间断—平衡模型：长期政策变迁的非线性解释

政策变迁并非只是渐进的过程,重大的政策转变和政策中断也时常发生。以逻辑经验主义为基础的渐进主义模型只强调政策的渐进性变迁,而忽略政策的间断性变迁。建立在库恩科学范式基础上的政策研究不仅关注政策的渐进性变迁,而且也关注政策的间断性变迁。＂间断-平衡模型＂建立在有限理性决策和制度结构基础上,认为政府政策制定具有稳定性和间断性的特点。该模型有效解释了长期政策稳定过程中伴有偶尔急剧变迁的现象,为长期政策变迁提供了新的解释框架。本文介绍了＂间断-平衡模型＂的缘起、理论基础、核心观点、解释过程等几个方面,最后对模型进行简要评述。     

利用足迹自动识别系统对现场足迹进行图像处理

针对现场足迹的特点,在足迹自动识别系统原理的基础上,分析研究影响足迹图象质量的各种因素,并就这些不同原因,给出有效的足迹图象处理方法。结果表明,利用足迹自动识别系统对现场足迹进行处理,可以得到较高质量的足迹图象。同时,相比较其他图象处理方法,该方法简单、方便,具有较好实用性和可操作性,从而提高了现场足迹的利用率。     

中共在陕甘宁边区执政形象探析

中国共产党在陕甘宁边区掌握局部政权期间,以陕甘宁边区为“一切工作的试验区”,把合乎最广大人民群众的最大利益和为最广大人民群众所拥护作为价值坐标,推进民主政治建设,健全法制,建设廉洁政府,倡导深入实际、调查研究,领导人民发展经济、文化教育和医疗卫生事业,开展社会改造运动,塑造和展示出中共在陕甘宁边区执政的民主、廉洁、亲民、为民形象,给我们留下深刻启示。     

韩国古代诗歌的大唐影响——杜甫与李达诗中的“马”意象

韩国古代＂三唐诗人＂致力于学习中国唐诗,努力将自己的诗风与唐诗接近,在唐代诗人中,杜甫的诗成为他们学习和模仿的典范。李达与杜甫的人生遭际类似,一生处于社会底层,抑郁不得志,他的《柳摠戎紫骝马歌》是赠与知己友人柳珩的诗.表达了一个远离于主流社会的局外人的悲哀。他借鉴了杜甫诗中的＂马＂意象,但又有所不同。杜甫在自己的作品中,通过＂马＂的形象映射自己的理想和抱负,而李达的诗中只是以一个叙事者的身份状物抒情,没有达到杜甫的意象高度,李达虽然模仿了唐诗,但并没有完全悟透其中滋味。本文试图通过一个侧面,揭示韩国古代三唐诗人在接受中国唐代诗歌中的得失。     

Arts Organizations and Branding: Creating a New Joint Brand for Three Arts Organizations

This article investigates brand architecture by analyzing stakeholder perceptions of brand images when a new joint brand is created for the existing brands of three arts organizations. The theoretical framework is based on previous literature on brand architecture and brand image. The empirical study is based on a quantitative, 418-respondent survey among stakeholders of these three arts organizations. The study makes two major theoretical contributions. First, the results show that the new joint brand can be endorsed by the existing sub-brands, contrary to brand-architecture literature. Second, even in the case of a new brand, stakeholders perceive the functional attributes as important.     

A Novel Forged Image Detection Method Using the Characteristics of Interpolation

Development of digital image‐editing programs has enabled us to be widely exposed to forged digital images surrounding us. Such forged images have been dispersed through the Internet, newspaper articles, and magazines, and in particular, the information contained in these unverified images happened to be regarded as true. As a result, the forged images provided wrong information for individuals and society, thus sometimes creating social issues. In order to solve such problems, this study was aimed to suggest the methods of identifying the veracity of forged images. In this way, it suggested re‐interpolation algorithm. Namely, the study re‐interpolated in identical arbitrary values both the interpolated and un‐interpolated regions based on the interpolation used a lot in forged, confirmed discrete fourier transform (DFT) characteristics of these two regions, and embodied a detection map for the final forged images, using the subtraction value between two regions in DFT characteristics.     

The Baku 2015 European Games as a national milestone of post-Soviet Azerbaijan

The Baku European Games, the first multi-sport mega-event held at a European level, was a major public relations undertaking by Azerbaijan. The games were framed by a trend involving large-scale sports events promoted by the Ilham Aliyev government, based on the profits of the second oil boom in the twenty-first century. The sports event served to internationally portray Azerbaijan as a rapidly developing country and in this way to increase national consciousness within the society, which was lacking a collective narrative in the post-Soviet era. Nonetheless, the downturn due to the fall of international oil prices negatively affected the impact of the sports mega-event. Moreover, the sports competition symbolized the government’s commitment to impose reasons of state and nation-building over social needs and political freedoms in Azerbaijan. This article is based on empirical fieldwork carried out in Baku in the months following the multi-sports event.     

游客形象对中国公共外交的影响分析

中国已经成为世界第一旅游消费大国,庞大的出国人群原本可以成为公共外交的使者和国家形象的代言人,遗憾的是,此起彼伏的中国游客不文明行为,不仅引起目的地居民的反感,而且降低了中国政府公共外交的可信度,使国家形象受损。在全民外交时代,应加强对游客形象问题的研究,探究其对公共外交的影响程度,充分发挥个体在公共外交中的积极作用。     

Economic strain and perceptions of social cohesion in Europe: Does institutional trust matter?

The degree to which different social groups get along is a key indicator of the cohesiveness of a society. This study examines perceptions of social cohesion among Europeans and explains variations in those perceptions by considering the separate and combined effects of economic strain and institutional trust. Analyses were conducted with the 27 member countries of the EU based on the Eurobarometer 74.1 on poverty and social exclusion conducted in 2010. Results show that individuals living in households experiencing economic strain perceive social cohesion to be weaker than their less economically hard‐pressed counterparts. By contrast, individuals trusting their political institutions perceived there to be higher levels of cohesion. Furthermore, institutional trust substantially moderates the negative relationship between economic strain and perceptions of cohesion. These results are robust to various model specifications. Moreover, extending the analysis revealed that this moderating effect held when considering social relations between the poor and rich and between different racial and ethnic groups. Theoretical and practical implications of the results are discussed.     

论侦查假设在视频图像侦查中的运用

在信息化背景下,视频图像侦查已经成为刑侦部门打击和预防犯罪的重要方法之一。在视频图像侦查中,侦查人员针对采集的视频图像信息运用侦查假设的方法进行研判分析,挖掘出侦查线索,化解侦查僵局,切实推进侦查工作的进程。因此,有必要以大量视频图像侦查成功案例为素材,系统地对侦查假设在视频图像侦查中运用的工作流程进行梳理和总结,从人、案情、通信工具、交通工具、现场痕迹物证和光影六个方面提出假设并验证假设。