构建社会“安全网”：我国社会政策意欲何为与何以所为

在全球风险社会的背案下，由于我国正在进行着急剧的双重社会转型，这必然使我国置于更为复杂的转型风险社会的背景之下。转型风险社会导致了问题的“井喷”现象，使我国的社会安全面临严重的挑战。为了应对这一挑战，从社会政策的角度来看，我国应该建立起以风险意识为取向的积极社会政策，从而构建起整个社会的“安全网”，维护社会的和谐。     

Marital Satisfaction and Marital Discord as Risk Markers for Intimate Partner Violence: A Meta-analytic Review

A meta-analysis investigating the relationship between marital satisfaction/discord and intimate partner violence (IPV) in heterosexual relationships was conducted with 32 articles. Overall, a small-to-moderate effect size (r = −0.27) indicated a significant and negative relationship existed between marital satisfaction/discord and IPV. Moderator analyses found no differences between effect size based on construct examined (discord or satisfaction). However, the magnitudes of observed effect sizes were influenced by other moderator variables, including the use of standardized versus non-standardized measures, gender of the offender and victim, role in the violence (perpetrator versus victim), and sample type (clinical versus community). The data suggests that gender is an especially important moderator variable in understanding the relationship between marital satisfaction/discord and IPV.     

从保密到安全:数据销毁义务的理论逻辑与制度建构

我国现行立法规定了自然人有请求信息处理者删除个人信息的权利,但这并不等于承认数据生命周期的最后环节是“删除”,因为“删除权”是“信息处理的合法性与必要性基础丧失”的必然结果,而“数据销毁”才是“数据归于消灭”的处理流程末端。数据销毁义务的理论基础在于信息保密方式的扩张,即从维持信息保密状态转向维持数据安全风险的可控性。在数据安全风险评估过程中,倘若义务主体无法保障暂时不使用的重要数据和个人信息处于安全状态,则应当采取适当的数据销毁范式降低数据泄露或非法复原的安全风险。在未来立法活动中,我国应当明确数据销毁义务的义务主体、销毁方式和销毁范围等具体制度内容,完成数据安全立法的“最后闭环”。     

关于危险驾驶罪的论证与理解——以风险刑法理念为理论基础

《刑法修正案（八）》已在民众的呼声中顺利通过，但对于理论界和实务界来说依然任重道远，如何论证和理解法律规定成为关键。以风险刑法理念作为理论基础创建的危险驾驶罪必须合理解决罪刑法定原则与罪刑相适应原则的契合问题，以彰显以人为本的现代刑法理念，并在此基础上论证和理解犯罪构成，并检验刑事法律后果，从而提出可行性的立法和司法方案。     

印度尼西亚汽车市场的商机

印度尼西亚作为全球第四人口大国、东盟最大经济体，近年来经济一直保持快速增长。尽管受到世界金融危机、全球经济不景气的影响，印尼经济增速放缓，但依然是亚洲地区经济增长最快的国家之一，并得到越来越多的国际投资者的青睐和关注。本文在分析印尼经济增长趋势后，重点分析印尼汽车行业的产销量、市场格局和特点，结合印尼汽车市场的消费习惯，对中国汽车企业进军印尼市场提出风险提示和相应的对策。     

Does Intimate Partner Violence Epidemiology Differ Between Homes With and Without Children? A Population-Based Study of Annual Prevalence and Associated Risk Factors

We sought to determine whether intimate partner violence (IPV) risk factors differed depending upon the presence of children in the home, and to estimate the annual prevalence of IPV first in the general population and then in homes with and without children. We analyzed data from a cross-sectional random sample of 6,836 women in southeastern Pennsylvania interviewed by telephone in 2004. The magnitude of association between IPV and risk factors varied between homes with and without children for women’s alcohol problems (with children, odds ratio (OR) 7.7; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.9, 20.9; without children, OR 2.4; 95% CI 0.9, 6.0), and mental health problems (with children, OR 4.0; 95% CI 1.8, 8.9; without children, OR 3.0; 95% CI 1.6, 5.7). Poverty was significantly associated with IPV only in homes without children (OR 3.6; 95% CI 1.9, 7.2). Annual IPV prevalence was 1.2% overall, 1.4% in homes with children, and 1.1% in homes without children. One in 63 children lived in a home with IPV. Differences in IPV risk factors in homes with and without children suggest distinct underlying IPV mechanisms or consequences in these contexts.     

Childhood Sexual Abuse and HIV Risk Among Men Who Have Sex with Men: Initial Test of a Conceptual Model

Childhood sexual abuse has been associated with HIV transmission risk behavior in men who have sex with men. This study examined an adapted model that was originally developed to explain the relationship between childhood sexual abuse and HIV risk behavior among women in a sample of men who have sex with men. Men attending a large gay pride event (n=647) completed anonymous surveys that assessed demographic characteristics, childhood sexual abuse, symptoms of dissociation, trauma-related anxiety, borderline personality characteristics, hopelessness, substance use, and sexual risk behavior. A latent variable partial least squares analysis was conducted to test the interrelationships between childhood sexual abuse, exchanging sex for money or drugs, emotional disturbances, drug use, substance use in the context of sexual behavior, and sexual risk behavior. The model fit the data well and accounted for 10% of the total variance in sexual risk behavior. History of childhood sexual abuse predicted exchanging sex for money or drugs and this relationship was partly accounted for by active drug use. Substance use proximal to sexual behavior also emerged as a key factor in predicting sexual risk behavior. Findings from this study, therefore, indicate a direct association between history of child sexual abuse and high risk for HIV infection related to engaging in sex trade.     

关于我国财政风险成因的几点思考——我国国有企业财务风险与财政风险转换机制分析

财政风险和国有企业财务风险是两个不同层次的风险,但两者之间存在着相互转化的关系。我国这两种风险的转化中存在着一定的不合理性,其根源在于制度缺陷,这将是以后改革的重点。研究国有企业财务风险的成因,分析国企财务风险与国家财政风险之间相互转化的机理,斩断其向财政风险的转化链条,对我国财政风险的根本好转有着极为重要的意义。     

The Family Court–Based Stepping Stones Model of Triage: Some Concerns About Safety,Process, and Objectives*

This article critically evaluates the recommendation that family court–based mandatory mediation incorporated in a tiered service delivery model be replaced by a mandatory screening process incorporated in a stepping stones triage model in which couples are matched with an appropriate conflict resolution proceeding. My conclusion is that implementation of this recommendation should be made contingent upon the willingness of its advocates to address concerns with the safety, process, and objectives as described herein.

Key Points for the Family Court Community:
• Domestic violence screening should be incorporated in the larger triadic process of screening–risk assessment–risk management.
• A Safety First Rule should be followed in screening couples into or out of conflict resolution proceedings.
• Screening decisions must be grounded in an empirically validated method of matching couples with appropriate conflict resolution proceedings.
• Causal mechanisms must be included as items in any risk assessment instrument used in family courts.