国外情报导向警务实践的评价及借鉴性分析

国外情报导向警务的实践是从20世纪90年代开始的,其中英国的国家情报模式和美国的以犯罪情报的计算机统计分析为基础的警务模式起步早,发展较为完善,也最具特色。国外情报导向警务的实践让我们认识到,构建高效运行的情报信息网络平台是实施情报导向警务的技术保障,设立专门的警务情报部门是实施情报导向警务的机构保障,推行规范化的情报工作机制是实施情报导向警务的制度保障,建立专业化的情报队伍是实施情报导向警务的人力资源保障。     

劳动权的权利谱系分析

劳动权是劳动者的人身权、财产权、政治权的有机结合.深刻认识劳动权的特性,需将劳动权的相关权利进行具体界定,以揭示劳动权的高位阶性、劳动权谱系的复杂性和开放性,以及劳动权的功能价值.     

改革的内涵与转型的选择——对改革内涵与方向歧变的政治经济学求解

改革在共同的市场趋向基础上,出现了不同方向的歧变,凸显出目标模式的巨大差异,显示了改革和转型的深刻性和可变异性。经济社会转型在本质上是经济社会结构的系统转换,这一大规模制度变迁需要一个能够涵盖全部问题的完整理论框架给予揭示。广义的社会经济转型是一个完整的系统结构转化,是四种内涵的转变,即使最狭义的经济转型,即通常说的经济体制改革也是二重内涵,是交换关系系统和狭义生产关系系统两个系统的转型。现实中呈现和演化出的转型经济的三种趋向性思潮和三种转型模式,正是这二重内涵的不同状况及其不同组合的结果。     

江苏省分类进出口对人民币实际汇率变动的敏感性

江苏是我国的进出口贸易大省,因此人民币汇率制度改革对江苏省经济发展的影响是深远的。为使江苏省进出口贸易保持健康发展,进而实现全省经济的持续增长,基于实证分析的结果,江苏省需进一步优化投入要素,发展多边贸易,扩大内需,提高企业对汇率变化的应对能力。     

媒体事件中的网络意见领袖研究

当危机事件转化成媒体事件的时候,新闻和媒体帮助建构了一种共享的社会危机现象,网络意见领袖“脱颖而出”。网络意见领袖的产生需有客观的媒体环境。在媒体事件中,网络意见领袖呈现阶段性的特征,并有自身独特的网络媒介能力和媒价策略。     

Contextual Effects on Individual Voting Behavior: The Case of Taiwan

This study investigates the voting behavior of the Taiwanese electorate in two different levels of election by taking into account two aggregate-level effects, namely the political and economic contextual effects. Using both individual-level and aggregate-level data to study the 2008 legislative election and the 2012 presidential election in Taiwan, this paper not only confirms that the valence politics explanation outperforms other individual-level voting models in the legislative election and in other elections in Taiwan, but also demonstrates how the two contextual effects influence individual voting behavior. Specifically, the political contextual effect had influence on the individual electoral choice in both the 2008 legislative election and the 2012 presidential election, whereas economic contexts only affect voters’ decision when choosing a president. The multilevel analysis reveals that different individual-level voting models could provide partial explanation for voting behavior; however, the findings also show that we may overlook how contextual effects may affect the electoral choice.     

中国古代证据制度的思想基础及特点分析

以中华法系为代表的中国古代法制文明在世界法律史中占有重要地位,也是中国古代文明的体现。法律制度的设计必须与其所处的经济、社会制度与环境相适应．古代中国法律体现了这点．作为法律制度一部分、对于事实的认定、纠纷的解决具有重要影响的证据制度也是如此。中国古代证据制度在设计及实施过程中受到了古代哲学、伦理观念、心理学等因素的影响,同时也与当时的生产力水平相适应。中国古代证据制度具有与西方不同的特征。这与中国古代对人的重视、以儒家为主导的哲学观念、当时的生产力水平以及家法宗族的统治密切相关。     

A fatal interaction: The role of the victim and function of aggression in intrafamilial homicide

Abstract

This study examines the interaction between the victim and offender during intrafamilial homicide. It is hypothesised that in order to understand the fatal consequences of the interaction, a psychological model must take into account both the role of the victim, as either a significant person or non-significant object, and the function of the aggression, as either instrumental or expressive. The combination of these two proposed facets gives rise to four hypothesised styles of intrafamilial homicide. This hypothesis was tested by analysing 191 intrafamilial homicide cases from the Chicago HITS database. Fifty two crime-scene actions were analysed using Smallest Space Analysis which revealed four distinct thematic clusters of variables. These themes corresponded to the hypothesised facets of victim role and function of aggression. Two related to expressive acts, (a) those murders where the offender kills multiple members of his family and subsequently takes his own life, and (b) cases where the victim is not treated as a significant person in the interaction but is simply used as a target for the offender's rage. The other two relate to instrumental acts, (c) those murders that are a culmination of years of abuse in which the offender sees the killing as the only means of escape, and (d) homicides where the victim is seen as an obstacle to the offender achieving a goal and is removed.

A further test of the validity of these four themes in describing distinct forms of interaction within intrafamilial homicide was to examine the proportion of cases which could be classified according to the framework. The hypothesis that each relationship would map onto just one of the interactional styles was tested by χ² which confirmed that such exclusive relationships existed at the p < .001 level of significance. This has theoretical as well as practical implications in that in using this method of classification it may be possible to infer which family member is responsible for killing their relative.     

2015年度中国公共政策研究现状与未来展望--基于对“四刊”公共政策类论文的分析

通过对2015年度“四刊”中公共政策类论文进行定量统计和定性分析,可以看到当前的公共政策研究以政策执行、政策网络、公民参与等为热点主题,以定性思辨分析、文献资料研究为主导方法,分布在理论与方法探讨、政策过程研究、工具与价值思考、创新与变迁研究、比较研究与借鉴等多个领域。结合目前的研究现状和实践背景,未来我国的公共政策研究应当向法治化、民主化、科学化、信息化、国际化的方向迈进,以创新理论研究成果,服务当前现实需要。     

Cell site analysis: Changes to networks with time

Cell service areas may change over time as sites or cells are adjusted, decommissioned or introduced, and there may have been changes between the time of calls and the analysis undertaken. The manner in which survey data is used as part of an analysis is of particular relevance as the data gathered may not reflect the state of the network at the time of calls and thus potentially mislead. Overlaying “historic” data (potentially generated before the calls) with “targeted” surveys (usually generated after the calls) may enable an assessment of possible network changes, or whether additional cells may also have served at a given location at a previous time. This paper outlines a case in which there was a significant time gap between the analysis of call data records and the date on which they were generated.