浅议中俄劳务合作存在的问题和发展趋势

中国与俄罗斯在经济结构上有很强的互补性,多年来双方通过劳务合作各自受益很多。目前两国形势发生变化,俄罗斯对移民政策进行大幅调整,而中国劳动力成本迅速上升,劳务合作企业举步维艰,这些新变化对未来中俄劳务合作将产生重大影响。     

在俄罗斯的中国汉语教师志愿者服务研究

近年来,中俄两国合作日益深入,赴俄罗斯的汉语教师志愿者为中国文化在俄罗斯传播发挥了重要的作用。了解汉语教师志愿者在俄罗斯的工作和生活情况,探讨提高汉语教师志愿者服务质量的措施,有重要的现实意义。     

简析俄国东正教传教士团在早期中俄文化交流中的作用

中俄两国的文化交流是两国关系史上的重要组成部分,在一定程度上影响、制约着两国政治经济关系的发展和变化。在早期中俄文化交流中,俄国东正教和传教士团扮演了文化使者的角色,是中俄文化交流最重要的桥梁。尽管他们的活动带有一定的政治目的,但在客观上却为促进中俄两国的文化交流和人民之间的了解发挥了促进作用。     

日本的王希天研究

日本的关东大地震虐杀华工案和"王希天事件"的研究,始于20世纪60年代。当时,日本政府曾极力掩盖虐杀中国劳工的真相,严格控制封锁相关的档案资料,致使这一事件的真相迟迟不能大白于天下。中日邦交正常化以来,日本国内具有正义感的专家学者,在反思日本军国主义侵略中国罪行的同时,开始了对关东大地震前后虐杀王希天及滞日华工个案的研究,先后出版了一些具有史实意义和学术价值的著述,为国内的王希天研究提供了有益的助力。     

The Effects of Majority State Ownership of Significant Economic Sectors on Corruption: A Cross-Regional Comparison

Given both corruption's and bureaucratic inefficiency's importance for development and good governance, understanding their causes is paramount. This paper argues that majority state ownership of most the most important economic sectors of a country results in higher levels of corruption and inefficiency. When political and managerial elites both own and manage the country's most important economic resources, they have greater incentives for corrupt or inefficient behavior. These elites use national resources at their disposal more for short-term personal and political goals than for long-term economic ones. This paper tests this hypothesis on a relatively underused, but often cited, data set from the 1980s. Using a cross-national, regression analysis, this paper finds that the best predictors a country's level of corruption or bureaucratic inefficiency are these: majority state ownership of significant economic sectors, levels of GDP per capita, levels of government spending, and levels of democracy. Other factors, such as common law heritage, percent of population that is Protestant, federalism, economic freedoms, or mineral/ oil exporting, were not consistent, significant predictors of either bureaucratic inefficiency or corruption. We also argue that Tobit may be the best estimation procedure for these data.     

Geographic Opportunity and Neomalthusian Willingness: Boundaries,Shared Rivers,and Conflict

International conflict has been analyzed extensively through the framework of opportunity and willingness. Opportunity has mainly been operationalized as physical proximity. Willingness has been measured in a number of ways, and remains a somewhat more elusive concept. Several scholars have called for boundary length to represent opportunity. Heeding such calls, Harvey Starr has used GIS methods to generate boundary length for 1993 and has found it to be associated with increased propensity to conflict. A number of his measures of willingness were not. Using a new and much more extensive dataset on boundary length for the entire Correlates of War period, this article finds very different results. We study the relationship with shared rivers and water scarcity as measures of neomalthusian factors in willingness over a 110-year period. The results indicate that the neomalthusian factors are significant although not dramatic in their effects. Boundary length, while associated with conflict in a bivariate analysis, fades into insignificance when the neomalthusian willingness measures are introduced.     

The Political Economy of Developing Country Antidumping Investigations against China

This article draws on industry-level data to analyze the political economy of the use of the antidumping statute by 10 less developed countries (LDCs) against China. Test results suggest that Chinese import competition is an important factor explaining the pattern of LDC antidumping initiation against China. Macroeconomic factors such as gross domestic product growth rate also play some role in influencing the pattern of LDC antidumping determination against China. Importantly, statistical analyses did not yield any evidence suggesting that China's membership in the World Trade Organization has disciplined developing countries' use of the antidumping policy. The paper conjectures that China's Most-Favored-Nation status under the World Trade Organization, the designation of China as a nonmarket economy in antidumping investigations until 2016, and the retaliatory incentives generated by the growing deflection of Chinese exports to developing country markets may have overwhelmed the institutional effect of the trade organization in shaping the pattern of LDC antidumping decision making toward China.     

Discrimination of Geographical Origin of Asian Garlic Using Isotopic and Chemical Datasets under Stepwise Principal Component Analysis

Isotopic compositions of δ²H, δ¹⁸O, δ¹³C, and δ¹⁵N and concentrations of 22 trace elements from garlic samples were analyzed and processed with stepwise principal component analysis (PCA) to discriminate garlic's country of origin among Asian regions including South Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, and China. Results indicate that there is no single trace‐element concentration or isotopic composition that can accomplish the study's purpose and the stepwise PCA approach proposed does allow for discrimination between countries on a regional basis. Sequentially, Step‐1 PCA distinguishes garlic's country of origin among Taiwanese, South Korean, and Vietnamese samples; Step‐2 PCA discriminates Chinese garlic from South Korean garlic; and Step‐3 and Step‐4 PCA, Chinese garlic from Vietnamese garlic. In model tests, countries of origin of all audit samples were correctly discriminated by stepwise PCA. Consequently, this study demonstrates that stepwise PCA as applied is a simple and effective approach to discriminating country of origin among Asian garlics.     

住宅价格如何影响城镇居民消费——基于状态空间模型的研究

基于时变参数状态空间模型,利用1999年到2016年的季度数据测算了我国住宅价格对城镇居民消费影响的时变特征。结果表明,我国住宅价格对消费的影响整体上呈现微弱的财富效应,住宅价格的MPC位于0.0543到0.1155之间。2004年之前住宅价格上升对消费的影响波动剧烈,2004年后大致呈现先上升,2013年后开始下降的“倒U”型趋势。这说明近年来房价上升对消费的挤出效应迅速增强。鉴于此,从挤出效应传导机制入手,政府应该谨慎平稳调整房价、增加保障性住房供给,并提高城镇化进行中外来人口收入。     

技术创新模式下的社会资本与网络关系的影响研究

近年来,我国生产性服务业正在以服务经济为主导的产业结构中快速迈进,诸多生产性服务中间投入要素也正向制造业融入,二者已进入互动发展阶段。文章立足于社会资本和社会网络关系理论,深入研究了生产性服务业与制造业在不同技术创新互动阶段下,社会资本决定的网络主体强弱关系对企业选择技术创新模式的行为影响,并结合中国塑料城塑料研究院有限公司近年来的技术创新进行了案例分析。由此获得的结论是：制造业是服务业发展的前提和基础,生产性服务业是关联制造业体系的重要补充,服务业体系的发展必然依托于制造业强有力的技术创新;互动发展中的网络主体强弱关系与技术创新模式存在一定相关性,弱关系促进探索式创新,强关系促进利用式创新;不同互动阶段,技术创新也存在不同特征,并具有协同演化趋势。