Willingness and Opportunity: A Study of Domestic Terrorism in Post-Cold War South Asia

Domestic terrorism, as a form of intrastate violence, has varied widely in South Asia along with the post-Cold War period of global economic integration and political openness. How are these two phenomena—economic integration and emergence of democracies—related to domestic terrorism in South Asia? I argue that resorting to terrorism is a rational choice when individuals'/groups' cost of heterogeneity—deprivation from public goods due to geographical and ideological distance—increases; opportunity is provided by democratization and integration into the global economy. The testable hypotheses derived from the theory are empirically tested on a dataset of five South Asian countries for the time period between 1990 and 2007. The results show that both minority discrimination and presence of unconsolidated democratic institutions increase terrorism in the highly heterogeneous South Asian countries. International trade in the presence of minority discrimination increases homegrown terrorism, but foreign direct investment neither increases nor decreases such incidents.     

Socially desirable responding and psychometric assessment of dynamic risk in sexual offenders against children

Does socially desirable responding (SDR) represent a threat to the validity of dynamic risk assessment in sex offenders’ self-reports? We studied a sample of men (N?=?218) who completed a psychometric assessment battery while enrolled at Kia Marama, a prison-based treatment program for sexual offenders against children. SDR, as measured by the Marlowe-Crowne scale, was elevated compared to non-offender samples, increased from pre- to post-treatment, and was negatively correlated with dynamic risk (rs?=??.30 to ?.40), consistent with previous research. Measures of dynamic risk factors derived from the psychometric battery were correlated with sexual recidivism, but correlations were little changed when variance associated with SDR was removed using a regression procedure [Mills, J. F., &; Kroner, D. G. (2006). Impression management and self-report among violent offenders. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 21(2), 178–192.]. These results suggest that there is a substantial component of the variance in psychometric self-reports of sexual offenders that is associated with SDR (approximately 10%), but that it does not compromise the predictive or construct validity of dynamic risk measures derived from these reports.     

社区公共物品与社区治理--论城市社区"四轮驱动、一辕协调"的治理结构

城市社区日益成为社会公共物品供给与消费的基本单元.然而,在既有的政府垄断性供给体系下,社区普遍存在公共物品供给短缺.改革传统的管理与服务方式,建立新的公共物品供给体系,满足社区不断增长的需求,已成为城市社区建设的中心任务.在众多的创新实践中,"社区治理"不失为一种可行的思路.本文遵循社区治理的理念,尝试将其深化并落实到体制层面,提出"四轮驱动、一辕协调"的社区治理结构与运作模式,并建议首先在"危改回迁社区"中试点.     

区域公共产品的界定及分类模型

区域公共产品是跨越不同行政或管理主体,溢出效应超越一个以上地区的公共产品,具有比一般公共产品更为复杂的提供和管理机制。它是解决区域公共问题的主要手段,是区域公共管理的核心概念。区域公共产品既有传统的分类型式,也有从溢出范围和集成技术的不同而分类的型式。     

农村公共产品供给的路径分析

建立符合农村经济发展要求的公共产品供给机制,已成为人民日益关注的焦点问题之一：本文分析农村公共产品供给存在的一系列问题及其原因,探索其供给路径,提高农业竞争力和国民经济的均衡发展.     

Political Risk: The Institutional Dimension

The argument developed in this paper is that the political arrangements and institutions that help leaders stay in office are not necessarily the ones that promote economic growth and prosperity. Indeed political leaders can remain in office more securely by rewarding the groups that keep them in power with privileged access to public resources. The net result is that the leadership remains in office but at the price of poor economic performance. It is not that the consequences of mismanaging the economy are unforeseen; rather the increased chances of an economic crisis are an acceptable price to pay if it means avoiding a political crisis which challenges the leaders' hold on power. Political survival, not peace and prosperity, is what determines the choice of policies. In this way bad economics can be good politics. The principal hypothesis addressed is that the smaller the size of the winning coalition the more the leadership depends on distributing private goods to the coalition members in order to purchase their loyalty, and, therefore the greater is the level of political risk. The ultimate effects of coalition size and the corruption attending the competition for private goods are the reduction of foreign direct investment per capita. These hypotheses were tested in a three stage least squares (3SLS) simultaneous estimation. The results generally supported the theoretical expectations.     

“双赢”:处理国际关系的新原则

“双赢”是近年来出现的一个新名词 ,它的问世立即引起国内外人士的极大关注 ,并将成为当前处理国际关系的一个重要原则。双赢的产生既是当前世界经济全球化发展的客观反映 ,也是平等互利原则在新形势下的不断深化与发展的结果。双赢原则的实施与运用将有助于协调南北之间的经济矛盾 ,有助于推动国际经济技术的合作与交流 ,有助于巩固 2 1世纪各种形式的战略伙伴关系     

关于工会当前需要认真研究的几个问题

坚持以江泽民同志“七一”重要讲话精神为指导 ,认真研究工会工作中需要解决的理论和现实问题 ,是新形势新任务对工会组织提出的客观要求 ,也是工会履行好维护职工合法权益基本职责的迫切需要。学习贯彻“七一”讲话精神 ,一要认真研究和解决工会履行基本职责需要解决的一系列理论与实际问题 ;二要结合实际 ,深化对社会主义社会劳动和劳动价值理论的研究和认识 ;三要认真研究职工队伍结构的变化 ;四要研究经济全球化条件下的工会工作 ,以使工会在各项工作中开拓创新 ,在党和国家工作大局中发挥更大的作用。     

试论“后悔权”设立之法学证成

作为泊来事物,"后悔权"①一经浮出水面,即遭受或赞或贬的命运。其中的质疑不无道理,但又有失偏颇。据此,理清"后悔权"之真正意旨,区别相关权利,奠定对其讨论的正确基础实为必需且为必要。此外,"后悔权"作为一个货真价实的"国际惯例",无理由将之拒之门外,但为避免"水土不服"的尴尬,其设立必须兼顾本土实际,即:一切从实际出发,设立中国特色的"后悔权"制度——"有限后悔权"制度。     

试论国际法的“公共物品”属性

国际法是国际关系的产物,它反映了各国的共同利,体现了各国的共同意志,是指导国家对外交往、和平解决国际争端的共同规范.国际法规范的非竞争性、非排他性特点,使之具有"公共物品"的属性,是实现全球治理、维护世界和平与发展的重要保障.