Criminal thinking as a moderator of the perceived certainty–offending relationship: age variations

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to determine whether the perceived certainty of punishment and general criminal thinking interact and whether the effect varies as a function of age. Data from all 1354 members (1170 males, 184 females) of the Pathways to Desistance study were used to test whether perceived certainty, general criminal thinking, and their interaction predicted subsequent offending during late adolescence (16–18 years of age) and emerging adulthood (20–22 years of age). The results showed that while perceived certainty and general criminal thinking failed to interact at age 17, general criminal thinking moderated the effect of perceived certainty at age 21. During emerging adulthood, offending was more common and varied in young adults with low certainty perceptions and high criminal thinking than it was in emerging adults with high criminal thinking and high certainty perceptions or low criminal thinking and either high or low certainty perceptions.     

Navigating the dilemmas of politically smart,locally led development: the Pacific-based Green Growth Leaders’ Coalition

Abstract

Iterative approaches to development under banners such as ‘thinking and working politically’ and ‘doing development differently’ build upon decades-old commitments to fostering locally led and -owned development. These approaches are increasingly popular with academics and development practitioners. In this paper we argue that outsiders seeking to deliver locally led, politically smart programmes need to either accept that competing priorities, results and values will work to limit the extent of true local ownership, or be sufficiently committed to true local leadership to accept that this may well cut against organisational imperatives. Using the example of the Pacific-based Green Growth Leaders’ Coalition, we discuss how politically tricky partnerships challenge tenets of local leadership and ownership.     

“第三次国共合作”解读

现在有不少人希望能够通过“第三次国共合作”实现祖国和平统一,这种可能性是否存在？本文从国民党对“国共合作”的历史记忆、台湾现行的政治体制、国民党的政治转型、民进党以及台湾社会对国民党的看法、共产党的态度等五个方面进行分析,得出结论：通过“第三次国共合作”实现祖国统一的可能性已经不存在,但以两岸关系和平发展为目标的国共合作则是可行的。     

邓小平《关于西南少数民族问题》的时代意义——基于构建和谐民族关系的视角

邓小平《关于西南少数民族问题》历史文献,蕴含着丰富的和谐民族关系的理论。学习和研究邓小平关于民族关系和谐的理论成果,无论是对深化构建社会主义和谐社会思想的认识,还是对推进平等、团结、互助、和谐的社会主义民族关系,都有着重要的指导意义。     

广西实施民族区域自治法的思考

新时期,广西实施《中华人民共和国民族区域自治法》必须突破传统的争取民族自治权、建立自治区经济体系的狭隘观念．转移到健康、有序、高效地实施北部湾经济区发展规划,努力建立健全旨在全面加快自治区城镇化、工业化、国际化、现代化发展的法律制度和管理机制的战略高度上来．使广西真正成为推动中国-东盟一体化发展的国际舞台。     

中国共产党保持和弘扬艰苦奋斗精神的现实思考

在保持和弘扬艰苦奋斗精神过程中,坚持正确的指导思想和价值取向是思想理论基础;正确认识保持艰苦奋斗精神的现实意义是前提;赋予时代内涵是活力所在;采取一系列重要举措是根本保证;保持党的艰苦奋斗精神,还需要正确认识和处理好诸种问题。     

新旧矛盾、结构矛盾及其关系

新旧矛盾是事物内部新的一方与旧的一方组成的矛盾,其主要特征是相克,在事物发展的质变阶段表现比较突出;结构矛盾是事物内部不同部分、层次之间组成的矛盾,其主要特征是相生,在事物发展的量变阶段表现比较突出。两类矛盾相互交织,相互转化,共同推动着事物的运动和发展。实践中,要正确认识两类矛盾,用不同的思维方式解决不同的矛盾,同时,思维方式还要随矛盾的变化而变化,要注重两种思维方式的有机结合,只有这样,对构建和谐社会才有现实的指导价值。     

Using "Shocks and Rumors" to Teach Adaptive Thinking

The business landscape is constantly changing. Moreover, because of globalization, increased competition, and instant communication, the rate of change is accelerating. A student who has practiced only static scenarios is ill prepared to recognize, process, or adapt to changing negotiation issues and interests. Thus, negotiation instructors must change our practices to prepare students to succeed in the increasingly dynamic negotiation situations they will face by utilizing simulations that are also dynamic. This article reviews research on adaptive thinking, applies it to negotiation training, and provides examples of dynamic simulations that require students to adapt. Finally, it offers advice on how to make existing cases dynamic by using "shocks and rumors."     

论法律概念的特征

法律概念是法律的基本构成要素,没有法律概念,我们就不能正确地理解法律问题。与哲学、政治学等学科相比,我国的法学对法律概念的研究却显得相对薄弱。然而,在司法实践中,要正确运用法律推理,必须首先研究法律概念。本文从研究概念入手,阐明了法律概念的涵义以及法律概念与一般概念的不同点。从立法、司法的角度,分析了法律概念的特征。