Is China’s rise now stalling?

The variations on power transition theory so widely used to frame analysis of U.S.–China relation tend to assume the inevitability or at least strong probability of China surpassing the United States in economic power if not necessarily military power. In the terminology of social psychology’s attribution theory, China is imputed with the identity of a state that is inevitably rising. The Chinese Communist Party encourages this attribution among Chinese people and foreigners. But China’s economic rise – the foundation of its comprehensive rise – appears to have entered an inflection point in the mid-2010s and may now be stalling. In critical respects, China increasingly resembles the last two countries that ‘attempted’ a globe-level rise: the unsuccessful cases of postwar Japan and the Soviet Union. China’s labor force is shrinking; the country relies excessively on unsustainable debt increases to fuel economic growth; and pollution is seriously harming public health. But even if China’s rise conclusively stalls, it may take quite some time before the Chinese public and outside observers recognize the new reality because of intrinsic biases in the cognitive logic of attributing identities to actors.     

转型期的家庭变迁与青少年违法犯罪

当前中国社会转型所引发的巨大变革,剧烈地冲击着作为社会基本单位的家庭,从而使家庭结构出现异化与失衡、家庭关系承受压力与紧张、家庭教育面临失范与挑战等。转型期家庭的这些变迁势必会导致部分青少年在社会化过程中的失管、失误、失控与失常,从而诱发他们走上违法犯罪的道路。因此如何减少家庭变迁所带来的负面震荡效应,对预防和减少青少年违法犯罪具有十分重要的意义。     

著作权文化转型与微观历史研究方法

著作权制度在后现代转型中不断受到各种源自对于著作权文化认识差异而导致的诘问。但是,目前的主流研究方法却一味的强调著作权制度的现代性和客体性,而忽视对于这一新兴法律制度的深入的历史研究,难以回应那些挑战其本体意义的质疑。而从微观的角度出发研究著作权的历史,似乎能更清楚地明晰著作权制度的本体价值。“小历史”的研究方法应当被知识产权研究的学者更加重视。     

中国社会转型期的女职工劳动保护

中国正在进行社会主义市场经济的改革,在经济全球化和市场的共同作用下,中国女职工就业权利和劳动保护受到空前的冲击和挑战。一方面,大量出现女职工劳动保护不足的问题;另一方面,又存在女职工过度保护的问题;此外,还存在由于政府不再承担公共服务责任和监管力度弱化而出现的越提倡保护、对女职工就业越不利的复杂局面。本文参照全球化和对自由主义经济批判的框架,从国际劳工标准、社会性别平等和政府责任等角度,对上述现象进行了分析,探讨了《女职工劳动保护条例》修改中的基本原则和修改导向,并提出相关政策建议。     

转型时期中国共产党利益整合的价值选择

利益整合是执政党的一项重要功能。转型时期,中国社会的利益结构、价值观念、生活方式等日趋分化,利益矛盾凸显,党的执政基础也开始面临前所未有的深刻变化,这些都对执政的中国共产党提出了严峻挑战,因而迫切要求其提高利益整合能力。     

机关政治思想工作在构建社会主义核心价值体系中的作用

党的十六届六中全会首次提出社会主义核心价值体系这一重大命题,并在十七大上向全党提出了建设社会主义核心价值体系的重大战略任务。充分发挥思想政治工作作用,是我们党长期以来整合社会思潮、调节利益矛盾的行之有效的重要手段,特别是处位特殊、影响力大的机关政治思想工作,在构建社会主义核心价值体系过程中尤为重要。     

China,the United States,and order transition in East Asia: An economy-security Nexus approach

A dualistic-order thesis has been emerged as a widely-used concept to describe East Asia’s regional dynamics. According to the thesis, the economic and security spheres of the region have become divorced from one other, whereby China and the United States dominate the economic and security realms, respectively. This paper demonstrates the deficiencies of this thesis, based on a comprehensive assessment of the economic and security developments in the region, as well as the strategic choices of small and middle regional powers. In order to form a more accurate and systematic understanding of regional prosperity and stability, this paper develops an economy-security nexus approach by integrating the interactions of regional actors in both the economic and security realms into a unified framework. From this perspective, East Asian regional order is sustained by a delicate coupling of regional economic and security configurations: ‘hot economics’ is accompanied with cooperative security interactions. Although China and the United States are not the dominant actors in either field, their relatively benign interactions in both realms collectively play a significant role by shaping the strategic environment for regional actors, allowing them to enjoy a large degree of strategic flexibility and increase their security and prosperity.     

Have Lower Real Wages Helped Industrial Restructuring in Romania?

A reduction in real wages arising from price liberalisation has been a standard feature of economies undergoing industrial restructuring. In this article, the impact of real wages on industrial performance is examined using a panel dataset of Romanian industries from 1990-96. Using both static and dynamic panel estimation, real wages are found not to be negatively associated with either output or employment. These results are consistent with a view that an institutionalist approach, aimed at improving productivity, may be more likely to achieve the long-term objective of successful industrial restructuring than standard adjustment programmes based on neo-classical theory.     

从实然庙会到应然庙会——传统庙会与庙会文化的现代转型

庙会文化是一种复合形态的文化,常常是民间艺术精粹与封建迷信糟粕交织在一起,整体性地影响着广大人民群众。以文化经贸为主题的庙会活动是一种文化交流和商业活动,对促进民族文化与地区经济繁荣是有益的。而以迷信为主题的庙会活动却会对我们事业的发展产生很大危害。现实中的庙会形式及其内容并非完全适应改革开放和现代化建设的需要。既要保留传统庙会的精华并注入新的有益成分,又要去除夹杂在其中的迷信内容,使庙会发展与社会主义现代化建设相协调,就需要我们实现庙会从实然状态到应然状态的转变,实现传统庙会的现代转型。