Developing a theory of dynamic risk

ABSTRACT

The Propensities Model is now the dominant applied conceptualization of dynamic risk factors for sexual offending. In this paper five important limitations of this model are identified: it asserts causality but does not explain it; it does not represent human agency; it offers no account of what is involved in the development of propensities; it does not explain stable change in risk; and its account of the operation of static factors is a theoretical leap not supported by the evidence. A more elaborate theoretical framework is developed by integrating ideas from Ward's Good Lives model, Beck's account of schema modes, and Fishbein and Ajzen's Theory of Reasoned Action. This more elaborate framework incorporates the Propensities Model in a way that mitigates its limitations. Implications for research, assessment, and rehabilitation are explored.     

Why Human Rights Matter for Our Future: The Views of Three Young People

This article consists of statements by three young people with a passion for human rights. Two of the young people, Jude Smith (aged thirteen) and Khalil Richard (aged twenty) are members of the Sheffield Youth Cabinet. The third young person, Natasha Siguake (aged twenty), is a Young Advisor for Sheffield Futures. The three contributors talk about the human rights that are most important to them and why human rights are important for the future.     

析英国国家情报分析机制

以联合情报委员会为枢纽的英国国家情报分析机制,是国家情报观念取代传统情报观念的产物。它分权特色明显,强调集体协调,注重追求共识,具有一定的典型性,对世界其他国家和地区的情报工作具有深远影响。这种机制建立以来,并非固步自封、一成不变,它总能与时俱进,作出相对适合的改革,为英国政府制定重大战略决策提供了大量有力的情报保障,有效维护了英国的国家安全和利益。     

“权色交易”非罪容忍几时休？——从国际反腐败公约的启示谈我国反性贿赂的立法问题

随着腐败的社会危害不断加剧,严惩腐败为大多数国家的刑法所采纳。贿赂除了财物、非财产性利益之外,还包括性服务在内的其他非物质性利益。国际反腐败公约也规定贿赂的范围为不正当好处。我国应当借鉴扩大贿赂犯罪的范围,把性贿赂在内的非物质性利益纳入刑法打击的范围,以遏制日益猖獗的腐败犯罪。     

女大学生就业性别歧视的经济学分析

近年来,高校扩招后女大学毕业生在就业中遭受性别歧视的问题日益严重。从经济学角度看,造成这种状况的原因包括:扩招背景下女大学毕业生的供过于求;政策失灵;生儿育女和操持家务等属于非市场劳动;统计性歧视等。我们应该采取针对性措施解决女大学生就业中的性别歧视问题。     

"Dangerous" Sexual Consciousness: A Reflection on the Sex Education for Disabled Institutionalized Children in China

This ethnographic study investigates how childcare workers view and react to behaviors of disabled institutionalized children which they consider sexual in a Chinese orphanage. Presuming them primarily as “asexual” or “sexually immature” subjects based on a biomedical understanding of disability and childhood, the childcare workers are anxious to find signs of sexual consciousness in some of these children. Labelled as either “dangerous” or “abnormal”, the sexually conscious candidates are subject to physical punishment and denied access to sex information. In spite of this, they continue to have sexual feelings and engage in sexual behaviors, and some may even develop specific strategies to fulfill their own needs. The interactions between childcare workers and disabled children exemplify the tensions between a disapproving environment for sexual and the sexual agency of disabled people in China. The findings may have wide policy implications for the state, as well as organizations of children’s rights and disability rights, to promote ideas and measures that enable disabled institutionalized children to develop into sexually expressive and fulfilled persons.     

论保险法上的风险分类:合理区分V.歧视

风险分类,是现代商业保险的重要特征之一,具有经济上的正当性。然而,在现代社会,评价一项风险分类是合理的区分对待还是不公平的歧视,已不能仅仅以统计数据或精算为依据,而应考虑保险的社会功能、盛行的社会伦理观念等。如何对风险分类进行规制,最终取决于利益权衡和公共选择。     

论反就业歧视法的多元综合实施理论

我国现行反就业歧视法律制度采用单一的司法实施机制,无法得到有效实施.就业歧视本质上是群体与群体之间的利益冲突,而非个体利益冲突.反就业歧视法客观存在着群体化个体利益和群体化社会利益两种法益.反就业歧视法有群体化个体利益实施模式和群体化社会利益实施模式两种,两种模式都突破了传统私法个体利益实现机制和传统公法公共利益实现机...