33.15及33.6探针对中国人DNA指纹图的研究

目的统计用33．15及33．6探针对中国人进行DNA指纹图检验的群体调查资料，为实际案件的检验提供理论依据。方法应用33．15及33．6探针为中国北京地区无关群体的血液进行DNA指纹图分析。结果应用33．15探针检验15人的DNA指纹图，无关个体间相关机率为1．03×10-15，两无关个体间出现同一谱带的平均概率0．176；应用33．6探针检验19人的DNA指纹图，无关个体间相关机率为1．53×11-11，两无关个体间出现同一港带的平均概率为0．187；两探针均符合孟德尔遗传规律，均具有组织同一性。结论本研究结果可应用于法医物证检验的亲子鉴定及个体识别。     

韩国工业化过程中人口城市化进程的研究

20世纪 50年代以来,随着迅速的国家工业化过程,韩国不仅在较短时间内快速地实现了人口城市化,而且人口城市化进程与国家工业化相互促进、协调发展。工业化、产业结构调整、农业发展政策、工业选址政策以及城市社会经济迅速发展是韩国人口城市化的主要社会经济动因。韩国由集中到分散的城市化模式、通过国土综合开发促进新的城市增长极的形成和发展、发展卫星城镇、工业选址政策、可持续的土地政策等推进人口城镇化的成功经验值得我们借鉴。     

北京市未来人口发展下的教育需求预测

文章在对北京市未来人口趋势作充分预测的基础上,采用教育生命表技术估计北京市未来各级教育毛入学率等指标,结合人口预测结果预测未来北京市各级教育的需求。     

Doing time: A qualitative study of long-term incarceration and the impact of mental illness

Once convicted, the perpetrator of serious crime embarks upon a new journey: the challenge of adjusting to long-term imprisonment. Prisoners' views of incarceration and the meaning of this experience may affect their later adjustment to life in the community. On the basis of brief narrative responses collected during an epidemiological survey of the psychological health of prisoners in France, this study examined the impact of incarceration on psychological state in a group of 59 inmates serving long sentences. Qualitative content analysis and computer-assisted linguistic analysis (using ALCESTE software) were performed on the textual data of open responses to three standard questions. Using a combination of these two approaches, seven categories of the subjective experience of prisoners in the sample were identified: the Outside World, Others, Punishment, Time, Affects and Impulses, Self-Concept, and Speech. Further qualitative analyses were then performed to compare the responses of Severely Mentally Ill (SMI) subjects and subjects with no psychiatric disorder. These analyses revealed contrasting attitudes towards incarceration. SMI subjects spoke in more hostile and persecutory terms about their experience in prison, attributing suffering to external circumstances, while subjects with no psychiatric disorder evoked similar themes, but with an introspective attitude. The themes evoked by mentally ill individuals in our sample suggest that their reactions to the prison environment arise in part from aspects of their psychiatric symptoms, and this may have relevance to future mental health policy and practices in criminal corrections.     

奥运法治安全与犯罪预警机制的构筑

本文主要从宏观角度出发,呼吁通过政府进一步强化对市场主体的严格管理、规范行政执法、在执法中给予人性关爱、重视制裁小腐败、消除行政执法与刑事司法之间的断带等方面,求得社会矛盾解决在尚未激化为犯罪的阶段,以期减少犯罪的发生.作者在文章中还提出恐怖主义犯罪预警和流动人口犯罪预警的基本架构.     

Estimating the size of criminal populations

The estimation of total population size for various phenomena of crime is an important factor critical for criminal justice policy formulation and criminological theory development. In this paper, methods are discussed for estimating the size of a criminal population from police records. Capture-recapture analysis techniques, borrowed from the biological sciences, are used to predict the size of population for migrating (or fleeing) fugitives and for street prostitutes. Heterogeneity and behavioral responses to previous police encounters are identified as major complicating factors. The basic problem is that the police records are virtually unaffected by a potentially large pool of cryptic criminals. It is shown how independently collected auxiliary data can address this problem.     

社区实有人口管理刍议

当前和今后一个时期内 ,派出所人口管理总的要求是坚持现居住地的管理原则 ,把社区内居住的实有人口全部纳入管理范围。社区实有人口管理措施 :建立实有人口户籍手册登记制度 ;对出租房屋的管理 ;建立多级人口管理网络 ;大力推进派出所人口信息系统建设。     

新时期我国人口数量控制的治道变革

在未来一个时期,我国控制人口增长仍形势严峻。人口控制治道变革应主要体现在以下方面:提高文化教育水平;提高收入水平,优化收入分配结构;提高城市化水平;建立农村社会保障体制;提高妇女地位,并积极推进计划生育“三为主”、“三结合”。     

人口出生性别比例问题研究

人口性别比例,关系人口安全乃至国家安全。人口普查资料显示,我国人口出生性别比已高达117,偏离正常标准10个百分点,其危害不仅涉及眼前,甚至会危及子孙。政府部门在矫正人口出生性别比方面要在制度安排、政策扶持、监管惩处方面综合治理,单凭宣传教育是不够的。