Population Generations and Economic Growth: An Analysis on Population Policy Choices under the New Normal

When the generation of post-80s entered the labor market during 2003—2013, the China economic growth presented an inverted U type track. When the generations of post-90s and post-00s enter the labor market, growth will have dramatically declined. With post-90s and post-00s entering into the labor market, population bonus begins to disappear after 2016. To prevent Chinese economic fastly falling into demographic cliff, the paper evaluate the delay retirement and fertility policy, and we found that, when post- 90s and post-00s are entering into the labor market, delaying retirement is better than not, maintaining fertility policy unchanged is better than a relaxed fertility policy, while adjusting the retirement system brings about great effect. Delayed retirement policies need to be performed immediately, fertility policy is important, but not urgent.     

俄罗斯气候政策转型的驱动因素及国际影响分析

作为世界第三大温室气体排放国和世界最大能源出口国,俄罗斯在国际气候协议谈判中的地位极其重要。自从梅德韦杰夫总统上任以来,俄罗斯政府一改过去的冷漠态度,在国内和国际两个层面采取了一系列行动,在应对气候变化问题上表现出积极的政治姿态,被国际社会解读为俄罗斯的气候政策出现了惊人的转型。分析俄罗斯气候政策转型的各种驱动因素以及由此带来的国际影响,对研究未来国际气候体制的发展趋势具有重要意义。     

Getting Caught and Getting Hitched: An Assessment of the Relationship Between Police Intervention,Life Chances,and Romantic Unions

Little research has assessed the link between formal police intervention, financial hardship, and the formation and quality of romantic relationships. Using data from the Rochester Youth Development Study, we contribute to this literature by examining effects of police intervention at two time points on marriage stability and romantic relationship quality. We find that police intervention during adolescence is associated with increases in financial hardship during young adulthood, which, in turn, decreases the odds of entering into a stable marriage by age 31 and the extent to which those who have a romantic relationship feel their partner is supportive. Early police intervention also is indirectly associated with a reduction in partner satisfaction and an increase in partner violence via young adult arrest. We conclude that even minimally invasive contact with the criminal justice system during adolescence has long-lasting collateral consequences in the family arena.     

致胎儿死伤的刑法评价

国内关于胎儿性致死伤的讨论,往往忽略中外刑法在是否规定堕胎罪问题上的明显差异性;自愿堕胎可谓一种自伤行为不构成犯罪,计生部门依法强制堕胎因存在违法性阻却事由而不构成犯罪;凡是违背孕妇意愿伤害胎儿(未导致孕妇死亡),致胎儿在母体内死亡的,或者在母体内受到重大伤害但经过治疗而没有留下后遗症的,以及在母体内受到严重伤害留下后遗症以致出生后不久死亡或者形成严重残疾的,都是对母体健康生育机能的侵害,故意为之的构成故意伤害罪,过失为之的构成过失致人重伤罪。     

论宽严相济刑事政策几个问题

面对社会转型的现实,我们应该以刑事立法理念和刑事司法理念的调整和重构为出发点,重新审视刑事政策。刑事政策是一个历史的范畴、动态的过程,它以社会总体态势为依托,以社会犯罪态势为晴雨表、风向标。应通过前瞻与检讨,从事理、情理、法理角度论证宽严相济刑事政策是合理地组织对犯罪反应机制的应然选择。     

社会转型期青少年网络文明失范原因探析

社会转型时期,随着网络信息技术的发展,青少年网络文明失范现象时有发生,主要表现为:模糊的网络文明意识;有悖道德的网络行为;异化的网络双重人格。社会转型时期之于青少年网络文明失范现象的产生,其影响主要表现在如下三个方面:首先,多元价值观念的冲突引发了青少年网络文明意识的紊乱;其次,转型时期的"规范缺席"助长了青少年网络失范行为的生成;最后,转型时期所带来的心理冲击诱发了青少年网络双重人格的形成。     

中小企业创新转型与民间资本利用

温州金融危机深刻揭示出传统中小企业发展正待转型,金融体制改革必须进一步深化和落实,民间资本才能得到健康发展和有效利用。桂林应利用多种渠道推进民间投融资活动,政府在财税、担保保险、绩效管理等方面的支持与改革大大有利于中小企业的创新发展与民间金融的健康有效利用。     

中国社会转型时期的军事法创新

中国的社会转型和社会发展,必须以国家安全为保障,以高质量、高效能的军事力量为支撑。处于全球化浪潮和社会转型期的中国国防和军队建设,面临着国际、国内环境的多重冲击。这种冲击对我国军事法提出了一系列新的课题,也为军事法的创新提供了新的机遇。     

社会转型期我国意识形态面临的挑战及重构

意识形态作为社会上层建筑的重要组成部分,具有非常特殊的作用。在社会转型期,我国意识形态正面临着国际、国内环境变化和党自身状况变化的严峻挑战,需要解决西方文化强势传播与文化民族化、本土化的冲突等矛盾。为此,必须坚持马克思主义在意识形态领域的主导地位,弘扬和培育民族文化,在全社会构建社会主义的核心价值观。