Mobilizing the Seldom Voter: Campaign Contact and Effects in High-Profile Elections

Decades of research suggests that campaign contact together with an advantageous socioeconomic profile increases the likelihood of casting a ballot. Measurement and modeling handicaps permit a lingering uncertainty about campaign communication as a source of political mobilization however. Using data from a uniquely detailed telephone survey conducted in a pair of highly competitive 2002 U.S. Senate races, we further investigate who gets contacted, in what form, and with what effect. We conclude that even in high-profile, high-dollar races the most important determinant of voter turnout is vote history, but that holding this variable constant reveals a positive effect for campaign communication among “seldom” voters, registered but rarely active participants who—ironically—are less likely than regular or intermittent voters to receive such communication.

论禁止重复评价原则与刑法竞合

禁止重复评价原则是与重复评价相对应的概念,其价值根源在于法的正义性.基于此,禁止重复评价原则制约刑法竞合情况下的行为的评价即犯罪单复数的分析和判断.具体体现为禁止重复评价原则与法条竞合、想象竞合、牵连犯和不可罚的前后行为之间的关系.     

The effect of socioeconomic policy and competence messages on populist radical right support: Evidence from a pre-election survey experiment

Does highlighting socioeconomic policy considerations or mainstream parties’ government competence reduce support for populist radical right (PRR) parties? Such “defuse” messages may attract PRR voters without alienating mainstream parties’ core electorate and thus, have advantages over an accommodative strategy. This study tests four “defuse” messages in an original survey experiment on a sample of 1,786 likely PRR voters in the context of the 2017 German federal election. The findings show that potential PRR voters are hardly swayed by these messages. This result is in notable contrast to findings from prior experimental studies about the malleability of PRR support. Exploratory analyses suggest that some of these null findings may mask heterogeneities. Both respondents who were surveyed during the first days of fieldwork and those with less political knowledge responded to some treatments in the expected way. Overall, these findings point to a limited responsiveness of PRR voters to “defuse” messages.     

The antecedents of voter loyalty and the mediation role of party attachment: A case study from Turkey

The primary objective of the present study is to identify the antecedents of voter loyalty, with a particular focus on the mediating role of party attachment in the relationship between inner-self, social-self, trust, and loyalty. Using a convenience sampling method, the data for this study were gathered from a sample of 750 voters residing in a developing European country, Turkey. The collected data were analyzed using confirmatory factor analyses and structural equation modeling. The results of the study demonstrate that significant and positive relationships exist between the aforementioned antecedents (i.e., inner-self, social-self, trust, and party attachment) and voter loyalty. Additionally, the findings suggest that party attachment acts as a mediator between the antecedents and loyalty. Drawing on these results and the existing literature on voter behavior and practice, the authors discuss methodological, theoretical, and practical implications for inner-self, social-self, trust, and party attachment.     

Developmental Trajectories and Intentional Actions

The article turns a critical eye on problems arising from use of largesamples and complicated statistics to handle multilevel designs. I arguethat although these have a legitimate role to play in discovering causalrelations, valuable information can be lost or distorted in the processof their use. Exploratory classification and tree diagrams show howtransitional analyses can unpack effects of community, family, priormisbehavior, juvenile delinquency, and incarceration on adult criminalbehavior. The analyses showed that in the worst neighborhoods, disruptivebehavior had little discriminating power with regard to juveniledelinquency or adult crime. They showed also that good family interactionsserve as protection against crime in all types of neighborhoods. ConstructTheory, I suggest, is a way to understand the influences that seem toproduce criminal behavior.     

知识产权领域的反竞争行为及其法律规制

知识产权的设定与行使既促进竞争又不可避免地限制竞争,知识产权保护制度是在限制竞争的基础上最大限度地促进竞争。在知识产权领域,本身也存在反竞争行为,具体可分为可容忍的反竞争行为和应受管制的反竞争行为。对于知识产权滥用导致的反竞争行为应受到知识产权法自身规范、民法基本原则以及竞争法的规制。     

20世纪日本流行语中的青年形象

20世纪日本流行语所反映的日本青年群体的偏差行为,不仅是相对于整个日本社会的思想、行为规范的偏差,而且是相对于绝大多数年轻人正统思想、行为的一种偏差。流行的是一种新奇或变异,而不是一种普遍的规则现象。所以从这一角度上说,不能把某一时期的流行语所反映的现象等同于特定时期整个日本青年的群像。     

转型时期农民犯罪特点探析

文章以“天津市犯罪调查科研数据库”的数据为依据 ,分析了转型时期农民犯罪在犯罪主体、犯罪类型结构、犯罪行为、犯罪组织、犯罪后果等方面的特征。     

日本受贿罪立法及对我国的借鉴价值

日本刑法中关于受贿罪规定了7个具体罪名,各个罪名之间既互相区别又相互补充。不同的具体罪名虽总体均属受贿罪,但每个罪名的构成要件的规定又有所不同,日本刑法中受贿罪的立法模式对我国刑法中受贿罪立法规定的进一步完善具有重要的借鉴意义,其中,日本刑法中受贿罪的行为基本模式、特殊行为的规定模式及法定刑设定模式对我国刑法的借鉴意义重大。     

论我国参政党参政行为的公共性

公共管理的主体是多元的 ,我国公共管理的主体主要包括共产党、人大、政府、政协等 ,而我国参政党作为政协的重要组成部分 ,其参政行为必然具有公共属性。本文主要从参政党的参政宗旨、参政方式、参政产品三个方面论述了其参政行为的公共性。