Party systems in Latin America: institutionalization,decay, and collapse,edited by Scott Mainwaring

Although coming of age under a totalitarian regime drastically reduces the chances of acquiring democratic values or supporting democracy, factors other than the formal nature of the political regime shape political values as well. The informal structure of the political regime, which consists of rules developed in political practice and economic and human development, may shape individual values and attitudes and produce different attitudes towards democracy in different totalitarian regimes. This article focuses on the effect of early socialization on the support for democracy among citizens who have been ruled under two different non-democratic regimes. We compare the dynamics in Spain and Romania during the post-totalitarian period with the aim of identifying how coming of age operated in these two different totalitarian regimes and how each type of non-democratic regime affected the legitimacy of the new democratic rule. Using survey data from various sources (Standard Eurobarometer, Central and Eastern Eurobarometer and Candidate Countries Eurobarometer) that allow both longitudinal and cross-sectional comparisons, we decompose the social change in support for democracy over the post-totalitarian period in both countries using cross-classified fixed effects models. The analyses demonstrate the different effects of socialization on support for democracy in these two different totalitarian contexts.     

西南地区成人男性颅骨的相关回归分析

目的研究颅骨部分测量指标间的相关性,以期建立在对破损颅骨进行颅骨面貌复原时,利用尚存指标推断缺失指标的方法。方法用人体骨骼测量仪对41个男性颅骨的颅长、颅宽、颅高等14个指标进行测量,将测量值输入SPSS统计软件,找出相关性好的指标,建立各指标间相互推断的回归方程。结果部分测量指标间呈中度以上相关,应用逐步回归的方法得出回归方程24个,方差检验均具统计学意义(P<0.01)。结论本研究所建立的回归方程可为法医人类学和考古人类学的颅骨修复提供备选方法。     

What Drives Intermediate Local Governments’ Spending Efficiency: The Case of French Départements

The restructuring of the allocation of governmental competencies in France has increased the importance of subnational governments by transferring additional tasks. We analyse the efficiency of public spending on the intermediate government level for the 96 départements in metropolitan France in 2008. Spending efficiency is measured using Data Envelopment Analysis. Results indicate significant room for improvement and we detect an average spending inefficiency of 12%. To explain efficiency, a bootstrapped truncated regression is applied. The second-stage regression shows that efficiency is also determined by exogenous factors and identifies the distance to the national capital, inhabitants’ income and the share of inhabitants older than 65 as significant determinants of efficiency.     

He Did It First! A Path Model of Interactions in the Aggressive Behaviors of Elementary School Boys During Three Successive Recess Periods

Abstract

This exploratory study uses observations of the aggressive behavior of elementary school boys during three successive recess periods to test the hypothesis that aggressive behavior can spread between recess periods through peer contagion. If this hypothesis is correct, aggressive behaviors during the second recess period should mediate any correlation between aggressive behaviors during the first and third periods. Structural equation modeling supports the mediating role of the second period. This finding suggests that peer contagion in aggressive behaviors can occur quite rapidly and adds theoretical support to the use of proactive interventions within schools that curtail aggressive behaviors before they have the opportunity to spread. Implications for schools related to supervision in unstructured settings throughout the school day are discussed.     

在新条件下拟Newton迭代方法的收敛性

该文给出了在Banach空间中求解非线性方程拟Newton迭代方法的新条件,及在新条件下拟Newton迭代方法的收敛性。     

中国汉族成人胸骨多项测量值与身高关系的研究

目的 研究中国汉族成人胸骨多项测量值与身高的关系,建立以胸骨推算身高的方法。方法 测量135例(男100,女35)已知身高的中国汉族成年人干燥胸骨的全长、柄长、体长、柄最大宽、柄最小宽、体最大宽、体最大厚、柄厚、柄最大厚9项指标,采用多元逐步回归分析的方法,分别求出由男性(分年龄组)和女性胸骨的多项测量值推算身高的多元回归方程式。结果 所建立的4个男性(分年龄组)和1个女性胸骨推算身高的多元回归方程式,其复相关系数(R)在0.6237～0.7350之间,标准差(s)在4.5720—7.0348之间。结论 根据人体胸骨的多项测量值可以推算其身高,准确性略低于四肢长骨的同类推算;相同身高组的男女性胸骨多项测量值均存在明显的性别差异,胸骨柄长不能作为单因素推算身高的测量指标。     

法出自然:危险犯中止形态的价值回归

对于危险犯,通说的观点否认了危险状态出现后自动而有效地防止实际危害结果发生的行为成立犯罪中止.但是,根据相关理论以及结合刑法典的有关规定,我们发现,这种情况不仅符合犯罪中止的条件,而且也是刑法谦抑性的必然要求.     

Economic Development,Change of Age Distribution,and Stream Analogy of Homicide and Suicide: A Cross-National Assessment

The current study tests the stream analogy of lethal violence, proposed by Unnithan et al. on a large sample of 124 nations. Spatial econometric regression models confirm that economic development decreases homicide rate and increases suicide–homicide ratio (SHR). The SHR developed by Unnithan et al. accounts for the impact of economic development better than original measure of suicide rate. The most important finding of the current investigation is that the increase in the population size of the elderly, consequent to economic development, is partially responsible for elevated suicide rates and SHRs.     

警察职业倦怠的调查分析

目的:调查和了解警察的职业倦怠状况.方法:使用四川警察学院课题组编制的警察职业倦怠量表,采用整群分层抽样的方法,选取四川各市州公安民警作为调查对象.结果:在调查样本中,过半的民警具有不同程度的职业倦怠,有15.1%民警属于高倦怠范畴;通过对各变量在职业倦怠各因子上的差异性检验,在性别变量和警种变量上有显著性差异;通过回归分析,回归方程具有显著线性关系,其结果显示性别是影响警察职业倦怠最重要因素,年龄、文化程度、警种、婚姻状况等变量也不同程度地影响着警察职业倦怠.结论:多数警察有不同程度的职业倦怠,在男性、治安、侦查警上尤其显著.     

A framework for estimating probability of a match in forensic bite mark identification

In forensic dentistry, a human expert typically does the comparison and identification based on bite marks. Unlike DNA analysis, however, there is no quantitative basis with which to assign a probability for this given match. This paper proposes a framework for empirically estimating the probability of such a bite mark match and reports on initial experimental results. The methodology involved collection of dental population data (3D dental casts and bite mark images), image analysis for quantitatively measuring the degree of match (based on chamfer distance), and performing a logistic regression analysis using the collected population data to estimate the probability of match from the calculated degree of match. The model correctly predicted 35 of the 42 matches and 585 of the 588 mismatches. The method also has potential for use in other forensic applications in which the assignment of quantitative probabilities is important.