“宅基地换房”——天津户籍制度改革的有益尝试

随着改革开放的深入和经济社会的发展,农村的城镇化已成为不可逆转之势。全国各地农村在推进小城镇建设中模式各异,天津市正在探索一条以宅基地换房建设示范小城镇的新路子,而户籍制度作为城乡二元结构的突出表现形式已面临着全面改革的阶段。本文综合考察了天津市各示范镇认为,以＂宅基地换房＂的办法是天津户籍制度改革的有益尝试。     

The undecided voters and the economy: Campaign heterogeneity in the 2005 British general election

Research and conventional wisdom suggest that undecided voters are especially prone to campaign persuasion. Little has been done, however, in the way of uncovering the decision pathways followed by these voters. In this paper we seek to assess the undecided voters’ alleged campaign susceptibility and, most importantly, to explore which campaign considerations inform their final voting decisions. Our central finding is that their behaviour is driven to a larger extent by economic performance and less by leadership or other valence evaluations. This finding has important implications for parties’ campaign strategies in an era where the ranks of undecided voters are steadily expanding from one election to the other.     

农村人口变迁对农业家庭经营的影响与法律对策

作为农村社会变迁的重要组成部分,农村人口变迁主要包括人口数量、结构、质量、心理素质以及思想观念等方面的变化。在新的历史时期,我国农村人口的变迁呈现出独特的趋势。农村人口各个方面的变迁会对农业家庭经营产生重要而又深远的影响,因此,必须重视农村人口变迁的趋势及其影响,着力调整计划生育、农村就业以及农村公共产品供给等方面的法律制度,确保我国农业家庭经营获得健康发展。     

Electoral Institutions,Social Diversity and Fragmentation of Party Systems: A Reassessment

The article examines the determinants of party fragmentation based on electoral district data from the Swiss cantons (2010‐2015). In contrast to previous studies, three different dependent variables are taken into account: firstly, the raw number of parties, secondly, the effective number of parties based on vote shares and, thirdly, the effective number of legislative parties. On all three levels, the exclusion magnitude proves to be the most important factor. Compared to this, other institutional variables contribute little explanatory power. However, apparentments are relevant in the first stage of our analysis as they increase the raw number of parties standing for election. In terms of sociological factors, we only find limited relevance. Denominational and linguistic heterogeneity do not have any impact. This can be explained by the fact that linguistic heterogeneity is only weakly pronounced at district level. The finding emphasises the importance of district‐based data for the analysis of party system fragmentation in general.     

重庆“地票”制度在统筹城乡与户籍制度改革中的价值探析

"地票"制度作为重庆统筹城乡综合配套改革的一项制度创新,经过近四年的运行,重庆"地票"制度在统筹城乡与户籍制度改革中的价值日益显现。     

Behavioral Heterogeneity in Adolescent Friendship Networks

Criminologists’ understanding of peer influences has been greatly advanced by social network methods; however, relatively scant attention has been paid to improving measurement. In particular, research has continued to measure peer influence by averaging the level of delinquency within a peer network, thereby neglecting the role of behavioral heterogeneity. The present study seeks to advance theory and research into peer influences on delinquency by explicitly modeling behavioral heterogeneity in peer networks measured as the variance. Drawing on social learning and opportunity theories, we argue that behavioral heterogeneity should attenuate the effect of average peer delinquency on individual offending. Models using social network data from the Add Health were estimated predicting involvement in two delinquent substance-use acts (cigarette smoking and getting drunk) as a function of peer influences. The results are consistent with our hypothesis, indicating that behavioral heterogeneity matters. Findings suggest that future research employing network models could incorporate peer behavioral heterogeneity to get a more accurate portrait of the processes of peer influence.     

Neighborhood heterogeneity and electoral turnout

We perform an empirical analysis to investigate how neighborhood heterogeneity affects electoral turnout. To this end, we rely on a unique dataset on local elections in an Italian municipality, which merges information on socio-economic characteristics of about 370.000 individuals with turnout data for 434 electoral precincts in 2004 and 2009. Exploiting both across and within precincts variation, we are able to disentangle the contextual effects on precinct-level electoral turnout of two different dimensions of neighborhood heterogeneity: income inequality and ethnic composition. Our results support the idea that contextual heterogeneity negatively affects political participation.     

武汉城市圈户籍制度现状及改革构想

武汉城市圈的户籍制度改革对于推动圈内的经济发展及实现中部崛起的战略具有重要意义。目前武汉城市圈内各城市间的户籍制度存在差异、人户分离现象严重,公民的许多权益难以保障,城市化进程受阻,因而应从渐次放宽户口迁移限制、健全以居住地为主的户口登记制度,推进城市圈内人口信息现代化的进程,使武汉城市圈户籍制度改革更臻完善。     

文化转型下中国农村家庭养老探析

我国目前农村家庭养老文化的转型,集中表现在从家族主义到家庭民主;从宗法制度保障到主要依靠舆论约束;从无条件性、非功利性到条件性和功利性。这些变化带来了农村家庭养老纠纷增多等诸多新问题。要解决好这些问题,必须从深层次探索农村家庭养老社会化的新路。