Issue yield,campaign communication,and electoral performance: a six-country comparative analysis

Abstract

This article develops and tests a model that explains election outcomes on the basis of party strategy. It employs a new comparative dataset linking representative mass surveys from six European countries with Twitter analysis of campaign activity. The expectation is that parties whose issue agendas exploit electoral opportunities while avoiding risks will be rewarded at the polls. These risks and opportunities are modelled using issue yield, a general framework summarising public support, electoral alignments, and party credibility. Empirically, the article traces a three-step process: (1) the configuration of electoral risks and opportunities (which is captured through public opinion surveys) guides party communication (measured with Twitter data), and to the degree that (2) parties design their campaigns strategically (identified through issue yield), this in turn (3) improves their electoral performance (measured using official statistics). The analysis explains some of the most salient election outcomes of recent years.     

谱牒文献利用及西南民族研究——南方丝绸之路的新视角

回顾南方丝绸之路研究的学术史,根据出土文物展开的考察取得了不少成果,但纸质文本的利用还稍显不足,特别是谱牒文献未得到应有的重视。谱牒文献在揭示西南各民族的人口迁徙、民族融合、文化变迁、交通及经济等方面有诸多价值,但在利用时需要辨别内容真伪、兼考多种文献、熟悉文化背景。由此可给南方丝绸之路研究呈现一种不同的视角。     

民族区域自治地方少数民族干部培养问题研究

能否造就一支宏大的德才兼备的少数民族干部队伍,事关党的民族政策能否真正落到实处,事关民族地区的经济社会发展,事关民族地区的振兴乃至整个中华民族的振兴.     

中国区际属人法问题刍议

目前 ,中国已成为多元法制和多元法域的国家 ,现实已经导致了中国区际法律冲突的产生。区际属人法的确定是解决中国区际法律冲突的首要问题。区际属人法不能以国籍连结点来确定 ,而应以住所及惯常住所连结点来确定。解决区际属人法的冲突也就是解决住所及惯常住所连结点的积极冲突和消极冲突。     

调解的比较优势与法院调解制度的改革

调解、仲裁与诉讼，是现代各国解决民事纠纷普遍采用的方式，每一种方式都有自己的鲜明特色和比较优势，正是比较优势的存在是纠纷当事人可以选择适合于自己的方式，与判决相比，调解具有自愿性，和解性，协商性，开放性，灵活性，保密性等八个方面的比较优势，我国现行调审合一的诉讼体制妨碍了法院调解发挥其比较优势，应当改革我国法院调解制度，实行诉讼内调审分离。     

云南佤族、怒族和独龙族CTT基因座的遗传多态性

目的 了解云南佤族、怒族和独龙族等3个少数民族的CSF1PO、TPOX和THO1基因座遗传多态性分布。方法 应用3个基因座在同一反应体系中进行互不干扰的多重PCR,采用聚丙烯酰胺凝胶电泳分离、银染法显影技术,对云南3个少数民族的基因座进行遗传多态性调查。结果 获得了云南省佤族、怒族和独龙族3个基因座的基因频率分布资料。结论3个基因座基因频率分布与Hardy-Weinberg平衡吻合良好,在不同群体中发现一些有意义的遗传差异。     

当代海外越南人的分布与发展状况研究

从20世纪70年代中期后,海外越南人人数激增,分布日广,约2/3取得所在国的国籍,形成一个有一定影响的越裔族群,并以不同形式参与祖籍国的建设。越南政府实行较为宽松的国籍政策,保护海外越南人在国内外的正当权利,鼓励他们为家乡和祖国服务,使之成为越南经济社会发展的重要外部资源。     

中国-东盟自由贸易区内毒品问题现状与发展趋势

进入新世纪,毒品犯罪在整个中国-东盟自由贸易区内仍然呈上升趋势,成为非传统安全领域中的新型威胁,成为中国-东盟自由贸易区经济建设的一大毒瘤,也成为区域内各国政府首当解决的问题之一.因此,研究中国-东盟之间毒品问题的现状和发展趋势,对于中国-东盟自由贸易区建设的顺利进行有着重要的现实意义.     

Issue framing and electoral violence in Ghana: a conceptual analysis

Ghana has conducted several successful elections since 1992, but the country continues to face many threats of widespread violence due to the recurrent nature of micro-level electoral violence and the existence of vulnerabilities such as political patronage, politics of exclusion, winner-takes-all electoral system and ethnic cleavages. While these factors have been used to explain the causes of electoral violence, issue framing by political elites and its connection to electoral violence have not been adequately examined. To better understand this phenomenon, this article draws on the concept of framing to underscore the argument that issue framing and reframing by political elites tend to shape micro-level electoral violence in Ghana.