What Really Happened in New Orleans? Estimating the Threat of Violence During the Hurricane Katrina Disaster∗

Although research indicates that initial media reports greatly exaggerated the severity of violent crime in post‐Katrina New Orleans, it is not yet clear whether violence in general was a problem for storm victims. In this study, data from a unique survey of storm victims are used to estimate the overall threat of violence faced by those who were hardest hit by the storm and who lived through the disaster in New Orleans. The findings suggest that, while the threat of violent victimization was very real for some respondents, it did not dominate the experience of these storm victims. These findings are discussed in terms of their implications for the social construction of law and order, the persistence of disaster myths, negative stereotyping of the urban poor, and crime control issues in the context of disaster management and planning.     

共建21世纪海上丝绸之路——走出东亚格局中的二元困境

传统东亚格局具有明显的一元化特点,无论是经济贸易还是政治安全都高度依赖美国。伴随中国经济的快速崛起,东亚经济体对美国的经济贸易依赖逐步被中国所取代,从而形成当前东亚地区格局中的二元困境,即政治安全依赖美国,而经济贸易依赖中国。同时20世纪90年代末金融危机后逐步形成的东亚传统的合作模式也遭遇多层面挑战。中国新一届政府提出的建设21世纪海上丝绸之路的战略构想,基础扎实、背景厚重、举措有力、开放度高、统领力强,在区域合作架构上实现了一系列重大突破,也为走出东亚格局中的二元困境开启了可行路径。中国是构建21世纪海上丝绸之路的发起者,东盟是21世纪海上丝绸之路的重点地区,通过共建21世纪海上丝绸之路,中国与东盟关系将发展到全新阶段,提升至更高水平。     

新媒体视角下社会管理创新探讨

新媒体时代的到来,改变了信息传播的方式,改变了人们的生活、生产方式,给社会管理创新带来了机遇和挑战.新媒体视角下,如何推进社会管理创新,是当前各级政府面临的重大课题.社会管理者应树立现代媒体意识,运用新媒体技术,预防和减少社会矛盾,改进社会管理方式,以实现社会治理的科学化.     

Area Differences and Time Trends in Crime Reporting: Comparing New York with Other Metropolitan Areas

Police measures of crime are shaped by victims’ decisions to notify the police. To obtain a better understanding of US crime trends, this study uses the National Crime Victimization Survey to examine geographic differences and temporal trends in crime reporting in New York and other metropolitan areas for the period 1979-2004. We find that net of crime characteristics and survey methodology, the New York metropolitan area showed fewer increases in crime reporting than did other metropolitan areas. These divergent trends suggest that the real differences in the drop of nonlethal violence between New York and other areas may have been smaller than those indicated by police-based crime statistics. We also find that from the early 1990s to 2004, New York showed a sharp decrease in the likelihood of victims perceiving that “police wouldn’t help.” This trend suggests that police reforms in New York City have not resulted in more victims using police-related reasons to explain their nonreporting behavior. Instead, researchers need to develop a broader theoretical framework (not an exclusive focus on police actions) to understand how police- and nonpolice-related factors may explain the geographic variation in the trends of reporting observed in this study.     

Introduction: Meritocracy in Perspective. The Rise of the Meritocracy 60 Years On

Sixty years after its publication, Michael Young’s The Rise of the Meritocracy remains one of the most important texts for understanding the changing intellectual politics of postwar Britain. Young’s fictional vision of a meritocratic society explores the consequences of a society where each citizen is judged according to the formula ‘I.Q. + Effort = Merit’. The successful meritocrats hoard ever-greater rewards for themselves, crystallising into a rigid and repressive elite who rule over an increasingly powerless and depressed underclass. While the concept has evolved and adapted, the language of meritocracy is one of the great survivors of postwar British politics. In an age characterised by the rise of populist leaders and movements, as well as a backlash against educated ‘liberal elites’, revisiting, reinterpreting and re-evaluating Young’s influential satire and the central place the concept of meritocracy occupies in the history of postwar Britain has never been more important.     

居家养老服务供给对老年人养老满意度影响研究——基于8省市调查数据的分析

党的十八大以来,以习近平同志为核心的党中央高度重视老龄化和老年人生活,养老工作养老政策体系日益完备,居家养老服务体系初步建立。利用2019年"中国老龄化和养老工作调查"数据,从服务供给角度分析居家养老服务建设对老年人满意度的影响,居家养老服务总体上提高了我国老年人满意度水平,对环境满意度影响高于生活满意度;呈现较强增量效应,即服务项目数量越多,老年满意度越高;呈现异质性效应,健康护理类服务影响最大,精神文化类和权益保障类影响较大,生活辅助类没有显著正向影响。根据我国现阶段老年人年龄结构特征,养老服务要重视注重由"扶弱型"向"普及型"、从"补充型"向"提高型"转变,鼓励多元主体供给,更好满足老年人多层次需求,提高老年人多方面满意度。     

我国植物新品种行政执法制度的缺陷与完善

我国植物新品种行政执法制度中,存在行政裁决和行政处罚糅杂不清、假种子行政处罚代替品种权行政处罚的现象,影响品种权行政执法功能的发挥。从制度发展的总体走向来看,品种权行政裁决的功能在逐步弱化,而行政处罚日益成为执法重心。理清行政裁决和行政处罚的关系,强化品种权行政处罚制度,明确行政权介入的公共利益门槛,着重打击假冒、套牌等严重损害种业创新和市场秩序的行为,能使行政执法在种业知识产权保护上发挥更大的作用。     

“一带一路”对中国外交新理念的实践意义

为有效化解美国旨在遏制中国的"亚太再平衡"战略,在哲学层面,习近平主席提出以"和谐、和睦与和平"为核心内容的外交新理念;在战略层面,提出实现"亚太梦"与推进亚太自贸区建设的长远目标;在政策实践层面,提出"一带一路"建设的宏伟构想。"一带一路"建设的实施可以使多元化、多样化的各个国家和地区相互交织在一起,相互依存,实现利益共享,扩大共同安全,推进合作安全,促进发展安全,增进可持续安全。     

On Secularization Evolution of the Image of Kumarajiva

The paper analyzes and compares the text motif, cultural background and influence of the monk biography, Confucian history, modern and post-modern literature about Kumarajiva to reveal how the image of Kumarajiva went as a cultural symbol from Buddhism into the Chinese secular culture, modern culture and post-modern culture.     

新时代视域下马克思主义中国化基本经验的多维审思

新时代系统总结和多维审思马克思主义中国化的基本经验,有利于科学把握马克思主义中国化的基本规律及发展趋势,为新时代中国特色社会主义的发展提供动力支持.这些基本经验启示主要概括为:科学回答"什么是马克思主义、怎样对待马克思主义"是马克思主义中国化的逻辑起点;准确把握中国国情,认清中国特色社会主义发展的历史方位是马克思主义中国化的现实基础;建构理论创新与实践创新互动的有效机制,找准马克思主义与中国实际相结合的切入点是马克思主义中国化的科学路径;坚持以人民为中心的发展思想,着眼人民群众的美好生活需要是马克思主义中国化的价值旨归.