The Electoral Cycle and Multi-Level Voting in Germany

The aim of this contribution is to analyse whether Land elections may (have) become uncoupled from the federal electoral process, and, if they have, to explore the implications for party competition in Germany. Initially, an overview is presented of the relevant theoretical models that can help unpack the relationship between different electoral arenas. Secondly, how these ideas have been applied to national and sub-national electoral competition in Germany is outlined, before an examination of the 'fit' of the data in both the pre- and post-unification periods. We conclude with reflections on two key features that have regularly surfaced in Gordon Smith's writings: party system change and political stability.     

"研讨式"教学方式初探——以我院"一国两制与台湾问题"教学为例

"研讨式"教学是一种以解决问题为中心的现代教学方式.相对于传统的"讲授式","研讨式"更多的注重了师生的互动,能更好的调动学员的思考和学习的积极性.以在贵州省社会主义学院开展的一次"一国两制与台湾问题"研讨课为例,探讨"研讨式"这种新型教学方式的授课心得.     

论弗朗西斯科·圭恰迪尼的政治思想

弗朗西斯科.圭恰迪尼(Francesco Guicciardini,1483-1540)是意大利文艺复兴时期最伟大的历史学家和政治思想家之一。对于与圭恰迪尼同时代的马基雅维里,西方学界的研究成果可谓硕果累累,国内学界对马基雅维里的研究也取得了丰富的成果,各类论文专著相继面世。然而与这种状况相比,对圭恰迪尼的研究则显得较为薄弱。然而随着共和主义思想的复兴,圭恰迪尼对于研究当代共和主义的思想来源的重要性已经得到重视。除此之外,圭恰迪尼的分权制衡思想,政治现实主义思想以及诸如国家理性这样的重要政治词汇的提出,对后世政治思想的演进也有很大的启迪性。     

From voter ID to party ID: How political parties affect perceptions of election fraud in the U.S.

This paper uses a survey experiment to assess what individuals understand about election fraud and under what circumstances they see it as a problem. I argue that political parties are central to answering both these questions. Results from the 2011 CCES survey suggest respondents are able to differentiate between the relative incentives of Democrats and Republicans where fraud tactics are concerned, but whether voters see these tactics as problematic is heavily influenced by partisan bias. The results show little support for the notion that partisan ideology drives fraud assessments, and suggest support for the idea that individual concerns for fraud are shaped a desire for their preferred candidate to win. These results offer insights that might be applied more broadly to questions of perceptions of electoral integrity and procedural fairness in democracies.     

Age,period and cohort analysis in a comparative context: Political generations and political participation repertoires in Western Europe

This paper presents a method for studying age-period-cohort effects in a comparative context where repeated cross-sectional data are available covering a suitably long period of time. The method consists in the application of multi-level models with country as the higher level of analysis and random coefficients to model variables which vary at the country-level. Additionally, the application of generalized additive models (GAMs) and generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs) provides robust empirical tests of cohort categorizations applied in this and previous studies to estimate otherwise collinear effects. To illustrate the method, I derive and test the theory that generations will be differentiated in their patterns of participation based on the ascendancy of certain repertoires in the era of their political socialization.     

The link between social attitudes and voting propensities: Attitude-vote consistency among adolescents in Belgium

Research on the political development of adolescents is mainly focused on political engagement and attitudes. The more complex relationship between attitudes and voting behavior is less studied among citizens under the legal voting age. We investigate whether there is a link between social attitudes and voting propensities among Flemish adolescents, using data from the Parent–Child Socialization Study 2012. We observe attitude-vote consistency for three Flemish parties with a clear-cut ideological profile – the Green, radical rightist and Flemish Nationalist party. Findings show that adolescents' attitude-vote consistency is reinforced by their level of political sophistication. The correspondence between social attitudes and vote choice, however, is not impressive and significantly lower than among experienced adults, leaving room for other influential factors.     

"十二五"期间上海深化国资国企改革的对策研究

就目前而言,上海国资国企改革和发展的总体情况可以概括为:监管工作努力,国企发展有成效;问题是系统性的,根源在于体制机制.上海国资国企"十二五"改革发展总要求是,充分汲取央企和外地国企的典型经验,通过体制机制的根本性转换来带动国企的跨越式发展;通过减持及改制退出等综合性举措,既为非公经济尤其是民营经济投入创造空间,又为及时补充养老基金、展现国企社会责任要求及公有制实现形式发挥特有价值.     

文化与民族

改革开放以来，在冷战结束后形成的经济一体、政治多极、文化多元这一世界格局的国际背景下，中西文化交流日趋频繁、密切。“文化”一词以一种新的姿态在中国大地兴起，备受关注，很快形成了一股具有普时性及普世性的热潮，对社会的变化和发展起着越来越大的重要作用，即便对于长期处于边远封闭半封闭的民族及民族地区，也无一例外地有着广泛而深刻的影响。文化与民族的关系密不可分，文化与民族的走势如何？亟需引起高度的重视与度量。