Policing Australia’s ‘heroin drought’: using an agent-based model to simulate alternative outcomes

Our paper examines how street-level drug markets adapt to a macro-level disruption to the supply of heroin, under three experimental conditions of street-level drug law enforcement: random patrol, hot-spot policing and problem-orientated policing. We utilize an agent-based model to explore the relative impact of abstractions of these three law enforcement strategies after simulating an ‘external shock’ to the supply of heroin to the street-level drug market. We use 3 years of data, which include the period of the ‘heroin drought’ in Melbourne (Australia) that commenced in late 2000 and early 2001, to measure changes in a selected range of crime and harm indicators under the three policing conditions. Our results show that macro-level disruptions to drug supply have a limited impact on street-level market dynamics when there is a ready replacement drug. By contrast, street-level police interventions are shown to vary in their capacity to alter drug market dynamics. Importantly, our laboratory abstraction of problem-orientated policing is shown to be the optimal strategy to disrupt street-level injecting-drug markets, reduce crimes and minimize harm, regardless of the type of drug being supplied to the market.

供给侧结构性改革背景下兼并重组企业劳动关系的协调力研究 —— 以东部沿海地区制造企业为例

本研究基于东部沿海地区制造企业的调查，从员工自制力、企业管理力、工会协商力、政府指 导力和非政府组织监督力等五个维度构建了劳动关系协调力对雇员和谐感受的结构方程模型，分析了中国制造 企业劳动关系协调力与雇员和谐感受之间的路径系数。研究表明，员工自制力、企业管理力、政府指导力和非 政府组织监督力对雇员和谐感受具有显著性的正向作用，它们的路径系数从大到小依次为非政府组织监督力、 政府指导力、员工自制力、企业管理力。工会协商力对雇员和谐感受虽然具有正向作用，但不显著。构建企业 和谐劳动关系，需要健全“五力联动”的劳动关系协调机制，其中，政府相关职能部门要发挥更大的指导作用， 企业工会的使命和职责需要进一步明确和增强，非政府组织的监督和维权行为需要进一步完善和规范。     

民法典结构应是历史的、逻辑的和现实的统一--兼评徐国栋教授等观点

关于中国民法典的结构有两种不同的观点,以梁慧星先生为首的观点主张采潘德克顿式,亦即德式;以徐国栋教授为首的观点主张罗马式,亦即法式,徐国栋称前者是物文主义,后者是人文主义,两种观点相持不下。试图从历史唯物主义出发,将人们赖以生存的物资资料的生活方式作为民法典结构的起点,据此对梁慧星的民法典构造模式作了部分修正,并从逻辑和现实的视角探讨民法典的合理结构,进而阐明中国民法典的结构应是历史的、逻辑的和现实的统一。     

注重先进典型教育提高德育的实效性

思想道德教育关系到青年学生自身价值的实现,是树立科学发展观,实现以人为本,建立和谐社会的关键.在德育教育中,恰当的先进典型教育,有利于增强青年学生建设社会主义精神文明,实现和谐社会的信心,有利于在全社会形成崇尚先进、学习先进的良好风气.     

国家法律者自国家考试出--德国职业法律者培养和选拔模式一瞥

法治国家的建立和法律秩序的维护需要一大批高素质的职业法律者,德国在培养和选拔职业法律者的过程中创造了一批独特的模式.这种模式具有浓烈的国家色彩.它通过国家考试的形式将培养和选拔溶为一体.在德国,未来职业法律者在参加国家考试前,必须要经过校园专业学习和职业预备期的训练.当然,这种模式也有其缺陷和不足.     

《企业运营与发展》课程教学初探

首都职工素质教育工程的全面实施开创了职工教育的新模式,为职工终身学习创造了条件,得到了企业和职工的广泛欢迎,在社会上引起了强烈反响。作为一名授课教师,要对开展素质教育工程的意义有深刻的认识。在教学过程中注重与学员的交流。要根据考核要求,结合学员实际水平,确定授课重点。并注意结合成人学习特点,改变教学模式,引导学员主动参与教学活动,强化学员自主学习意识。     

Institutions and Caribbean Economic Performance: Insights from Jamaica

We explore the impact of social institutions on economic performance in Jamaica through a reinterpretation of the plantation economic model. In its original form, the plantation model fails to develop a causal link between the plantation legacy and persistent underdevelopment. Despite its marginalization, the model remains useful for discussions on growth and development. Consequently, we offer a reappraisal using the causal insights from Kenneth Sokoloff and Stanley Engerman. We use two examples to demonstrate how inequality encourages the formation of institutions that are inconsistent with growth, and an empirical analysis to confirm the hypothesized relationship between inequality, institutions, and economic development. Since inequality is expected to influence growth indirectly, we use a structural specification, which follows William Easterly’s recent test of Sokoloff and Engerman’s argument. Our reliance on a time-series specification is unique. We demonstrate that the expectation that, on average, inequality and growth is negatively related and that institutions may compromise growth are accurate for Jamaica, the most cited Caribbean nation in the current discourse. Our results carry several policy implications, including support for the recent calls in Jamaica for political restructuring. However, both the paucity of similar studies and the importance of the implications for sustainable growth and development demand further analyses.

Old and New Labour Narratives of Whitehall: Radicals,Reactionaries and Defenders of the Westminster Model

This article argues that throughout its history, the leadership of the Labour Party has chosen to embrace a benign view of the Civil Service, as part of a wider acceptance of the constitutional status quo reflected in the Westminster model. There has nevertheless been a long tradition in the wider Labour movement that has questioned whether Whitehall is capable of working for a government with radical aspirations. This article examines Labour's historical approach towards Whitehall, before reflecting on the extent to which the present Administration, while appealing to radical and reforming rhetoric has, like its predecessors, continued to embrace the status quo. It concludes by arguing that a contemporary and credible narrative capable of challenging the Westminster model has yet to emerge from the broader movement.     

西部地区银行性金融机构网络化的发展前景

银行性金融机构电子化进程在短短的十年间取得了长足发展,对推动经济发展起到了积极的作用,但发展是不平衡的,区域银行特别是西部地区中小规模的银行性金融机构的电子化进程发展相对滞后,需要针对其环境特点及现状进行具体的分析研究,以确定合适的发展模式和发展策略,使西部地区中小规模的银行性金融机构在网络浪潮中抓住机遇,提高核心竞争力。     

学习化社会中的成人教育模式

成人教育是学习化社会的实现途径、终身教育体系中不可或缺的重要部分 ;成人教育的发展有赖于包括目标模式、组织与机构模式和课程模式等多层面的发展模式的有效组织与实施。