公安机关处置群体性事件研究

群体性事件是当前影响我国社会政治稳定的主要因素之一,而公安机关作为维护社会政治稳定的基础力量,其处置机制的建立健全具有重要意义。因而,需要对公安机关处置群体性事件的理论基础加以阐释,并对我国现行的群体性事件进行动态和静态的分析,从中找出问题并加以完善。     

地方立法中的灵魂——“地方特色”

在＂不抵触、有特色、可操作＂等相关地方立法的基本原则背后,我们发现,地方立法的灵魂无疑就是＂有特色＂,只有充分地了解和掌握国家的发展路线和方针政策,通过自身的经验来弥补中央立法的不足之处,才是地方立法质量提高的一个合理的对策。     

行政计划变动中的信赖保护原则研究

行政计划的可变性比一般行政行为要大得多。在这种情况下,相对人的信赖利益是否值得保护,在什么情况下保护,以什么方式保护就成为研究行政计划变动的一个重要的理论问题。行政计划的内容是否可诉存在较大的争论,与之相比,各国行政法学理论和司法判决对行政计划变动中的信赖利益是否可诉的观点则较为一致,承认了行政计划变动下相对人寻求诉讼救济的权利。本文认为,行政计划的形成过程应当重点保障公民和有关专业人士和组织的知情权、参与权等,使计划形成时具有科学和民主的程序保证,而对于行政计划的变动过程则应更多地在法律权利保障和防止或制止行政计划裁量权滥用的外部控制机制上进行制度构建。     

未公开信息的界定——以与内幕信息的比较为视角

为了有针对性地打击证券市场中出现的基金"老鼠仓"行为,《刑法修正案(七)》专门增加了利用未公开信息交易罪,通过与内幕信息的比较分析,界定未公开信息的内涵、特征和范围将有利于司法实践。     

使用Photoshop软件快速测量物证特征

在物证检验工作流中使用Photoshop软件通过物证图像直接进行特征量化测量的实用方法,可完成长度、角度、面积与周长特征测量任务,克服了常规测量手段对于易损易逝物证特征测量的局限以及对于面积、周长特征测量的不足。     

基于ELES模型的陕西城镇居民消费结构研究

消费是拉动经济发展的源动力,而研究消费的一个重要途径是对消费结构进行研究。消费结构不仅反映消费水平而且对于消费总量和产业结构有着重要影响。陕西城镇居民的消费结构经过了两个阶段的变化,由上世纪90年代中期以食品、衣着和家庭设备为主变化为以食品、医疗保健、交通通讯和教育文娱并重。同时,根据居民的消费弹性和消费结构的发展趋势,可以预见医疗保健和交通通讯等方面将成为居民未来的消费热点。     

基于ATT-3000的动态仿真取证技术研究

本文首先介绍了ATT-3000动态仿真取证系统的概念及特点,然后给出了利用该系统进行仿真和密码破解的过程,最后分析了其在仿真系统快速取证方面的典型应用。     

Assessing dynamic risk and protective factors in the community: examining the validity of the Dynamic Risk Assessment for Offender Re-entry

Recently, there has been a growing interest in advancing the state of offender risk assessment: particularly through the development of risk instruments to assist with parole management and the incorporation of protective factors specific to re-entry. The current study's aim was to validate a measure of stable and acute dynamic risk factors and protective factors used by probation officers managing offenders in the community: the Dynamic Risk Assessment for Offender Re-Entry (DRAOR). Empirical examination of the structure of DRAOR scores soon after release from prison suggested four components, rather than the theoretically proposed three-subscale structure. Both the original three subscales and the four new subscales showed good convergent validity with other dynamic risk instruments, and reliably predicted new convictions; however, only the new stable component added significant incremental predictive power over existing static and dynamic risk instruments. These findings provide initial support for the validity of the DRAOR; suggestions for future research are discussed.     

The predictive and convergent validity of a psychometric battery used to assess sexual offenders in a treatment programme: an 18-year follow-up

Abstract

This study examined sex offender risk and treatment change based on a battery of psychometric assessment measures administered to 267 treated adult Canadian federal sex offenders followed up an average 18 years post release. Several significant pre–post changes that were frequently moderate in magnitude (d>.50) were observed across these measures. A factor analysis of the psychometric battery generated three broad need domains consistent with the extant literature that were labelled Socioemotional Functioning, Anger/Hostility, and Misogynist Attitudes. The three need domains and a Need Total, created by their summation, converged with the Violence Risk Scale—Sexual Offender version (VRS-SO; Wong, Olver, Nicholaichuk, & Gordon, 2003) in conceptually meaningful ways and predicted sexual and violent recidivism to varying degrees. Raw measurements of change obtained from pre-to posttreatment frequently bore weak and non-significant relationships to outcome. However, after creating standardised residual change scores to control for pre-treatment score, treatment changes in the individual measures, need domains and Need Total improved significantly in their prediction of reductions in general and sexual violence.     

Sexual recidivism: A review of static,dynamic and actuarial predictors

The need for accurate risk assessment of sexual offence recidivism has never been greater. It is widely accepted that actuarial risk instruments outperform clinical judgement and the literature has recently witnessed a surge of empirically derived actuarial measures. However, in spite of the increased levels of predictive accuracy, actuarial measures have been criticized as being unrepresentative, lacking specificity, and being heavily reliant on static risk factors without taking into account dynamic risk, psychological emotional states and treatment effects. Rather than offering a critique of the actuarial movement, this paper offers a summary of static and dynamic risk factors associated with sexual offence recidivism as identified from the literature. Implications of incorporating dynamic factors into risk assessments and actuarial measures are discussed.