我国流动人口的新特点及其管理模式研究

流动人口管理 ,在预防和控制犯罪方面有着举足轻重的地位。我国加入WTO后 ,流动人口将出现 :流动区域范围呈跨国性 ,问题流动人口增多等五方面的特点。但传统的“社会化”管理流动人口模式存在着不足 ,必须制定全国统一的“专门化”流动人口管理法规体系。建立“专门化”流动人口管理的机构和专职队伍 ,建成流动人口管理全国统一的网络信息系统。     

人口与计生组织网络参与地方应急处置重大突发事件的优势和作用探析

本文从"人的问题"是应急处置重大突发事件过程中的核心问题这一基本命题出发,比较系统地分析了人口与计生组织网络参与地方应急处置重大突发事件的优势和作用,并就如何进一步发挥人口和计生组织网络在参与地方应急处置重大突发事件中的重要作用提出了具体的政策建议。     

Is China’s rise now stalling?

The variations on power transition theory so widely used to frame analysis of U.S.–China relation tend to assume the inevitability or at least strong probability of China surpassing the United States in economic power if not necessarily military power. In the terminology of social psychology’s attribution theory, China is imputed with the identity of a state that is inevitably rising. The Chinese Communist Party encourages this attribution among Chinese people and foreigners. But China’s economic rise – the foundation of its comprehensive rise – appears to have entered an inflection point in the mid-2010s and may now be stalling. In critical respects, China increasingly resembles the last two countries that ‘attempted’ a globe-level rise: the unsuccessful cases of postwar Japan and the Soviet Union. China’s labor force is shrinking; the country relies excessively on unsustainable debt increases to fuel economic growth; and pollution is seriously harming public health. But even if China’s rise conclusively stalls, it may take quite some time before the Chinese public and outside observers recognize the new reality because of intrinsic biases in the cognitive logic of attributing identities to actors.     

桂林市社会化居家养老模式的探索与思考

近几年，老龄化步伐的快速迈进对原有养老模式提出了严峻的挑战，人口老龄化的严峻形势需要社会化养老服务。桂林市积极探索新形势下社会化养老模式，推行的社会化“居家养老”模式走在广西区前列。进一步搭建服务平台、加强政策支撑；加大资金投入、提高使用效益；借鉴典型经验、创新发展思路；创新激励机制、壮大服务队伍以及建立评估制度、不断总结提升，应是推动社会化居家养老事业发展的有力举措。     

Population size or population density? An empirical examination of scale economies in South Australian local government, 2015/16

ABSTRACT

Advocates of amalgamation typically claim that substantial scale economies flow from municipal mergers, which generate larger local government entities by population size. We examined whether economies of scale exist in council outlays by analysing the expenditure of 68 South Australian local government areas using data from the 2015/16 financial year. However, given the correlation between population size and population density it is important to determine whether the influence of population size on expenditure is due to variations in population density. We find that when local government areas are stratified into subgroups on the basis of population density, the evidence of economies of scale largely evaporates. From a policy perspective, this suggests that in place of municipal mergers, policymakers should instead explore avenues for shared service arrangements in those functions which exhibit scale economies.     

我国少数民族流动人口变动趋势分析

全国人口流动规模持续增长,少数民族人口流动趋势引人关注。利用全国人口普查和抽样调查数据,结合地方经济发展数据,以人口移动转变理论为指导,对少数民族人口流动趋势分析认为,少数民族人口流动进程相比全国人口滞后15年或更多,今后还会持续增长。流入地政府尤其是东部城市流入地政府对此应有所准备,积极做好社会服务管理创新。     

当代中国经济社会变动与人大代表选举中城乡人口比例政策的演进

在人大代表选举中实行城乡人口比例政策,是我国普选产生人大代表的历史条件所要求的。在一定时期内按不同人口比例配备代表,不但反映了共和国国体的本质,而且标志着国家工业化的发展方向。随着中国经济体制改革、城市化、工业化和城乡一体化的发展,以及城乡人口的融合,城乡按相同人口比例选举人大代表的条件已基本成熟。新中国成立以来特别是改革开放以来实行普选的过程,一定意义上是个逐步实现城乡按相同人口比例选举人大代表的政策制定、调整及其实践的过程。在这一过程中,城镇化和非农业人口的发展,成为推动城乡人口比例政策改进和发展的主要经济社会动因。     

试论宁波海防人口治安调控手段和制度建设

沿海和海上治安是海洋经济发展战略的基础，而其中人口治安调控又是沿海和海上治安的基础环节。宁波作为沿海重要城市，尤其是浙江海洋经济发展示范区的核心城市，加强海防人口治安调控具有极其典型的意义。宁波海防人口流动性大、数量多、成分复杂程度高。建立符合本区域特点的海防人口治安调控原则，完善治安责任制和海上社区警务制度，加强人口治安的事前、事中、事后调控手段，将对探索维护我国沿海和海上人口的治安提供可借鉴的思路。     

Population genetic data of five X-chromosomal loci in Bauru (São Paulo, Brazil)

Genetic population data for five X-STR (DXS6854, DXS7424, DXS101, DXS6808 and DXS7132) were obtained from Bauru population (São Paulo, Brazil). No deviations from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium were observed, with the exception of DXS101. The combined powers of discrimination in males and females were 0.99897253 and 0.99999120, respectively. These high values show the potential of this system in human identification and paternity testing.