The effect of alliance membership on national defense burdens, 1953–88: A test of Mancur Olson's theory of collective action

Olson and Zeckhauser (1966) offered the first theoretical explanation for variation in the defense burdens of allies. Since then, the theory of collective action (Olson, 1971 [1965]) has been extensively tested using the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Warsaw Pact (WTO). While most studies indicate that allied defense burdens (the ratio of military expenditures to gross domestic product) are correlated with economic size, this relationship has rarely been assessed for non‐allied states. Here we examine the association between national defense burdens and economic size, 1953–1988, for NATO, the WTO, the Rio Pact, and the Arab Collective Security Pact in a nested test using most of the non‐allied nations of the world as a control group. Our results generally support the theory. NATO and the Warsaw Pact consistently conform to theoretical expectations, and evidence regarding the Rio Pact, on balance, is positive. Defense burdens are not correlated with economic size within the Arab Pact, however. In addition, nations’ defense burdens are affected by the external threat, as indicated by arms races and war; but the effect of involvement in war is surprisingly small.     

国家重量级战略区域东北民营经济发展问题探讨

从新中国成立至今,东北一直作为国家重量级的战略区域,与其他方位意义上的东部、中部、西部具有不同区域价值,目前很需要民营经济又好又快的发展来加以承托。然而,在后金融危机时代的新一轮开发开放中,东北区域民营经济发展面临诸多挑战。为了解决这一重大课题,必须全方位透视东北区域民营经济发展的时代背景,评估东北区域民营经济发展的战略价值,分析现存问题,并且有针对性地做出战略对策创意:强化政府服务职能,构建完备的社会化服务体系;克服企业资金瓶颈,积极拓宽民营企业融资渠道;完善市场经济体制,破除民营经济发展的行业壁垒;拓展创新产业路径,扩大新兴产业中的民营分量;推进海洋经济发展,鼓励民营经济参与海洋开发;大力推进国际合作,促进民营经济对接国际市场。只有这样,东北区域民营经济才能实现跨越式发展,在老工业基地全面振兴中发挥出市场主体作用,支撑东北作为国家重量级战略区域再上新台阶。     

欧盟过境货物知识产权保护最新态势——兼评欧洲法院“NOKIA”案和“PHILLIPS”案

自2008年10月以来,在欧盟一些海关屡屡发生过境货物遭到扣押的事件,尤其是荷兰海关屡次扣押印度等国的过境药品,引起国际社会的极大关注.英国和比利时法院分别在审理“NOKIA”案和“PHIILIPS”案过程中对过境货物是否扣押产生疑问,并向欧洲法院提出咨询.近期欧洲法院对两案合并审理,做出一项里程碑意义的判决,厘清了过境货物、 “虚拟制造”理论等基本问题,对欧盟海关的知识产权执法和法院司法都有很好的指导作用,对于我国政府和企业也不无裨益.     

论无单放货的法律问题

提单是海上货物运输的重要单证.随国际贸易和航运事业的不断发展,提单也从一般托运收据发展成为物权凭证.提单作为代表货物所有权的凭证,可以通过背书转让或抵押,它已具备了一种有价证券的性质.提单的内容、条款以及调整提单的法律也随现代国际贸易的迅速发展而日趋详细和完善.但是,近些年由于航运的变化,无正本提单提货的现象频繁发生,这种行为的产生对传统的航运制度带来的冲击和影响很大.无单放货问题在司法实践和航运实践都引起重视,对这一现象进行研究.     

Transnational public goods provision: the increasing role of rising powers and the case of South Africa

The paper delineates three debates, which will be conflated. One line of discussion relates to public goods at a transnational level. Here, the referencing of debates regarding the characteristics of ‘a common good’ will be of significance. A second strand addresses the group of countries known as the ‘rising powers’ and the role these countries could play towards a globalised common good. A third discussion thread analyses South Africa as a case study for the main rising power on the African continent. By creating connections between the lines of discussion, this paper drives forward the debates on how the role of rising powers can be conceptually repositioned in the light of a changing global context, and explores how these countries can respond to global challenges.     

How irresponsible are rising powers?

Rising powers like Brazil, China and India have recently made significant gains in their capabilities as states. Therefore many IR scholars are claiming that these powers must now contribute more to the provision of global public goods like a clean environment, free trade and human rights. This article will argue that reasonably democratic international political discourses are another global public good whose greater supply is sorely needed and that rising powers are having a positive impact on the creation of such discourses. Thus rising powers are not behaving as irresponsibly as many IR scholars assume.     

广域组织RCEP下我国货物贸易流量的影响因素——基于静态面板数据的贸易引力模型

在广域一体化组织RCEP的区域范围内,运用基于静态面板数据的贸易引力模型分析方法,对我国货物贸易流量影响因素的问题进行了研究。首先探讨了什么是RCEP及其发展历程,其次对我国与其他RCEP成员国间的货物贸易流量进行描述性统计,接着对货物出口流量与GDP等诸多影响因素间的关系进行实证研究,再通过对描述性统计和计量研究进行总结,认为我国与其他RCEP成员国间的货物贸易增长较快但增长率并不稳定,GDP和距离因素是影响相互间贸易的主要因素,人口数量、TPP及FTA是次要因素。     

东盟地区公共产品供给模式与困境分析

近年来,随着地区合作与一体化进程的发展以及相应的地区政治研究的兴起,地区公共产品理论已在地区主义发展的实践领域产生了越来越强的解释力。一般而言,水平较低、进展缓慢的地区合作进程,很大程度上就是由于该地区的公共产品供给不足而引起,东盟即是如此。作为一个由中小国家组成的地区组织和一个处于发展与建构中的一体化进程,在其几十年的发展中始终存在地区公共产品供给不足的困境,并明显地制约了其地区合作进程的发展。东盟要想实现《东盟宪章》提出的目标,在共同体建设中加强合作,推进地区认同和制度化建设,从而增加地区公共产品的供给,缓解供给不足的困境是东盟的必然选择。     

《鹿特丹规则》下无单放货解决机制：从凭保函放货到凭指示放货

《鹿特丹规则》对无单放货问题设计了新的解决机制，通过使特定条件下的无单放货合法化，试图减轻承运人的负担，平衡船货双方的利益。采取规范分析的方法，对这一机制进行解构，论述其给各当事方的法律地位所带来的变化，认为对现有制度进行改良可能是更好的选择。     

“中国梦”的国际意义和外交政策导向分析

"中国梦"的提出不仅对中华民族的伟大复兴以及自身全方位的发展有着重大的指导意义,而且对推动整个国际社会的发展进步产生了重大影响。当然,"中国梦"的实现也离不开一个有利的国际环境。当下的中国正处于一个重要战略机遇期,国际环境中既存在诸多挑战,也包含很多机遇。为此,未来的外交事业应当以"中国梦"为导向,秉承新思路和新理念正确处理国与国之间关系,强化"负责任大国"的身份,稳步推进公共外交和人文交流,为"中国梦"的实现打造一个有利的国际环境。