Accuracy of Identifying Juvenile/Adult Status from Third Molar Development using Prediction Probabilities Derived from Logistic Regression Analysis

The use of third molars in predicting juvenile/adult status (</≥ 18 years) has important legal ramifications. Third molar development was assessed using Köhler's grading on 268 orthopantomograms of Indian subjects. Logistic regression analysis was applied to determine allocation accuracy of juvenile/adult status and the level of probability that is “reliable” in predicting juvenile/adult status. Allocation accuracies ranged between 75.8% and 78.2% for the sexes combined, with minimal male‐female differences. Adults were categorized more accurately than juveniles, suggesting that Köhler's grading puts Indian juveniles at greater risk of unwarranted punishment. In both sexes, juvenile/adult status was “reliably” predicted when the probability was >80% using individual third molars (excepting the lower right third molar in males); combining upper and lower third molars on the left/right sides, “reliable” predictions were possible when the probability was >80% and >90% for females and males, respectively. Overall, “reliable” juvenile/adult status prediction was achieved in c. 36% of subjects.     

群体性事件处置中的情报信息收集

在群体性事件频发的社会背景下,要实现实战情况下情报信息"点对面"的针对性指导和"点对点"的精确性打击,着力提升驾驭复杂社会治安局势的能力,妥善治理群体性事件,为各级公安机关领导决策服务,就必须牢固树立情报信息主导警务的理念,大力加强与改进情报信息工作,努力增强情报信息工作的针对性、有效性与预见性,牢牢把控群体性事件的事态发展。     

劳工群体性事件及其纠纷解决机制的法律思考

劳工群体性事件频繁爆发是多种因素综合作用下的产物,是劳动者在缺乏其他可行的诉求渠道来表达其利益诉求、解决其利益冲突的必然结果。要从根源上消解、减少劳工群体性事件事件的发生,必须将劳工群体性事件的预防与处置纳入法制轨道,尽快完善我国现行劳动争议处理机制,整合社会力量和资源,畅通、拓宽维权渠道,构建劳工群体性争议的纠纷解决机制。     

当代“校漂族”思想政治教育的现实难点及路径选择

日益严峻的就业形势、不当的教育、茫然的自我认知、管理机构和体制的缺失,导致"校漂族"难以结束"校漂"现象。为使漂泊在高校与社会之间不再是高校毕业生的一种选择,思想政治教育工作者应重视"校漂族"社会角色转换教育和的职业生涯规划,注重规范管理,进行分类教育,解决实际问题,主动与家庭、高校、社会有关负责部门合作,营造合力。     

群体性事件中的集群行为过程研究

文章以调查访谈材料为基础,结合社会认知与群体动力相关理论,以时间进程为主线分析群体性事件中的集群行为过程及其影响因素,进而探讨群体活动进程中群体角色与地位的变化。     

辽宁网络群体性事件问题分析及应对机制

由于网络技术的飞速发展,致使网民群体得到极大扩充,网络现已成为广大网民发表意愿和社会监督的重要形式之一。但是,由于网络的自身独有的特点,使得一些网络舆论失真、虚假,因而被人利用,在现实社会里发生了一系列群体性事件。近年来,辽宁群体性事件呈逐步上升趋势,在某种程度上和网络的快速发展,以及对网络规范化管理欠缺有着一定的关系。因此,结合当前社会实际,文中仅对辽宁地区网络群体性事件的表现形式、产生条件和应对机制进行分析和研讨,其目的是为了更好的处理这类事件提供有价值的参考。     

Governing concept or political buzzword? Contested perceptions of local control

This article uses a perceptions-based framework to study how local governing actors define local control, and, to identify the determinants of definition alignment among local officials. A mix of survey and administrative data from Wisconsin officials is used to test nine hypotheses. The results indicate there is wide variation in how local government leaders define local control, and that alignment on the concept's meaning is predicted by ideology, perceived erosion of local control, and positional characteristics. The study concludes that local governments should incorporate a working definition of local control in planning and on-boarding processes in order to provide governing relevance to the concept.     

试论劳动者权益保障及其意义

劳动者不仅是财富的创造者,也是社会发展的主要推动者,我国深化改革涉及内容广泛,其重点之一应当是提高劳动者群体的社会地位,使其诉求能够得以畅通,权益能够得以保障,在充分调动他们积极性、主动性,创造性的同时,使他们真正成为分享经济社会发展成果的主体,以此作为解放生产力、发展生产力和实现共同富裕的着力点.     

陪审团评议简论:一个群体动力学的分析

陪审团评议过程是组成陪审团这个特殊群体的陪审员们通过讨论相互影响 ,最终作出裁决的互动过程。本文运用群体动力学一般理论将陪审团视为一个功能性团体来研究其评议过程 ,从新的视角对陪审团审判制度作了深一步地研究。作者认为研究实践性很强的法律问题时 ,在注重理论研究的同时 ,应当适当采用新的方法 ,从新的研究角度入手 ,以实证材料来支持理论研究。