%到4.5%。中国接近中等发达国家水平并拥有较高的社会经济发展速度是2030年前的主要变化。发达国家和发展中国家的传统划分将发生改变。增长质量和竞争力标准将决定一国在世界经济版图中的地位。中国在GDP规模上至少会接近美国的水平,但GDP中的创新成分及其他质量型的成分方面仍将落后于...     

Inside a Cultural Agency: Team Ethnography and Knowledge Exchange

This article undertakes an auto-critical analysis of the research team's ethnographic study of Cultural Enterprise Office (CEO), a Scottish creative business support agency. We discuss the team's composition and how this relates to other analyses of ethnographic teamwork. Our research is situated in the wider policy context of the “creative-economic” turn in the UK's research funding. This has been accompanied by increased emphasis on “knowledge exchange” and “impact” in the drive for greater accountability in higher education. The team's evolution in the course of undertaking research is illustrated by reference to four “pivotal moments,” which illustrate how we “performed” knowledge exchange.     

Refracted axis: Kitayama Jun'yū and writing a German Japan

The question of how individuals navigate a given regime is inevitably a delicate one, but one no less important because of its sensitivity. This article examines the case of one Kitayama Jun'yū – author of dozens of works during the 1930s and 1940s that purported to introduce Japan to a German audience – and his changing rhetorical strategies in presenting a Japan that would be acceptable to his readership. It employs an adapted notion of Bhabha's concept of ‘mimicry’ as a means to understand both developments internal to Kitayama's works as well as their changing reception. This framework recognizes that power dynamics played an influential role in cross-cultural exchange between the two countries; at the same time, it enables a depersonalized engagement with cultural politics that does not rest on identifying individual authorial political allegiances. Drawing on both Kitayama's writings and archival materials that reflect official and semi-private responses to his work, this article offers a closer look at how a particular Japanese intellectual negotiated Japan's place within the discursive space of the National Socialist regime.     

从举证时效与证据交换制度看我国审前程序之重构

举证时限与证据交换制度是相辅相成的。既是对当事人提供证据这一诉讼权利的保障,又是对当事人诉讼权利的一种程序性的限制。在重构我国民事审前程序中,还应借鉴国外立法例,建立法官释明权制度即“法官指导当事人举证”,规定当事人的主导地位和建立当事人双方和法院的共同良性互动机制。     

罚金刑的裁量依据

罚金刑的裁量依据必须以刑法三大基本原则为基础,坚持以犯罪情形为依据,参酌犯罪人的经济状况进行量刑违背了刑法的基本原则。罚金刑执行困难的问题不可超越阶段由裁量来解决,只能通过完善执行制度予以解决。     

债务重组产生的社会效应及其对策

<企业会计准则-债务重组>对解决我国市场经济条件下债务纠纷问题起到了很好的作用,但也产生了一些负效应,使债权人的利益受到影响,信用危机加大.因此,作为债权人以及债务人的企业必须以正常心态关注和参与市场竞争,减少债务纠纷,使赊购赊销业务正常进行,持续经营,维护社会安定团结.     

对“价值”和“交换价值”规定性的新认识对马克思劳动价值学说的反思

交换价值是使用价值与价值的对立统一体;商品是以交换价值的形式存在的;使用价值与价值在它们的对立统一体商品(交换价值)中的地位和作用是可变的;价格是交换价值的货币表现形式.     

占城与中国明朝的文化交流

占城与中国明朝保持着密切的宗藩关系,使者往来频繁,经贸关系活跃,为两国文化交流创造了极其有利的前提条件.明朝与占城的文化交流是多方面、多层次展开的,既有物质文化的交流与促进,也有制度文化、精神文化的碰撞与融合,呈现出纵横交错,缤纷多彩的景象,对两地经济文化的发展和人民生活水平的提高发挥了积极的作用.     

Unpredictable and monetized contact with the police: Race,avoidance behaviors,and modified activity spaces

Exponential growth in order maintenance policing and associated misdemeanor sanctions have led to disproportionate consequences for people of color. Using data from qualitative interviews with individuals in the metropolitan St. Louis, Missouri, region, the current study documents the racialized and monetized nature of police contact. This work extends extant scholarship by considering how minor contact with the police shapes individual avoidance behaviors and activity spaces, places where people work and live. We consider how the combination of monetary sanctions, warrants, incarceration, and overpolicing in the region affects avoidance behaviors, particularly for people of color. Our findings suggest that the frequently unpredictable nature of police contacts and the parochial and often profit-focused structure of policing organizations in the region leads individuals to modify the ways in which they move through the region and, for some, to isolate. Narratives reflect the need for constant calibration of behaviors and decisions, as well as the legacy that police contact and monetary sanctions can have on everyday routines.