关于强化大连在环渤海经济圈融合中的竞争地位论证

国家已经做出了环渤海经济圈整体开发的战略部署,并且在落实进程中逐步成长为中国第三大经济增长极.而着眼于环渤海经济圈整体开发的现实进程,以大连为核心城市的辽宁沿海经济带,与京津冀沿海经济带、山东半岛沿海经济带相比,却处于相对的弱势地位.在辽宁沿海经济带开发上升为国家战略之际,大连必须带头改变这种弱势地位,强化和提升在环渤海经济圈融合中的竞争实力与竞争地位.为此,需要认证大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的时代背景,分析大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的综合因素,明确大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的利益取向,创意大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的推进对策:打破传统行政界线,提高区域合作意识;积极改善投资环境,强化城市服务功能;抓紧实施品牌战略,注重打造城市品牌;准确进行港口定位,促成联动发展格局;大力调整产业结构,增强综合经济实力;坚决克服地区封锁,造就市场利益关系;构建区域商贸体系,推动区域共同发展.大连只有这样做,才能切实为邓小平确立的"东北之窗"使命和创建东北亚重要国际航运中心的国家战略做出循名贲实的努力.     

论李明博政府的实用主义外交

李明博政府上台后推行实用主义外交政策,主要包括以服务于"先进化国家"为宗旨,强化韩美同盟关系、开启对日关系"新思维"、调整对朝政策、奉行有限度的"平衡"外交、积极开展对华经贸关系、对俄能源外交以及全球外交等.实用主义外交是基于国际和国内、历史与现实、社会与个人等多种因素考虑的结果.实用主义外交面临着美韩同盟利益与韩国民族利益的冲突、韩日之间的结构性矛盾、对朝政策的有效性以及李明博政绩认可度等挑战,其效果还有待于进一步观察.     

The dynamic political economy of support for Barack Obama during the 2008 presidential election campaign

In recent years, students of voting behavior have become increasingly interested in valence politics models of electoral choice. These models share the core assumption that key issues in electoral politicds typically are ones upon which there is a widespread public consensus on the goals of public policy. The present paper uses latent curve modeling procedures and data from a six-wave national panel survey of the American electorate to investigate the dynamic effects of voters’ concerns with the worsening economy—a valence issue par excellence—in the skein of causal forces at work in the 2008 presidential election campaign. As the campaign developed, the economy became the dominant issue. Although the massively negative public reaction to increasingly perilous economic conditions was not the only factor at work in 2008, dynamic multivariate analyses show that mounting worries about the economy played an important role in fueling Barack Obama’s successful run for the presidency.     

The campaign dynamics of economic voting

This paper considers the relationship between election campaigns and the impact of economic evaluations on vote choice. The motivation is the standard expectation that the campaign generally serves to amplify the significance of economic considerations in the voter's calculus—to focus his/her attention on this “fundamental” element of the electoral decision. Drawing on survey data from ten national elections across four countries (Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States) and applying both parametric and semi-parametric statistical techniques, the paper finds no support for this proposition. The paper reflects on the significance of this conclusion for work on political learning during election campaigns, the literature on economic voting, and the study of electoral behaviour more generally.     

Economic globalization and voter turnout in established democracies

This paper asks whether international economic integration negatively affects electoral turnout. The theoretical model builds on the premise that economic integration constrains the ability of national governments to shape outcomes. Citizens are conscious of such constraints and take them into account when considering the costs and benefits of casting a vote in national elections. The result is a lower inclination to vote under conditions of high economic integration. Consequently, aggregate turnout is lower the more internationally integrated a national economy is. Analysis of aggregate data for parliamentary elections in 23 OECD democracies over the period 1965–2006 robustly supports this hypothesis. The empirical estimates suggest economic globalization as a central cause of the general decline in turnout within established democracies.     

T-S连续模糊系统的一些新的稳定性问题研究

针对T-S连续模糊系统的稳定性和镇定问题,本文重点总结了T-S模糊系统的几个稳定性条件,从理论上比较他们所用方法的保守性和可实现性,并运用Matlab工具通过仿真实验,说明各个结论之间的有效性区别.     

以科技创新引领辽宁沿海经济带产业结构优化升级的若干思考及建议

2009年8月国务院对《辽宁沿海经济带发展规划》的批复,标志着辽宁沿海经济带的发展已上升为国家战略。辽宁沿海经济带发展也迎来了经济结构调整、产业结构优化升级的重大机遇和挑战。该文分析了辽宁沿海经济带发展现状,并从培育战略性新兴产业、加强产业核心关键技术攻关、加快科技成果转化等方面分析了科技创新对辽宁沿海经济带产业结构优化升级的作用。     

黄河三角洲高效生态经济区高等教育发展问题与对策

通过调研黄河三角洲高效生态经济区高等教育现状,分析其存在的投入不足、优质教育资源短缺、专业层次结构不够合理三大问题,对该区域高等教育与区域发展的关系、在全省高等教育发展中的定位进行了探讨,提出了该区域规划期内的发展目标,设计了建设名校、调优专业、深化教学改革、打造优秀团队、推进产学研结合的发展路径,对政府支持高等教育的发展提出了优化布局、增加投入、政策支持的三条对策建议。     

Rethinking ‘Crowding Out’ and the Return of ‘Private Affluence and Public Squalor’

This article traces the history of ‘crowding out’, and its use as a justification for austerity and state deflation from its origins in the 1920s to its latest post-2010 incarnation. It examines why governments have kept turning to austerity and continue to justify it on the grounds that public sector activity crowds out more productive private activity, despite the accumulated evidence that this traditional pro-market formulation has failed to deliver its stated goals. It examines three other embedded forms of crowding out that have been highly damaging—leading to weakened social resilience and more fragile economies—but which have been ignored by both governments and mainstream political economists.     

现行经济犯罪初查制度瓶颈的突破与完善

当前,经济犯罪初查制度面临诸项瓶颈,原因是立案条件过高,初查难以达到证明标准;现有初查手段有限且受限制过多,难以应对经济犯罪初查的复杂形势;初查行为性质法律界定不明,讼争纷纭。故此,应对经济犯罪初查制度进行司法性改良;解构当前的程序顺位,重建经济犯罪初查制度;构建司法审查机制,重构经济犯罪初查的支撑体系。