世界经济发展不平衡加剧与中国经济的制度创新

过去 10年来 ,经济全球化的步伐在加快 ,世界经济发展的不平衡也在加剧 ,这是在世界范围内生产力与生产关系矛盾运动的必然规律和偶然事变综合作用的结果。世界经济发展史表明 ,不平衡发展是挑战 ,但更是后进者加快发展、实现崛起的机遇。中国是世界上最大的发展中国家 ,能否以入世为契机融入世界经济发展的主流 ,实现经济崛起 ,主要取决于经济制度的创新。     

论可持续发展与我国立法体系的重新架构

我国的国情决定了我国必须走可持续发展的道路 ,而作为实现可持续发展重要手段的现行法律与可持续发展的要求差距颇大。为此 ,有必要以可持续发展思想为指导重新架构我国立法体系 ,使之符合可持续发展的要求。     

论收入政策在扩大内需中的作用

我国现阶段的收入结构政策表现为体制内人员收入分配的平均化和体制外人员分配的过分悬殊。平均化的分配所形成的消费平台不利于形成消费的梯级结构 ,过分悬殊的分配不利于扩大有效需求。失业率提高、国有企业改革滞后、农产品价格低迷等原因使城乡居民收入总量减少都不利于扩大有效需求。因此 ,我国必须调整收入政策 ,扩大有效需求。     

市场、激励机制及公司治理结构

本文从委托代理制的天然风险出发 ,将公司治理结构置于市场中来认识 ,提出由完善市场来解决公司治理结构面临的委托代理风险问题。并用此观点分析了对我国国有企业治理结构进行规范的必要性以及进一步地改革意见。     

科技成果转化与科技成果信息资源的开发利用

科技成果信息资源开发利用的基本途径有：（１）采用“出版物──数据库”一体化模式开发和利用科技成果信息资源;（２）面向企业信息主管与信息经纪人的开发利用模式;（３）促进官、产、学、研结合,完善技术创新机制;（４）建立风险投资与交叉融资机制,带动科技成果信息资源开发利用;（５）科技创新信息与产业化经营信息一体化,创造企业对创新活动的有效信息需求;（６）建立“科技成果转化咨询中心”。     

Comparative Study of Domestic and Foreign Bank Performance in Thailand: The Regression Analysis

This paper studies the performance of domestic and foreign banks in Thailand in terms of profitability and other characteristics after the East Asian financial crisis. The study is based on a micro bank-level panel data on financial statements by pooling cross-bank time-series data with the major balance sheet and income statement ratios for domestic and foreign banks in Thailand for 1995–2000. All banks were found to have reduced their credit exposure during the crisis years, and to have gradually improved their profitability during the post-crisis years. The results indicate that foreign bank profitability is higher than the average profitability of the domestic banks although importantly, in the post-crisis period, the gap between foreign and domestic profitability become closer. This shows some positive results of the financial restructuring program. Saovanee Chantapong (Ms) currently works as a senior economist at the Office of Macroeconomic Policy and Analysis. She received her ph.D. in Economics from the Faculty of Economics and Management at the University of Hannover (Germany) in 2005. Paper submitted to the International West-East Conference 2003: Accounting and Finance in Transition: European and Asian Experiences and Public Policy Considerations, London, 10–12 July 2003. This paper is a revised version of the Kiel Advanced Studies Working paper (May 2002) which was written when the author participated in Advanced Studies Programme (ASP) at the Kiel Institute for World Economics (IFW), Germany. The author is greatly indebted to Dr. Ralph Heinrich, her discussant and Dr. Claudia M. Buch for their valuable comments. The author would like to thank Bussaracum Petchclai and Augsupalee Watcharakiet, her colleagues at the Bank of Thailand for their great help. The paper has benefited from very helpful comments from Felix Hammermann, Om Prakash Mall and Paula Jaramillo. The author is also grateful to Prof. Dr. Lukas Menkhoff, Chair, the Institute of Monetary Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Hannover. The views expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author only and do not necessarily reflect those of the Bank of Thailand. Remaining errors are under the author’s responsibilities.     

Online Dispute Resolution and Bargaining

The automated negotiation process seems to be a powerful mechanism to resolve disputes arising from Internet-based transactions. Automated negotiation is an online blind-bidding process in which an automated algorithm evaluates bids from the parties and settles the case if the offers are within a prescribed range. Following the arguments of the dispute resolution professionals, the main advantage of this procedure is to promote natural agreements by restoring the parties' right to negotiate on their own, without the presence of a third party in the shadow of negotiations. Our purpose is to investigate this issue by modelling the automated negotiation process as a two-person bargaining game under incomplete information. A first result states that, given incomplete information, not all mutually beneficial agreements can be attained via the procedure. Furthermore, the settlement rule has a drastic effect on the players' strategies, which induces that the automated negotiation process does not significantly increase the likelihood of a settlement. The ability of the procedure to generate efficiency is only due to the costs imposed on parties if a disagreement occurs, that is the combination of players' risk aversion and uncertainty.     

现代系统论视野下的国际政治理论

本文拟以广义系统论一般模式的构造为基础,从国际政治体系的结构和层次、国际政治体系的功能和环境、国际政治体系的稳衡和变革四个方面,对20世纪70年代以来国际关系思想史中的主要理论,加以梳理、比较和分析,进而揭示系统论对国际政治理论研究所产生的巨大影响,并彰显诸理论之间的区别和联系.最终,希望通过对科学知识之间的渗透交叉与相互借鉴关系的辨明,能够在更广阔和深远的背景下建构中国的国际关系理论研究体系.     

浅析犯罪情报意识的内涵及表现

犯罪情报意识是社会意识在犯罪情报工作中的表现。在宏观上,犯罪情报意识指的是参与犯罪情报工作的所有主体对犯罪情报的概念和社会功能的总体认识,在现阶段表现为认识到侦查工作是围绕犯罪情报展开的,情报主导侦查工作。在微观上,则是从事犯罪情报工作的个体对犯罪情报的重视和敏锐的感知能力以及严格按照犯罪情报的特性和犯罪情报工作规范处理犯罪情报的自觉性。     

论东部地区战略性产业结构的合理布局

区域战略性产业是关系到国民经济发展和区域战略性产业结构合理化的关键性、全局性和长远性的产业。东部地区战略性产业结构为东部地区乃至全国产业结构合理化作出了贡献。但随着内外条件的变化, 东部地区战略性产业结构应选择海洋产业、电子信息产业、新材料产业、可再生能源产业和金融业进行布局。