中国—东盟区域及次区域合作研讨会报告

2009年10月1-2日，由新加坡南洋理工大学国际关系学院（RSIS）主办、中国-东盟投资合作基金赞助的中国一东盟区域及次区域合作研讨会在新加坡举行。会议就中国-东盟区域及次区域合作进行了广泛讨论，为进一步发展中国-东盟区域及次区域合作提出了不少有益的建议。本文系此次会议的综述。     

香港区议会的功能发展

回归后的香港区议会延续了港英政府时期的功能,但也有一定的发展:特区政府取消市政局、区域市政局,提升了区议会的职能;提高民选议员与委任议员的比例,强化了区议会的代表性;理顺区议会与区管会的关系,扩大了区议会在区域行政计划和地区管理方面的职权。为了推进高度自治新局面,本文主张区议会在发挥咨询和区域事务管理功能的同时,还应该加强反映民意、参与特区管治的功能,为特区政制发展提供合适的后备人才。     

东盟区域经济合作的投资效应研究

在2002年东盟自由贸易区建成之际,学术界用各种指标深入分析了其贸易效应。但东盟发展的目标却是要成为一个具有竞争力的投资区。因而要更好地理解和评价东盟区域经济合作,必须对其直接投资效果也进行分析。本文通过回顾20世纪90年代以来东盟吸收FDI的变化,考察了东盟区域经济合作的直接投资效应,并重点分析了其投资效应不显著的原因在于其对东盟综合区位优势的改善不明显,并没有有效地提高东盟区域整体竞争力。     

区域公共管理制度创新困境的内在机理探究——基于新制度经济学视角的考量

本文以新制度经济学的路径依赖理论和博弈论作为分析框架,对政府治理形态嬗变过程中存在的路径依赖现象和地方政府不合作博弈现象进行深入的学理分析,进而提出打破恶性路径依赖和不合作博弈困境的引导性对策。     

民族区域自治法在西部大开发中的意义

民族区域自治制度是中国共产党运用马克思列宁主义解决我国民族问题的基本政策,是国家的一项基本政治制度,进一步坚持和完善民族区域自治是实施西部大开发的政治基础和法律保证.     

Transaction costs in electoral coordination: How turnout shapes changes in the number of parties*

This article examines the forces shaping changes in the number of parties between consecutive elections. We argue that the transaction costs in electoral coordination depend on the turnout level in the previous election. The greater the number of peripheral voters entering the electorate, the less likely a substantial change in the distribution of partisan support in the subsequent election. The argument is tested using data for 313 parliamentary elections in 63 countries from 1990 to 2011, and two cases studies of countries using compulsory voting (the Netherlands and Australia).     

Effect of China’s rise on East Asian economic integration

This article discusses the effect of China’s economic rise on East Asian economic integration and concludes that the emergence of China as an increasingly important economic power has made a great contribution to Asian economic integration mainly through four channels: being a main importer and FDI destination country for most Asian countries under the processing export pattern; the renminbi’s more active image in the regional currency cooperation and its potential role as one of the core regional currencies in the future; playing a more important role in the regional political affairs and having an increasing potential to be part of the political core power (together with Japan); the demonstration and stimulative effects made by the motion of the FTA between China and ASEAN.

Local causes,regional co-operation and global financing for environmental problems: the case of Southeast Asian Haze pollution

Lack of action on cross-border environmental problems in developing countries is often ascribed to gaps in local capacity and resources, failure of regional cooperation and lack of financial support from rich countries. Using the case of the Southeast Asian Haze pollution from forest and peat fires in Indonesia, we explore the challenges posed by environmental problems whose causes are closely linked to local development and livelihood strategies, and whose impacts are local, regional (haze) as well as global (carbon emissions). We assess whether there are real opportunities to implement effectively the recent Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution. To address the deep determinants behind haze pollution, we propose signatories to the Agreement refocus their efforts to controlling peat fires rather than to strive for a zero-burning regime. We also recommend a new approach to financing sustainable development based on rules and incentives, with a regional pool of funds, contributed by rich countries through the Global Environment Facility and countries in Southeast Asia.

东南亚地区安全研究:方法与观点

对东南亚地区安全研究的单变量分析,就像一个放大镜,其结论固然可能有失偏颇,但却可以让我们明了每一个变量在维护东南亚地区安全中的具体作用。而现有的多变量分析尝试,固然可以给我们一种整体感,却也让我们迷失,无法把握各自变量的具体作用。也许以动态市场理论为基础的需求—供给模式可以作为研究东南亚地区安全的另一种多变量分析尝试。     

基于地区形势认识模式，东北亚地区合作应对核灾难

具有地缘政治学上特殊关系的韩中日三国，在核安全及应对核灾难时，不该仅仅从本国利益出发，而应该从区域公共财产的层面考虑问题。福岛核辐射事件呼吁三国加强区域合作的紧急需要。应对核灾难的东北亚地区合作，不是仅从简单的多变合作关系框架出发，而是为了保证作为地区公共财产安全的核安全，作为地区形势认识模式，提出了系统而具体的核灾难应对模式，提出了将制度性框架和具体合作方案进行系统联结的理论模式。基于Endsely的地区形势认识模式，地区形势认识模式由认识-理解-预测这三个阶段组成。在实践层面，地区形势认识模式可以被应用为建设系统而具体的东北亚应对核灾难的合作机制。为了构筑基于地区形势认识的东北亚合作体系，首先要在保证三国合作连续性的政治意志，其实要设定围绕地区合作方向性的竞争结构及与其他地区的关系，最后，为确保三国合作的有效性，有必要设立更加具体而有约束力的制度措施。