人民币汇率与中俄主要产品贸易分析

基于ARDL模型研究人民币汇率对中俄主要贸易品的影响,中对俄出口以"纺织品和机械制品"为样本,中从俄进口以"矿产品和木及木制品"为样本。研究结果显示:汇率升值不利于纺织品出口和木及木制品进口,但对机械制品出口和矿产品进口没有影响。俄罗斯国民产出增加对纺织品、机械制品出口有促进作用;中国国民产出增加对木及木制品进口影响较弱;矿产品进口主要受非经济因素影响。对此,应"扩大货币互换协议规模以规避纺织品、矿产品贸易的汇率风险;保持政治互信以稳定矿产品进口;积极发展产业内贸易以协调和促进未来中俄贸易发展"。     

Currency devaluations and consolidating democracy: the example of the South African rand

Abstract

In 2001 the South African rand depreciated suddenly and steeply against the dollar and euro. This triggered inflation as the prices of imported products gapped upward. To offset the imminent inflationary effects and attract foreign exchange, the Reserve Bank raised interest rates, resulting in slower domestic growth. The critical question was the cause of the currency depreciation. We argue here that the rand's decline was the result of a concatenation of internal and external factors, specifically the way the operations of the global financial markets magnified and exacerbated the effects of internal financial policy decisions. The article illustrates the heightening connectivity between domestic policy decisions aimed at regulating the national economy and the globalizing financial markets that operate on an altogether different logic. The Reserve Bank's attempt to regulate the local foreign exchange regime in concert with the corporate use of financial instruments to circumvent these exchange controls led to a relatively illiquid currency market that was easily susceptible to attack by speculative capital. The end result was a crippling devaluation that especially hurt the impoverished black South African majority in the process of getting on its feet economically, thereby adding a further constraint on the consolidation of post-apartheid democracy.     

侦查情报交换机制研究

侦查情报交换是一种特殊的情报信息搜集方法,它可以挖掘隐藏于社会中的犯罪情报,减少公安机关的人力、物力投入,提高其打击犯罪的效能。因此,开展侦查情报交换机制研究须从四个方面着手：一是界定侦查情报交换的概念,确定研究的基准;二是论述侦查情报交换的合理性与合法性;三是分析侦查情报交换的内容;四是探讨侦查情报交换的管理。     

论两性关系得以建立的规则--由夫妻个人条件的相似性检验社会交换理论

人们择偶时明显倾向于选择与自己很相似的人,或者至少有某种相似之处的人,相似程度越高则人们越有可能建立亲密的伴侣关系,这在一定程度上验证了社会交换理论关于人际互动需遵循的平等交换原则。人们的择偶行为显然不是孤立的个体行为,婚姻受到社会结构的影响。     

浅析“热钱”流入对我国货币政策的影响和建议

中国是一个发展中的大国,需要一个相对稳定的国际国内金融环境,中国经济的稳定发展对亚洲和世界具有积极意义。“热钱”流入对我国经济的均衡发展、国际收支平衡、人民币汇率稳定及货币政策宏观调控的效果带来一定影响。因此,必须从我国实际出发,实行以市场供求为基础的、有管理的浮动汇率制度,继续保持人民币汇率稳定,积极探索完善人民币汇率形成机制,采取多种措施改善国际收支平衡状况,促进经济内外协调发展。     

Max Weber: Family History, Economic Policy, Exchange Reform

Max Weber descended from Anglo-German merchant families with world-wide connections. This helped make him a cosmopolitan nationalist. Fittingly Weber at first tried to pursue a career in international commercial law. Family connections informed his understanding of South American wheat exports and North American railroad capitalism and of the tariff issues resulting therefrom. This in turn influenced his critique of the Prussian agrarian capitalists, especially of their opposition to trading in grain futures. Weber championed a strong capital market and efficient exchanges. His economic policies remain of exemplary interest insofar as they link the presumptive, if contested, national interest with an unsentimental acceptance of the world economy.     

信息交换与限制竞争的法律规制研究

本文是对行业协会中的信息交换进行反垄断的法律分析。首先 ,本文对行业协会信息交换的种类及其利弊进行分析 ,然后就各国对信息交换的法律规制进行了详细的介绍 ,最后 ,作者对我国信息交换的法律规制进行了制度设计和构想。     

论布劳的社会交换理论——兼与霍曼斯比较

布劳是继霍曼斯之后社会交换理论的又一重要代表,但是其理论和霍曼斯的交换理论又有差异,本文简要梳理了布劳社会交换理论的主要观点,通过与霍曼斯社会交换理论的对比,指出了布劳交换理论的贡献和不足.     

The communal/exchange distinction and some implications for understanding justice in families

This article briefly reviews 10 years of research on a distinction between communal and exchange norms. Communal norms dictate benefits should be given in response to the other's needs. Exchange norms dictate benefits should be given in response to specific benefits received in the past or with the expectation of receiving specific benefits in the future. Choice of norms is shown to be influenced by the type of relationship desired or existing between two people. Evidence of chronic individual differences in tendencies to follow communal and to follow exchange norms in relationships is also presented. We argue that most people believe that communal norms should be followed in family relationships and we outline implications of the research reviewed for understanding justice in the family. Implications of (i) behavior in accord with exchange norms (e.g., quick repayment of benefits received, keeping track of individual inputs into joint tasks), (ii) behavior in accord with communal norms (e.g., helping, expressing emotion) and (iii) individual differences in relationship orientations are discussed.     

我国证券交易税种浅析

我国证券交易税种从理论上包括所得税、行为税、印花税等几大类,但实际操作上只有印花税一种,税种单一,税制不完备,已严重地阻碍了证券市场的规范发展和健康成长.在新世纪证券市场"规范中发展"的前提下,如何在适当时机推行证券税制改革,是证管部门、金融机构和每一个投资者都应该关心并努力去解决的问题.