The Relationship Between Adolescent Physical Abuse and Criminal Offending: Support for an Enduring and Generalized Cycle of Violence

Prospective investigations have demonstrated support for the cycle of violence theory. However, few studies have examined whether or not abuse occurring during adolescence increases the prevalence and frequency of criminal involvement, or explored the long-term consequences of such victimization. In addition, there has been little investigation of whether or not the effects of abuse vary depending on characteristics of the victim, such as sex, race/ethnicity, age, family structure or income. Using data from the National Youth Survey, this study demonstrates that adolescent physical abuse has immediate and enduring effects on the prevalence and frequency of a variety of self-reported offenses, including violent and non-violent crimes, drug use and intimate partner violence. Furthermore, the study reveals that while victimization increases the prevalence of offending for victims of varying backgrounds, the frequency of offending is moderated by family income, area of residence, and family structure. Implications for prevention are discussed.     

Intimate Partner Violence Victims’ Accuracy in Assessing their Risk of Re-abuse

Using four categories of accuracy (true positive, false positive, true negative, false negative), this study explored (1) how accurately intimate partner violence (IPV) victims are able to assess their risk of re-abuse; and (2) potential predictors of accuracy. Women seeking help for IPV (N = 246) rated the likelihood that they would experience physical re-abuse in the coming year and then reported 18 months later whether those risks had been realized. Victim assessments were more likely to be right than wrong, and were subject to neither a pessimistic nor optimistic bias. In the multivariate analysis, significant/marginally significant predictors of the accuracy categories were the history of violence from this and former partners, level of substance use, PTSD symptoms, and the recency of the violence. Among the more robust findings were the connection between level of stalking and true positives, and between substance use and false negatives. This study suggests that victim assessments have significant potential to inform practice, and deserve further exploration.

Reluctant Coalitionists: The Conservative Party and the Establishment of the Coalition Government in May 2010

The Conservative party has been the real awkward partner in the Conservative‐Liberal Democrat coalition government because its backbench MPs have rebelled more frequently than their Liberal Democrat counterparts since May 2010. This reflected the fact that the Conservatives were reluctant coalitionists to begin with: they would have preferred to see a minority Conservative government, they had made far too many concessions to the Liberal Democrats, they had been bounced into accepting a coalition deal by a controlling party leadership, and they had lost out on those ministerial positions now held by Liberal Democrats. There was thus no great enthusiasm for the establishment of a coalition government with the Liberal Democrats in the parliamentary Conservative party in May 2010. Conservatives merely resigned themselves to an outcome which they had been given little opportunity to influence and which David Cameron had made it very difficult for them to reject.     

中外合作办学思想政治教育工作路径选择与思考

中外合作办学作为新时期高校加强开放办学、国际交流与合作的重要窗口,应切实把创新学生教育管理模式作为推动大学生思想政治教育工作的内生动力。以山东农业大学中外合作办学为例,为创新中外合作办学思想政治教育工作作了积极实践与路径探索。     

Explaining preferences for redistribution: A unified framework to account for institutional approaches and economic self‐interest for the case of monetary transfers for families and children

Explanations of different patterns of preferences for redistribution either highlight the role of the institutional framework in a country or highlight the importance of self‐interest and rational expectations. The study introduces a unified approach to explain differences in preferences for redistributive measures for the case of intergenerational monetary transfers for families and children. Both explanatory approaches are integrated into the action‐based Model of Frame Selection that incorporates normative motives and economic self‐interest into the process of decision making. Using a large sample that deals with questions on the approval of public policies for families and accounts for the normative importance of children and family life in Germany, evidence is provided that both approaches are valid in explaining preferences for government transfers.     

中国经济发展路径战略抉择——基于浙江、江苏、广东和重庆四地发展经验的比较研究

任何一个地区或国家的经济社会发展都必须选择适合自身发展的经济模式。在经济转型时期,我国各地通过长期经济实践,逐渐形成了苏南模式、浙江模式、广东模式和重庆模式。这些模式在经济社会发展过程中相互竞争、相互借鉴、相互融合,正在生成一种新的经济发展模式。由于我国地域广袤,各地自然和人文环境差异较大,新的发展模式必须以科学发展观为指导,将经济发展的普遍性与各地的特殊性结合起来,探索出一种因地制宜、行之有效的科学经济发展模式,实现国有与民营、基础与创新、计划与市场、强国与富民的有机结合,促进经济科学发展,实现社会和谐稳定。     

我国能动司法若干问题的思考

在当今中国实行能动司法,面临着司法能动与司法克制两种不同司法理念的争论,这场争论直接关系到我国司法体制改革与司法制度建设的历史进程。历史要求我们在中国司法语境下,从法学理论与法律实践的结合上,客观分析能动司法的比较优势,科学做出能动司法的模式选择,深入研究适度能动司法的价值取向。在此基础上,积极探寻我国能动司法的合理途径和科学方式。     

Peace in the Middle East

正Foreign minister’s trip highlights China’s increasing involvement in the region Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi took a tour of the Middle East and North Africa from December 17-26,2013,consisting of stops in Palestine,Israel,