中国21世纪刑事犯罪趋势预测

在人口大幅度增加的情况下 ,我国刑事犯罪的发展总趋势是刑事案件发案绝对数和犯罪率上升。国家的政治形势和经济状况是决定刑事犯罪走向的主导因素 ,而文化、道德、人口、防控、打击等各种因素也对其具有综合影响 ,预测2 1世纪刑事犯罪发展趋势为近期稳中有升 ,中长期增势减缓 ,升降交替     

论新媒体时代思想道德建设

互联网技术的迅猛发展，在一定程度上冲击着着人们的思想意识、价值观念，改变着人们的行为模式、生活习惯，新媒体时代的思想道德建设面临着严峻的挑战。从新媒体的思想道德功能与作用机理入手，分析思想道德建设面临的机遇与挑战，并依托相关理论提出思想道德建设的创新方略。     

中国特色社会主义理论体系时代特征论析

新中国成立六十年来，我们党在思想理论上最伟大的贡献，就是创立了中国特色社会主义理论体系。中国特色社会主义理论体系的创立和发展，是与我国改革开放的伟大历史进程紧密联系在一起的。作为反映这一伟大历史进程的思想表现即中国特色社会主义理论体系，必然具有其鲜明的时代特征。这些特征主要表现在科学性、创新性、人民性、开放性和包容性等五个方面。     

大鼠皮肤和肌肉挫伤后细胞间黏附分子-1mRNA表达变化

目的应用实时荧光定量PCR技术检测大鼠皮肤和肌肉挫伤后组织中细胞间黏附分子－1（intercellular adhesion molecular－1，ICAM－1）mRNA的表达．分析其与损伤时间的关系。方法制备大鼠挫伤模型，于伤后0．5、l、6、12、18、24和30h取材，一步法提取总RNA，检测其完整性和质量浓度，逆转录合成第一链cDNA，以rpl32为内参基因进行荧光定量检测，采用△△Ct法比较其与正常皮肤、肌肉组织中ICAM－1mRNA表达的倍数关系。结果皮肤挫伤后ICAM－1mRNA的表达0．5h达到峰值，24h下降至正常对照组的7倍．随后再次升高：在肌肉组织中于损伤后0．5h表达显著增强，6h达到峰值，18h降至最低后再次升高。结论大鼠皮肤、肌肉挫伤后ICAM－1mRNA表达随损伤时间呈规律性变化，可望用于早期损伤时间推断。     

An Interactional Perspective of Intimate Partner Violence: An In-depth Semi-structured Interview of a Representative Sample of Help-seeking Women

This article reports a study of women victimized by intimate partner violence (IPV). We describe three interactional aspects of IPV: (1) responses and conduct before, during, and after IPV episodes, (2) impact of alcohol and drug intoxication, and (3) Predictors of risk for IPV victimization in more than one partnership. A representative sample of 157 help-seeking women, recruited from family counseling offices, the police and shelters, were interviewed about physical, psychological and sexual IPV. The nature and characteristics of the IPV interactions were complex and heterogeneous. There were significant interactional differences between the IPV categories concerning the women’s responses and conduct before, during and after the IPV. The impact of alcohol and drug intoxication was relatively small on the occurrence of IPV. About 75% reported that neither the perpetrator nor the female victim had consumed alcohol or drugs before the index IPV exposure. Only 23% of the women had experienced IPV by previous partners. Women who had been subjected to sexual abuse in their family of origin were at almost 25 times increased risk of IPV victimization in more than one partnership. Childhood exposure to physical IPV between parents increased the risk of IPV victimization in more than one partnership significantly more than if the woman had been subject to childhood physical victimization.     

14岁青少年手腕骨发育的研究Ⅱ.女生骨龄标准的制定

目的研究我国当前青少年手腕骨发育状况,探讨制定专用于法医学推断女性刑事责任年龄14岁的骨龄标准。方法以湖南冷水江地区青少年为对象,按照纳入标准,选取14岁±3个月的健康女性中学生110名,拍摄其左手腕部后前位X线片。选择手腕骨15个部位,按照统一标准进行观察、测量,采用最大百分比法确定发育等级标准,建立骨龄评估方法,以单盲法进行验证。结果桡骨,中排第三、第四指骨干骺端发育等级为部分闭合（〉2/3为主）,其余掌指骨干骺端发育等级则以完全闭合残留骺线痕迹为主;对于中排第三、四指骨,不足14岁和已满14岁发育等级尚存差异,不足14岁组骨骺发育以部分闭合（〉2/3为主）为主,已满14岁组则以残存骺线痕迹为主。各个观察部位骨骺横径宽于干骺横径。30例的验证结果准确率为83.3%。结论根据发育等级特征及测量学方法建立骨龄标准准确性较好。     

信息时代高校图书馆馆员素质及培养

信息时代高校图书馆馆员应具备信息素质、思想道德素质、职业道德素质、业务素质、身心素质等，本文结合目前高校图书馆馆员素质的现状，阐述馆员素质培养的必要性．并提出高校图书馆馆员素质培养的有效方法。     

Orogen: Advanced relationship predictions for genetic genealogy

Orogen advances the science of relationship prediction by using Ped-sim, which improves upon previous models by incorporating crossover interference and sex-specific genetic maps. The Orogen tool provides accurate relationship predictions for a wide range of relationship types. It properly differentiates between close relatives at 23andMe, which is a newly available functionality for standalone tools. It provides new granularity of close relationships by showing the differences between paternal and maternal sides and in-group relationship types.     

嫖宿幼女罪分解归入强奸罪与猥亵儿童罪及立法修订研究

嫖宿幼女罪的客观方面分别与强奸罪和猥亵儿童罪的一部分相重合,可以将该罪归入后两个犯罪中,减少冗余罪名及引发的司法适用中的矛盾和民众的不满。这样处理对幼女的身心健康的法益保护范围不会减少,而定罪界限更加明确。归入两罪后,对强奸罪中嫖宿幼女量刑情节进一步细化,通过刑法修订增设猥亵儿童罪加重的构成要件,能够进一步有效从严打击相关犯罪。     

Has Public Administration Grown Up? The Road to Maturation

Abstract

Public administration has not yet become adult. It exhibits many of the signs of adolescence. These signs most clearly are self-doubt and continuous adoption of the newest fad. Also the field has not come to terms with its content, so it breaks into smaller and smaller units, each with a different name considered superior to the others. Yet all have much in common. The field needs to come back together in order to move toward adulthood, which will best be realized by linking public administration and democracy. Shakespeare's call for justice seems an appropriate challenge.