两岸主要政党的"不等边三角"关系

近期以来,围绕台湾前途走向,海峡两岸三政党(大陆的共产党、台湾的国民党及台湾的民进党)的互动出现了前所未有的活跃。这三个政党是目前“两岸一中”之下鼎足而立、呈犄角之势的“三个不等边”政治势力。当前两岸的新态势,已呈现出以“红”为主导力量,“蓝”为争取盟友,“绿”为化解对象等新特点,以胡锦涛总书记为代表的中央领导集体在对台工作上提出了一系列新思路、新政策和新做法,在两岸关系上已开创了一个崭新局面。     

The Obama Administration,the Left and Narratives of Failure

Barack Obama's election as US president gave rise to hopes of radical reform. Indeed, comparisons were drawn with 1932 and there were references to ‘realignment’. Many on the left were quickly disappointed by the limited character of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the abandonment of proposed reforms, and the concessions that were made to ensure the passage of healthcare legislation. Some explained these failures through agency‐based accounts and pointed to what they saw as personal weakness. Others stressed the structural constraints imposed by the asymmetric character of partisan polarisation, the political weight of capital, and the institutional character of the American state. The article argues that the character of the ‘Obama coalition’ should also be considered. It has been relatively narrow particularly when compared with the ‘Roosevelt coalition’. In particular, it failed to draw business fractions into its ranks.     

The alternative incumbency effect: Electing women legislators in Indonesia

Between the 1999 and 2009 elections the proportion of national female legislators in Indonesia, the world's largest Muslim majority democracy, more than doubled. While this substantial increase may partly be explained by the recent imposition of a gender quota and placement mandate that have forced parties to increase the number of female candidates, quotas cannot fully explain the strong performance of women in the 2009 elections. First, many parties placed women higher on their lists than the laws required; second, voters appeared to over vote for women in some districts. Although incumbency's typical effect is to inhibit female electoral success by advantaging traditional (male) competitors, I argue that women benefited largely from an alternative effect: female incumbency can improve female candidate placement and electability by demonstrating female capacity and capability. Female newcomers benefited strongly from the presence of female incumbents in their own and bordering districts, thus suggesting a positive diffusion effect of female incumbency.     

试论参政党民主监督的程序缺陷问题

中国共产党领导的多党合作和政治协商制度蕴藏着政党"互相监督"政治资源。经过几十年的不断探索,参政党民主监督在政治、经济、文化和社会生活中发挥了重要作用。在现实层面,参政党民主监督运行机制的程序缺陷使参政党民主监督随意性和软弱性较大,监督效用未能充分的实现。当务之急,要建加强参政党民主监督机制的程序化建设,着力实施程序监督。     

加强和创新社会管理视域中民主党派作用的思考

加强和创新社会管理是中国特色的社会建设之重大课题,民主党派参与其中有其重大理论意义和现实意义。改革开放三十多年来,我国经济社会发展取得突出成就,经济社会正处在深刻转型期,转型期也是矛盾凸显期,这给社会管理和民主党派都带来较多新的挑战。民主党派如何做到既克服自身局限性,又在多党合作框架下充分发挥自身优势、积极参与社会管理及其创新,在中国特色的社会建设中有所建树?解决此问题有如下路径:民主党派参与政权,积极促进改善民生;民主党派议政、参与民主协商,加强联系社会,促进民意畅通机制,促进社会公平正义;民主党派进行民主监督,促进反腐倡廉建设;民主党派进行调查研究,利于把握社会建设规律。     

The end of a strategic opening? The BNP's window of opportunity in the 2000s and its closure in the 2010s

ABSTRACT

Notwithstanding the endemic failure of extreme-right parties in Britain, the British National Party (BNP) observed a period of electoral growth in the 2000s. After the election of several city councillors nationwide, the BNP experienced an electoral breakthrough in the national ballot of the 2009 European Parliament elections. Yet the BNP's electoral accomplishments dissipated in the early 2010s, fuelling predictions of the party's terminal decline. Within this context, Carvalho seeks to explain the fluctuations observed in the BNP's electoral base in the twentieth-first century by exploring the structure of political opportunities alongside the strategy of the BNP's leadership. Drawing on the convergence thesis and the decline of voting along class lines, he argues that the BNP benefitted from a favourable set of political opportunities in the 2000s, reflecting the decrease in political polarization among mainstream parties, the rise in levels of public distrust, and the intense politicization of the issue of immigration. Despite a general shift to cultural xenophobia, the BNP's leadership remained attached to the ideological traits of neo-fascist parties, including the search for a ‘palingenetic rebirth’ and a national corporatist economic programme. These ideological formulae had important implications for the scope of the BNP's electoral coalition, as Carvalho demonstrates in a review of the secondary literature on the roots of the BNP's electoral support. Consequently, the BNP's electoral growth in the 2000s was the outcome of an interplay between a favourable window of opportunity in British politics and the party's electoral appeal. Carvalho goes on to link the BNP's electoral collapse in the early 2010s with the closing of the aforementioned window after the onset of the financial crisis, a temporary lack of political interest in the issue of immigration, and the formation of the coalition government in 2010.     

Ushering in Greater Accomplishments

On August 15,1974,China and Brazil established formal diplomatic ties and began a new chapter in Sino-Brazilian relations.Tested by time and tide,the bilateral relations continue to advance steadily.     

Kingrand Hotel Beijing

正Kingrand Hotel Beijing of ers venue of more than 1,756 square meters for meetings and banquets to easily cater t your needs to hold large-scale business conferences,theme parties and other activities.Among these venues is the     

国际法框架下的南海合作(英文)

Pragmatic cooperation on the South China Sea between signatory states not only conforms to the common interests of all parties,but also is a legal obligation.The current threats to stability in the South China Sea require that coastal countries cooperate in environmental protection,resource utilization and conservation,disaster prevention and mitigation,and the fight against crime.Due to a variety of internal and external factors,the South China Sea has recently experienced some problems.Together,stakeholders should look for solutions and promote cooperation in fields that are not very sensitive.     

Windows Surface RT tablet forensics

Small scale digital device forensics is particularly critical as a result of the mobility of these devices, leading to closer proximity to crimes as they occur when compared to computers. The Windows Surface tablet is one such device, combining tablet mobility with familiar Microsoft Windows productivity tools. This research considers the acquisition and forensic analysis of the Windows Surface RT tablet. We discuss the artifacts of both the Windows RT operating system and third-party applications. The contribution of this research is to provide a road map for the digital forensic examination of Windows Surface RT tablets.