高级领导干部腐败犯罪的“大数据画像”及廉洁治理对策——基于十八大以来125个腐败案例的实证分析

全面从严治党向纵深发展迫切需要总结腐败的规律性特征,提升当前和下一阶段反腐败工作的精准性、科学性和及时性。党的十八大以来,部分高级领导干部的政治腐败、经济腐败、生活腐败相互交织,具有明显的主体特征、时间特征、空间特征、类型特征,汇聚而成高级领导干部腐败犯罪的“大数据画像”。政治权力异化内因、政治生态恶化诱因和政治监督弱化外因是腐败犯罪生成的重要原因。强化腐败惩治增强“不敢腐”的法治震慑,优化腐败预防增强“不能腐”的机制保障,改进廉政教育增强“不想腐”的政治自觉,一体推进廉洁治理。     

Identifying Unit-Dependency and Time-Specificity in Longitudinal Analysis: A Graphical Methodology

Longitudinal analysis in criminology and other social sciences has become an important research tool because it allows us to draw conclusions from observing how multiple units change over time. Unfortunately, its results are more vulnerable to potential influences of unusual observational units or periods of time. Current leverage diagnostics are designed for cross-sectional analysis and are fallible when applied to longitudinal models. This article introduces a graphical diagnostic methodology to systematically examine the sensitivity of longitudinal results to extreme observational units and periods of time—unit-dependency and time-specificity. Further the article illustrates its use with an example testing policy effects on black and white female victimization of intimate partner homicide. Results are displayed in an easily understood graph that provides a snapshot of the results' time-specific patterns and robustness to unit-dependency. Currently, comparable tests for panel analysis are tedious and cumbersome. With this new illuminating methodology, researchers and policy-makers can easily decide whether a time-specific or unit-dependent pattern is consequential.     

基于Web服务的数据上传

随着Web的迅速普及和跨平台需求的日益增加，Web Services的应用也越来越广，人们有时要通过Web Services来传递大批量的数据信息。基于Web服务的数据上传方法，有效地克服了端对端通信方法受防火墙限制的缺陷，实际应用效果很好。     

电子政务在停车设施行业管理中的试点应用

介绍了公共停车场登记备案系统的结构和功能 ,同时指出 ,该系统的投入使用 ,将为公共停车场的登记备案和管理工作奠定重要的技术基础     

大数据时代司法统计在审判管理中的应用

保障司法统计数据的精确、真实,要求司法统计方法进一步完善,这就要求科技发展能够促进司法统计的发展。科学的统计方法要求能够解决司法统计数据孤立、统计报表报送滞后的问题,并完善审判质效评估体系、创新海量数据挖掘分析机制,最终为司法审判工作服务。     

Introducing the International System(s) Dataset (ISD), 1816–2011

We argue that the Correlates of War dataset on sovereign state membership has two weaknesses: a requirement that states maintain diplomatic relations with Britain and France, and a size inconsistency that disqualifies many mid-sized states in the pre-1920 period. As a consequence, entire state systems are excluded from the data, and the total number of states during the nineteenth century is undercounted. After reviewing two other approaches to identifying states, we offer an alternative set of criteria that identifies 100 completely new cases, and a total of 363 states between 1816 and 2011. These modifications reveal several previously overlooked patterns. Most importantly, the global trend in the number of states over time is concave. From a high of 134 in 1816, states declined precipitously in the mid-nineteenth century through the processes of accession, conquest, and unification. This pattern of state consolidation bottomed out in 1912, and states have proliferated since 1945. However, the pattern of state death and state birth varied by region in the nineteenth century. Whereas the state systems of South Asia and Southeast Asia experienced a steady reduction in the number of states, Africa underwent a more dynamic process of state formation, consolidation, and death.     

汉邦监控录像时间信息研究

目的建立寻找汉邦监控录像目标时间范围监控录像数据的方法。方法使用X-ways数据搜索功能，搜索目标时间范围监控录像数据。结果通过底层数据搜索，成功提取出所需时间范围监控录像。结论汉邦监控录像可以通过底层数据搜索的方式寻找目标时间范围监控录像。     

Population genetic data of five X-chromosomal loci in Bauru (São Paulo, Brazil)

Genetic population data for five X-STR (DXS6854, DXS7424, DXS101, DXS6808 and DXS7132) were obtained from Bauru population (São Paulo, Brazil). No deviations from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium were observed, with the exception of DXS101. The combined powers of discrimination in males and females were 0.99897253 and 0.99999120, respectively. These high values show the potential of this system in human identification and paternity testing.     

谈会计电算化的安全问题及对策

随着电子计算机、信息技术的飞速发展和会计改革的不断深化,会计电算化的普及率越来越高,从而也面临众多新的挑战,特别是电算化的安全问题面临严重的威胁,本文将就会计电算化的安全问题进行比较系统的分析,并就解决会计电算化安全问题提出相应的对策。     

Sample Size Determination for Categorical Responses

Abstract:  Procedures are reviewed and recommendations made for the choice of the size of a sample to estimate the characteristics (sometimes known as parameters) of a population consisting of discrete items which may belong to one and only one of a number of categories with examples drawn from forensic science. Four sampling procedures are described for binary responses, where the number of possible categories is only two, e.g., licit or illicit pills. One is based on priors informed from historical data. The other three are sequential. The first of these is a sequential probability ratio test with a stopping rule derived by controlling the probabilities of type 1 and type 2 errors. The second is a sequential variation of a procedure based on the predictive distribution of the data yet to be inspected and the distribution of the data that have been inspected, with a stopping rule determined by a prespecified threshold on the probability of a wrong decision. The third is a two-sided sequential criterion which stops sampling when one of two competitive hypotheses has a probability of being accepted which is larger than another prespecified threshold. The fifth procedure extends the ideas developed for binary responses to multinomial responses where the number of possible categories (e.g., types of drug or types of glass) may be more than two. The procedure is sequential and recommends stopping when the joint probability interval or ellipsoid for the estimates of the proportions is less than a given threshold in size. For trinomial data this last procedure is illustrated with a ternary diagram with an ellipse formed around the sample proportions. There is a straightforward generalization of this approach to multinomial populations with more than three categories. A conclusion provides recommendations for sampling procedures in various contexts.