Strategic voting and effective representation thresholds: Evidence from three Spanish general elections

The extent of strategic voting in the Spanish general elections of 2000, 2004 and 2008 is estimated using a new measure of strategic incentives suitable for proportional representation systems that avoids some of the problems associated with lagged variables. Strategic behaviour increased from 12 to 33 per cent of the electoral base of the United Left Party, the major victim of strategic defection. This estimate is a conservative one as elite mobilisation is controlled for in the constituencies, which is unusual in the literature on strategic voting that uses regression‐based methods.     

Strategic adaptation to new electoral systems

How quickly, to what extent and under what conditions do voters and elites adapt to new electoral institutions in order to not waste their votes and effort on hopeless competitors? A latent‐curve model of strategic adaptation is developed and fitted to district‐level election data from Spain. The extent of strategic adaptation is generally found to vary with the strength of the electoral system. However, grave ethnic tensions are demonstrated to seriously retard adaptation even under favourable institutional conditions.     

从成功改造袁、王部队看毛泽东的策略思想

井冈山斗争时期,毛泽东以伟大的无产阶级革命家的宽阔胸怀和超人智慧,实施了对袁文才、王佐这两支农民武装的成功改造。在改造袁、王部队的过程中,充分体现了毛泽东一系列超人的策略思想。袁、王部队成功改造,为井冈山革命根据地的创建、发展发挥了重要作用。     

一脉相承 与时俱进——新中国成立以来中国共产党几代领导人消费思想综述

新中国成立以来,中国共产党几代领导人既一脉相承地继承了马克思主义消费思想,又与时俱进地从当时特定国情出发,形成了有中国特色的社会主义消费理论。深入挖掘和整理这些消费思想,对当前扩大内需、化解生产与消费的矛盾,促进经济发展方式的转变,有着十分重要的意义。     

意识形态的层次分析与军队意识形态安全

在意识形态领域的斗争日益复杂、意识形态安全日益重要的情况下,以马克思主义为指导,进一步深化意识形态问题的研究,有着极其重要的理论意义和实践意义。意识形态是一个庞大的观念体系和复杂的精神现象,我们必须进行多维度的研究。就层次而言,从不同主体看,可分为总体意识形态、群体意识形态和个体意识形态;从高低水平看,可分为理论化的意识形态和日常观念性的意识形态。意识形态自身具有的层次性,为军队加强意识形态工作以确保意识形态安全提供了多方面的启示。     

詹姆逊后现代主义思想探析

詹姆逊对后现代主义的历史方位作了准确定位,对后现代主义的基本特征作了系统的概括与分析。全面把握詹姆逊的后现代主义思想,有助于我们准确把握后现代主义思潮的本质。     

Premier Li Keqiang's U.K. Visit

正Chinese Premier Li Keqiang’s four-day trip to Britain in June is expected to energize the China-Britain comprehensive strategic partnership,which sees its 10th anniversary this year,and whose strategic,reciprocal and global signif icance continues to grow.The trip,Li’s f irst to Britain since taking off ice in March last year,marks another major diplomatic event between China and Europe following President Xi Jinping’s Europe tour in late March.During his visit the Chinese premier met with Queen Elizabeth II     

BTG-Jianguo Hotels & Resorts

正A ceremony marking the cooperation between the BTG-Jianguo HotelsResorts Management Company and Italy’s ATAhotels was recently held at the Beijing Jianguo Hotel.Operating 21 high-end hotels,resorts and aparthotels,ATAhotels is the largest group of its kind in Italy.And BTG-Jianguo is one of the leading hotel management companies in China.The i rst step in the companies’strategic cooperation was to select eight member hotels from each group to share logos and l ags,and     

对东北亚地区领土争议的战略思考(英文)

Historical experience of resolving territorial disputes in all parts of the world shows that the disputed territory itself has neither the strategic depth nor sufficient maneuvering space. It is hard to make any progress when solely focusing on resolving the territorial issue. How to keep the territorial issue in a controllable and appropriate place has posed a great challenge to the Northeast Asian countries.     

The spatial determinants of the prevalence of anti-elite rhetoric across parties

Abstract

The article investigates whether there are specific spatial conditions that make a party more likely to pay closer attention to anti-elite rhetoric than to alternative issues in its political confrontation with other parties. The article first treats anti-elitism as a non-policy vote-winning strategy that could be valued positively by a broad class of voters across ideological lines (its ‘quasi-valence’ attribute). It is then shown that the incentive of a party to embrace such a strategy grows as the ideological space separating that party from the other(s) shrinks. This hypothesis receives empirical support from the 2014 Chapel Hill Expert Survey Data.