我国慈善应急法制的理论反思与完善路径

我国现有慈善应急法制体系在突发事件中并未有效解决慈善应急活动的普遍违法、自由受限与效率低下等问题。究其原因,主要在于现行法律、法规与政策缺乏对慈善应急活动正当性、民间性与比较优势的充分考量。为此,应系统完善慈善应急法制中的放管服制度,最大限度释放慈善事业在突发事件应对中的发展潜力。尤其需要以放宽标准、降低门槛为基点,建构慈善应急免责机制;以保障自治、比例规制为核心,优化慈善应急管制机制;以行业培育、平台搭建为中心,重塑慈善应急协作机制。     

从查处假羊肉事件探索餐饮监管的长效机制

从假羊肉事件探索如何建立餐饮单位监管长效机制,提高监管质量,既是确保餐饮单位食品安全的重中之重,又是遏制制假造假行为的关键,从餐饮单位自身和监管部门两方面人手,双管齐下,建立长效监管机制。     

公共危机事件中政府新闻发布研究

近年来,我国公共危机事件频发,俨然已朝着常态化方向发展。而作为人民利益的代表者,政府必须在公共危机事件爆发时采取必要的危机公关措施。新闻发布是政府开展危机公关活动的一个重要的手段。我国政府就公共危机事件而进行的新闻发布机制虽然已日渐成熟,但在诸多的新闻发布活动中还存着以沉默为主、报喜不报忧、报道时效性不足等诸多问题,惯性的政治思想、信息披露的权责不清、新闻发布机制的不完善是造成这些问题的主要原因。鉴此,我国政府必须转变政治思维、完善新闻发布机制、理清信息披露职责,从而为危机公关顺利开展奠定基础。     

Probabilistic forecasting of political events

Political conflicts are modeled as Markovian processes where the states are the possible outcomes and the forecast is the steady‐state probability of each outcome. The input variables are the power of the actors, the salience of the issue to the actors and the desirability of each possible outcome to the actors.

The modeling flexibility of the proposed method is verified by its application to twenty‐eight actual conflicts that include economic and political issues resolved on national and international settings. The predictive capability of the method is established by close agreement between probability intervals of the forecasts and the actual outcomes.     

Events Data as Bismarck's Sausages? Intercoder Reliability,Coders' Selection,and Data Quality

Precise measurement is difficult but essential in the generation of high-quality data, and it is therefore remarkable that often so little attention is paid to intercoder reliability. It is commonly recognized that poor validity leads to systematic errors and biased inference. In contrast, low reliability is generally assumed to be a lesser concern, leading only to random errors and inefficiency. We evaluate the intercoder reliability of our recently collected data on governance events in UN peacekeeping and show how poor coding and low intercoder reliability can produce systematic errors and even biased inference. We also show how intercoder reliability checks are useful to improve data quality. Continuous testing for intercoder reliability ex post enables researchers to create better data and ultimately improves the quality of their analyses.     

德国大型活动安保策略及其给我们的启示

德国的大型活动安保采取了许多有效的策略,给我们的启示是:整合各种资源,实现大型活动处置的专业化;警方有所为有所不为,充分发挥私力安保力量的作用;建立警情分析中心;建立全面完善、合理配置的首长指挥系统;建立大型活动预警评估机制,分类分级,区别对待;强调牵头单位的属地性和一致性;掌握媒体工作的主动权。     

周公作诗传说的文化分析

《诗经》中,有七篇作品被战国秦汉学者指实为周公所作,但后人颇多争议,驳论之说多可成立。秦汉时代流传的《诗经》本事偏重于道德之善,而相对忽略事实之真,多为战国时人臆造。清华简所载《蟋蟀》本事当是后人拟撰附会。     

Creating Better Employees through Positive Leadership Behavior in the Public Sector

This paper advances the notion that leaders’ behavior in public organizations impacts employee emotions and workplace functioning. The paper proposes a conceptual model showing the impact that specific leader behaviors have on employee momentary emotions and thereby subjective well-being, organizational citizenship behavior, and job performance. Findings from research on leader behaviors and follower outcomes in private organizations and workplace emotions are used to show the importance of understanding and promoting types of leader behaviors that enhance employee and organizational outcomes within public institutions. It is expected that this model will facilitate future research in this area.     

Kyrgyzstan between democratization and ethnic intolerance

The international community has expressed great concern about the treatment of the Uzbek minority in the south of Kyrgyzstan and has called on the majority community to make major efforts to improve the situation. The article compares the treatment of minorities in Kyrgyzstan with analogous situations in the Balkans and contends that, given the European-style ethno-national state model and democratic political system that have been adopted by independent Kyrgyzstan, such calls are unrealistic.     

Politically Significant Events and Their Effect on the Image of Political Parties

Abstract

This article begins by arguing that the image of a political party is of strategic importance in its pursuit of electoral success. More specifically, it is argued that important influences on party image are ‘politically relevant’ events. The paper then develops a conceptual model of how the images of political parties are influenced by such events. It considers internal and external factors that influence the power of a given event to affect party image. Next, the process of image transfer itself is discussed along with the factors that influence the way credit/ blame is apportioned from an event. Then, ways of dealing with ‘negative’ events are considered. The overall model is used to analyse a specific political event (the Iraq war) and assess its likely impact on party image. The article concludes by assessing the model's efficacy and limitations in analysing the case used and with events per se. Finally, future research ideas prompted by the paper are discussed.