房价上涨的途径——财政、人口与预期的再验证

在国家“六稳”、“六保”的政策目标下,稳定房价具有较大现实意义。基于中国267个地级市2006-2018年的面板数据,通过联立方程模型实证研究地方财政支出、人口迁移以及预期对房价的影响。结果显示,市场对房价上涨的预期是推升房价上涨的主要因素,此外,全国层面的房价受到地方财政支出资本化的正向作用,东、中部地区房价受到人口迁移数量的显著影响,西部地区房价受到第三产业占比的支撑。因此,稳定房价的关键途径是维持购房者的市场信心,确保人口流入有助稳定东、中部地区房价?确保第三产业发展则是 稳定西部房价的重要途径。     

Commonwealth Student Exchange 1959-2019 – Planned and Unplanned

ABSTRACT

Higher education, and international student mobility, have expanded in 60 years since the Commonwealth Education Conference of 1959. It established a Commonwealth Scholarship and Fellowship Plan which has funded and moved early-career scholars and mid-career fellows between Commonwealth member countries. It has done so in a context in which the number of students moving between Commonwealth countries has grown but this intra-Commonwealth movement has shrunk as a proportion of the total, just as the Commonwealth has lost its political and economic significance. The scholarship plan expanded up to the 1990s, with students travelling from virtually all Commonwealth countries, mainly but not entirely to Australia, Britain, Canada and New Zealand. From the 1990s the plan has shrunk with Australia and Canada ending their awards and Britain limiting them to developing countries. Its purpose has moved from one of promoting Commonwealth cohesion to one of supporting development within the south. Its history demonstrates the way in which changing political circumstances have driven student mobility and shaped its geography.