论跨国并购模式的选择

近年来,随着经济全球化的不断深入,跨国并购已成为FDI的最主要力量。按企业扩展的组织形式分,跨国并购有三种模式,即横向并购、纵向并购和混合并购。我国跨国并购的模式也不外乎这三种。在进行跨国并购中,应在并购前进行可行性研究,遵守东道国有关企业并购的政策法规,注意跨国并购后的整合。     

日资出逃对中国制造业的影响——基于可计算一般均衡模型CGE的模拟分析

基于可计算一般均衡模型CGE的模拟分析结果表明,在继续大力实施吸引外资政策的前提下,即使由于政治等因素,日本缩减对华投资,除对日资依赖性较强的炼焦、煤气及石油加工业等资源加工业外,日资的出逃对大多数制造业不会有大的影响。     

It's all relative: Spatial positioning of parties and ideological shifts

The usefulness of the general class of spatial econometric models, which relaxes the assumption that the observations are independent, has only recently been realised. One particularly fruitful application includes models of parties' ideological change as well as the electoral consequences of party competition. In these studies, scholars can explicitly model the spatial interconnectedness of political parties in theoretically pleasing ways, producing inferences that are consistent with formal models of party competition, but are beyond the grasp of traditional ordinary least squares (OLS) regression models. To illustrate these benefits, this article replicates Adams and Somer‐Topcu's 2009 study of parties' responses to ideological shifts by rival parties to show that appropriately modeling patterns of interconnectivity between parties via weights matrices provides more realistic inferences that are more consistent with formal models of party competition.     

Sex Classification Using the Three‐Dimensional Tibia Form or Shape Including Population Specificity Approach

The aims of this study were to enable geometric morphometric sex classification using tibial proximal and distal sexual dimorphism and to evaluate the secular trend of tibial shape/form from the early 20th century to the present day. The study samples consisted of 61 adult tibias from an early 20th‐century Czech population and 57 three‐dimensional tibias from a 21st‐century population. Discriminant function analysis with cross‐validation was carried out to assess the accuracy of sex classification. Shape analysis revealed significant sex differences in both tibial extremities of the 21st‐century sample and in the proximal tibia of the 20th‐century population. Sex‐based divergence varied between the analyzed samples, raising the issues of population specificity and diachronic change. Classification using tibial form was more successful than using tibial shape. The highest values of correct assignment (91.80% and 88.52%) were found using the form from the early 20th Czech population.     

论婚姻与爱情及其关系

婚姻是一种社会制度,是客观的东西,具有理性、规定性、公开性、稳定性、特别是唯一性等特点;爱情是男女之间的一种心理感受,属于主观的范畴,具有感性、随意性、隐私性、易变性、尤其是多样性等特点.爱情是两性生活的一项重要内容,婚姻是两性关系的一种主要形式;爱情可以超越婚姻,婚姻不能左右爱情.婚姻与爱情的关系决定了一个社会及其成员应该始终围绕经济、政治、文化的发展状况这个基本前提,制定符合客观实际的婚姻规范.     

Moderate,extreme, or both? How voters respond to ideologically unpredictable candidates

Candidates and parties often face a choice between endorsing policies that appeal to their core constituencies or generate support from more diverse groups of voters. While the latter strategy may make overtures to a wider set of citizens, existing literature says little about how the overall mix of issue positions affects electoral support. We argue that candidates who endorse diverse sets of policy positions appear unpredictable to voters and incur subsequent electoral penalties. Using data from the 2006 congressional elections, we find that ideological predictability substantially increases electoral support at both the individual and aggregate levels and that voters perceive greater ideological congruence from more predictable candidates. Our results have important implications for candidate and party strategies and suggest that voters are responsive to the mean and the variance of candidates’ policy stances.     

关于加强典型选树后的培育工作的思考

典型培育是工会的一项重要工作.加强对典型选树后的培育,使典型真正在职工群众中立得住、传得开、叫得响,不断展示其示范、导向、辐射效应,是素质工程建设中所需要认真思考、着力解决的重要课题.     

Vote as you Think: Determinants of Consistent Decision Making in Direct Democracy

This study investigates the conditions under which Swiss citizens take consistent decisions, that is, decisions that reflect their argument‐based opinions, during direct‐democratic ballots. In line with recent work on cognitive political behavior, we expect the drivers of consistent voting to be found at the individual and contextual level. At the individual level, we argue that political knowledge positively affects consistent decisions. At the contextual level, we anticipate a positive effect for campaign intensity, complexity and negativism. We estimate hierarchical logistic models based on VOX survey data (1999‐2005) and original data that captures the nature of political campaigns. Our results support our expectations for the situational level and (partially) for the individual factors.     

多元智能理论框架下任务型教学理论研究与模式构建

在多元智能理论和任务型教学倍受关注的环境下,本文从多元智能理论、任务型教学的特点、任务型教学的理论基础、多元化任务设计和多元化教学模式等角度,对任务型教学理论和模式构建进行了论证,为任务型教学能更科学有效地应用到外语教学中提供了新的思考维度。