法律效果与社会效果的统一——中国法院角色定位的失误

本文通过对“法律效果与社会效果的统一”相关概念的辨析,通过探讨这一提法的本意,引用者的目的以及受束的理解,笔者将“法律效果”界定为法律本身对法律行为合法性的评判,将“社会效果”界定为社会各阶层从其自身利益出发对法律及其实施的合理性评判,认为法律效果与社会效果相统一的载体不应该只是法院的司法行为,而包括普遍的法律行为。法律行为的法律效果和社会效果相统一是法治社会、和谐社会的一种状态：这种状态的实现是一个渐进的过程,是整个社会走向真正法治,趋向和谐的漫长过程,不是某一个机构在短时间内能够实现的。因此,实现法律效果和社会效果相统一,是权力机关、行政机关、司法机关乃至每个公民的共同任务。法院将其作为自身独自完成的目标是其角色定位的失误。     

两国厂商相互出口条件下出口补贴与反补贴的经济效应研究

随着国际贸易的迅速发展和争夺国际市场的竞争日趋激烈,出口补贴与反补贴问题越来越受到国际社会的关注。本文运用博弈论中CITPDG博弈模型,通过分析两国政府存在出口补贴时的动态博弈过程和一国政府对对方的受补贴产品征收反补贴税时的动态博弈过程,研究并总结了该博弈模型条件下出口补贴与反补贴的经济效应。     

对陆良县公安局创建驻村联勤警务模式的思考

陆良县公安局自 2 0 0 2年开始 ,在全省率先进行农村派出所改革 ,创建“驻村联勤警务”模式。 1 实现了农村派出所警务职能从管理型向服务型转变 ;2 密切了警民关系 ;3 维护了辖区社会稳定 ;4 激发了民警工作积极性。其艰巨性 :1 警力不足 ;2 警务室条件艰苦 ;3 联防人员面临全面清退 ;4 民警工作量大 ,长期得不到休整。     

误证中的记忆错误现象

证人的证言是证据的一个重要成分,在审判中起着重要作用。证人证言中的一个重要问题是证言的可靠性问题,即证人的证言是否属实,是否是对案件的真实描述。造成误证的原因很多,除了证人作证的各种动机等主观原因外,还有许多是由记忆机制这一客观原因造成的,这一情况是不容忽视的。本文将对由记忆机制导致的记忆错误做一些初步概述,并对如何避免记忆错误出现和如何唤起证人的真实记忆做一些初步探讨。     

Public opinion during a presidential campaign: Distinguishing the effects of environmental evolution and attitude change

This paper develops a spatial model which distinguishes between different sources of temporal variability in public opinion over the course of an election campaign. Candidates and citizens are shown as points within a space. The candidate points are fixed, but their relative positions can change as a result of change over time in the dimension weights. If this occurs, it represents environmental evolution. The individual citizens' points also can move within the space, independently of the external environment. To the extent this occurs, it represents attitude change. The model is tested with data from the CPS 1980 National Election Study. The empirical results show that much of the variability in public evaluations of the candidates is due to evolutionary changes in the electoral environment, rather than individual-level attitude changes. Furthermore, that attitudinal change which does occur is strongly delimited by factors like partisan strength, interest in the campaign, and political participation.     

Shaping Political Preferences: Information Effects in Political-Administrative Systems

Information is at the heart of politics. However, since information is always sent by someone who is more or less powerful, it is difficult to disentangle the effect of information from the power of the sender. Drawing on a standard model of attitude formation, we argue that presenting information can affect preferences of politicians regardless of the power of the sender. We test this proposition in a survey experiment with 1205 Danish local politicians in which the experimental groups were presented with varying levels of cost information but where sender remained constant. The experiment shows that even in a setting where the information is not disclosed by a powerful sender, information may have a stronger impact on political preferences than other well-known determinants such as committee and party affiliation. Our findings speak to learning theories, knowledge perspectives and the literature on the determinants of politicians’ preferences.     

论作为新型治理工具的信用规制

在信息时代,我国将信用规制作为新型治理工具是两个方面的力量相互作用的结果.一方面,它以社会信用文化、法治思维和信息治理经验为基础动力;另一方面,它以扩展政府的治理边界、创新政府治理工具、提升政府的治理能力为基本动力.由于信用规制具有规制对象的广泛性、规制过程的系统性、规制取向的多维性和规制影响的持续性等,而且"黑名单"...     

Dyadic Effects,Relevance, and the Empirical Assessment of the Kantian Peace

Dyadic effects to a large extent account for the difficulty of explaining and predicting international conflict. In this study, I derive a statistical model to estimate unobserved dyadic effects in the dyadic analysis of conflict. The proposed model employs a hierarchical modeling approach to estimate dyadic effects, thereby avoiding the problems caused by the use of fixed effects models. Furthermore, it simultaneously addresses the important sample selection issue of identifying relevant dyads. I show that the estimation of dyadic effects significantly improves the model fit and generates several interesting findings. Substantively, this study makes an important contribution to the empirical evaluation of the Kantian peace. It argues that international organizations increase the likelihood of conflict of interest between member states but reduce the probability of militarized conflict. I demonstrate that the positive coefficient of international organizations in Oneal and Russett (1999) is biased in the positive direction. When the proposed statistical model is used, international organizations, together with trade and democracy, reduce the probability of conflict.     

Earnings prospects,matching effects,and the decision to terminate a criminal career

This study represents an effort to investigate the age pattern of criminal involvement from an economist's perspective. It presents a dynamic stochastic model of sequential search and match evaluation which is used to explain the reasons for, and the timing of, the decision to terminate a criminal career. The behavioral implications derived from the theoretical model are tested using individual National Longitudinal Survey of Youth data. Estimation results strongly support the prediction of a negative relation between theoption value of retaining a criminal career and desistance decisions. More specifically, the effects of current and future expected criminal earnings are shown to be negative, substantial, and statistically significant in determining desistance probabilities. Retiring behavior is also significantly responsive to variables measuring personal costs of punishment and the availability and attractiveness of a legal income-generating activity in ways consistent with theoretical expectations.     

浅谈当前公安机关法律文书制发格式的缺陷及其产生的负面影响

法律文书是适用法律的重要载体 ,法律文书的制发和运用 ,对执法工作有着极其重要的影响。公安机关所制发的法律文书格式中存在的缺陷和负面影响主要有刑事法律文书格式设定不齐全 ,不对等 ,缺乏可操作性 ,造成检察机关依法移交公安机关执行的强制措施难以到位。健全和完善公安机关法律文书制发格式的建议有讲求规范化、对等化、效率化 ,以进一步提高公安机关执法人员的程序意识 ,整体执法水平及公安机关内部执法监督机制的有效性。