低碳壁垒对我国出口贸易的实质影响与应对思考

低碳关税是发达国家借保护环境之名而发明的新词语,早在哥本哈根气候大会召开之前就有两个国家对此表现出浓厚的兴趣,并极有可能成为阻碍我国产品出口的又一道新绿色贸易壁垒。与此前的绿色壁垒相比,低碳关税的打击力度更大,波及范围更广。因此,研究低碳关税,有针对性地采取预防措施,做好应对诉讼准备不仅必要而且具有重大意义。     

印俄高度军备依赖关系生成机制探究

依赖关系可以出现从轻微依赖、中度依赖到高度依赖等不同程度的情景，是否存在供求关系、是否涉及关键资源、能否承担转换成本是判断国家间依赖程度高低的三个标准。印度和俄罗斯之间的军备合作达到了一种高度依赖的关系，这种关系并不是自然产生的，而是伴随着俄罗斯作为资源供应国采取的主动锁定策略生成并得到强化。通过“展示—供应—刺激—捆绑”这一系列主动锁定策略，俄罗斯逐步强化了印度对其军备供应的高度依赖，也使其国防发展模式和作战理念深深烙上了俄罗斯的印记。在军备依赖的强化过程中，印俄关系得到积极巩固和深入发展，但印度的战略灵活性也同时受到了损害，使印度处于机会主义风险中。当前印俄军备贸易过程中的摩擦、国际军备出口市场竞争的加剧、美印军事关系的发展等因素都不同程度地影响着印俄锁定依赖的稳定性。     

Development Cooperation and Dependency: An Analysis of Brazilian-Spanish Cooperation in Latin America Between 2010 and 2018

Based on analysis of Brazilian-Spanish cooperation in Latin America, this article aims to contribute to the discussion on whether South–South Cooperation (SSC) represents an alternative model with specific and differentiated objectives, or if it largely reproduces the constraints and interests traditionally associated with the North–South model, but with new institutions and actors. We start by analysing the main criticisms levelled at cooperation in the literature, emphasising the identification, review and comparison of the mechanisms of domination and dependency that derive from the bilateral and multilateral practices of traditional development cooperation. We then construct a synthetic dependency index to measure the ability of Spain and Brazil – as representative cases of North–South Cooperation (NSC) and SSC with Latin America – to influence the foreign trade, investment and foreign policy decisions of aid recipients, and to empirically contrast the lower level of verticality that much of the available literature assumes about SSC schemes. The empirical analysis suggests significant differences between NSC and SSC in terms of their ability to reproduce dependency patterns and validate the discourse that tends to identify the latter as an alternative cooperation model.     

Assessing the role of regulatory quality,favouritism, administrative requirement and licencing restriction in curtailing carbon emissions

The urgent need to achieve the Paris Agreement has compelled countries to set mitigation targets to curtail carbon emissions. Notwithstanding, stakeholders' effort to implement emission-reduction policies is often constrained by institutional challenges. This study provides new evidence about the dynamic relationship between institutional quality and carbon emissions in 63 industrialised economies. Using a reduced-form energy emission model and the system GMM technique, we exploit four institutional quality measures—favouritism, administrative requirement, licencing restriction and regulatory quality—and analyse their impact on carbon emissions. The results show that institutions play a fundamental role in mitigating carbon emissions. However, the abatement effect depends on the regulatory quality, the extent of favouritism, licencing restrictions and administrative requirements. Our findings reveal that stringent regulations such as licencing restrictions reduce carbon emissions in the short and long run. Administrative requirement such as emission reporting inhibits carbon emission in the short and long run, whereas favouritism worsens it. The results are robust to alternative model specifications. The findings from this study highlight the need for policymakers to pay close attention to favouritism, as it tends to reduce the effectiveness of emission policy regulations. Additionally, we argue for the need for stringent administrative requirements given its critical role in internalising carbon emission intensity in industrialised economies.     

美国气候战略及中美气候合作北大核心

当前全球气候危机加速演进,气候变化与国际战略深度融合,全球气候治理进入大变局和秩序重塑的关键时期。美国拜登政府重启气候新议程,将气候变化议题提升至美国国家安全与外交政策的中心地位,其战略目标是在全球气候权力重组、气候安全体系重构、气候治理秩序重塑中争夺主导权,拜登政府的气候战略框架已基本成型。统筹应对美国气候战略竞争风险和深入推进COP26后中美气候外交,关系到国际安全体系与全球气候治理新秩序的构建。中美唯有良性互动、拓展合作空间才能维护国际安全及人类在21世纪的可持续发展。