增强八个意识 应对入世挑战

面对WTO的挑战,公安工作将遇到许多前所未有的新情况、新问题,为更好地担负起确保社会政治和治安稳定的重任,必须增强大局、忧患、创新、竞争、时效、宗旨、法制、科技意识。     

公共经济学视野中的高等教育公平

高等教育公平的特殊重要性是其在构建和谐社会中所具有的不可替代的基础性推动作用.从公共经济学视角阐述高等教育的公平性问题,收入分层是导致高等教育不公平的一个重要因素.因此,我们的政策思路应是:尽力避免市场经济体制下的一个基本规律,即社会分层体系会通过教育体系去有效地实现自身的阶层封闭与自我循环,导致"富者愈富,穷者愈穷"的"马太效应."     

政治文明、和谐社会与法治理念——法治乃政治文明所需、和谐社会所求

由政治文明与和谐社会思想衍生的法治理念具有丰富的内涵。实践社会主义法治理念,必须建立中国特色的以权力制约与权力统合为内容的分权体制,不断提升执政党的民主能力和法治能力;必须贯彻人本思想、民本精神,尊重和保障人权,实现人民参与,使权力“属于人民、通过人民、为了人民”;必须以宪政与人权为核心价值,改造国家精神和政治价值观,建立和完善全面的权力制约体系,建设有限政府;必须将公平正义视为立法和制度的首要价值,为法制注入人性、人道和人权精神,通过公正司法维护社会正义;必须强化法治思维,将人权和正义价值作为政治社会稳定的内涵,以贯彻法治、保障人权和维护正义为服务大局的指导思想和行动指南;必须构建以正义和良知为基本内涵的政法文化。     

新时期社区警务战略的实践价值

社区警务是新时期警务体制改革的一个重要内容,利用社区资源,凝结社区力量,使警务中心正位,警务重点转移,警务重心下沉,加强社区的防控能力,是保证社区稳定的成功之路。     

The verdict in the polls: how government stability is affected by popular support

The idea that the stability of governments is affected by how they are performing in the polls is both intuitive and popular in the literature. When support is low the government might be inclined to replace parties or the prime minister in order to regain support, thus forming a replacement government. Alternatively, a government doing well in the polls might opportunistically try to schedule an early election to capitalise on its favourable prospects. But despite the popularity of the idea, it has thus far not been tested empirically whether government stability is in fact influenced by popular support. This article aims to address this lacuna. Using a relatively new dataset with more than 12,000 unique polls, and recently developed Bayesian models for pooling the polls, it is here shown that government stability is in fact impacted by popular support. Governments display clear signs of electoral opportunism when they are polling well and, conversely, dissolve the government, without calling an election, when polling is bad. The results are strongest when there are few parties in the government, since agreement on the timing for a discretionary termination is easier when fewer players need to agree.     

War Games redux? Cyberthreats,US–Russian strategic stability,and new challenges for nuclear security and arms control

Some 30 years since the release of the Hollywood blockbuster War Games, the possibility that hackers might break into nuclear command and control facilities, compromise early warning or firing systems, or even cause the launch of a nuclear weapon has become disturbingly real. While this challenge will impact all nuclear-armed states, it appears particularly acute for the USA and Russia given their large, diverse, and highly alerted nuclear forces. The fact that east–west relations have deteriorated to a nadir perhaps not seen since the 1980s, strategic instability has increased – particularly in the wake of the Ukraine and now Syria crises – and that the nuclear arms reductions agenda appears to have reached a standstill makes this challenge particularly pressing. In this discouraging milieu, new cyberthreats are both exacerbating the already strained US–Russia strategic balance – particularly the perceived safety and security of nuclear forces – and at the same time creating new vulnerabilities and problems that might be exploited by a third party. Taken together, these dynamics add another major complication for current arms control agreements and possible future nuclear cuts, and also seem likely to increase the possibility of accidents, miscalculation, and potential unauthorised nuclear use, especially given the large number of nuclear weapons that remain on “hair-trigger” alert.     

中国政党制度的社会稳定功能论析

社会稳定是当代中国面临的重大问题,维护社会稳定是当代中国需要解决的重要任务.中国政党制度以"共产党领导、多党派合作,共产党执政、多党派参政"为基本特征,以合作协商为基本愿则.既体现了民主,又实现了集中,具有强大的社会稳定功能.必须不断发展和完善中国共产党领导的多党合作和政治协商制度,充分发挥中国政党制度的社会稳定功能.     

协作创稳:破解社会管理难题的新途径

以经济增长为中心的发展模式逐渐不适应社会发展的需要,破解社会管理难题已成为当前各级地方政府的迫切愿望。社会稳定不等于没有社会矛盾,而是要正视与化解矛盾,创建民主、公平、协调发展的社会氛围。新形势下,政府社会管理应当"协作创稳",着力于主动创稳、内化疏导、责任服务、精细规划和动态平衡,力求取得实实在在的成效。     

谈足迹在刑侦工作中的应用价值

足迹作为案件现场中常见的痕迹物证之一,在基层实践中对它的应用价值一直有不同的观点：一种倾向足迹无用;另一种倾向足迹万能。笔者认为这两种观点对我国足迹检验技术的发展都是有害的,全面正确客观地了解足迹,应从足迹的稳定性和可靠性两个方面分析,将来的足迹检验技术应向着科学化、自动化和网络化方向发展。