关于开创中俄经贸合作新局面的思考

《中俄睦邻友好合作条约》的签订,为两国经贸关系的发展提供了法律保障。我国应当抓住这一有利时机,争取尽快打开与俄罗斯进行经贸合作的新局面。为此必须在各个领域全面推进的前提下采取突破性对策:扩大对俄罗斯的农副产品出口、农业劳务输出及加强农业技术设备和食品、饲料工业领域的合作;实现大型骨干企业的横向联合及加强中小企业的直接对接合作;共同开发油气资源及加强能源动力合作;联合研制高新技术项目并使其成果产业化;改革对俄罗斯出口商品结构的同时实行"大经贸战略",建立中俄自由贸易区;实现中俄经贸合作的战略升级。     

Minority Religions and Social Justice in Russian Courts: An Analysis of Recent Cases

This paper presents a number of important recent cases from Russia involving new and minority faiths. The cases are examined to see how these unpopular groups are dealt within the context of a rapidly changing Russia. Conclusions are drawn about how the legal system in Russia operates concerning minority faiths, using the sociological variables discussed in this issue's introduction.     

Demonizing the enemy: the influence of Russian state-sponsored media on American audiences

ABSTRACT

There is growing anxiety about the influence of international propaganda on public opinion. Under what conditions can countries shift foreign public opinion against an adversary? Does making people aware that news is coming from a foreign source mitigate its influence? I examine these questions in the context of Russian propaganda in the United States. I subject subgroups of Americans to an article from Russia Today (RT), a Russian international television network, criticizing the Ukrainian government. I vary whether audiences are aware of the message source, and/or the intentions, of the Russian-funded network. I show that exposure to information about Ukrainian human rights violations lowers Americans’ evaluations of Ukraine irrespective of source awareness – indicating that making people more aware of foreign propaganda does not attenuate its influence. The findings have important implications for understanding the micro-level effects of international propaganda and the effectiveness of counter-propaganda strategies.     

Elite recruitment and state-society relations in technocratic authoritarian regimes: The Russian case

This article argues that Russia has a peculiar form of authoritarianism that exhibits pronounced technocratic features. The analysis places in a comparative frame the bases of regime legitimacy and the paths to political, administrative, and economic power in Russia. By locating the Russian state in a matrix that considers the ideology of governance on one axis and the backgrounds of elites on the other, the article highlights areas of overlap and separation between state–society relations in Russia and other regimes in the developed and developing world. It also illustrates the ways in which technocratic elites in Russia differ from their counterparts in other parts of the world.     

When the center can hold: The primacy of politics in shaping Russian democracy

Violations of rights, a weak Duma, political parties dominated by bureaucrats, and corrupt privatization are ordinarily taken as signs or even causes of the failure of democracy in Russia or at best as normal traits of electoral politics in a middle-income state. Yet all of these are natural consequences of introducing democracy in a country with the Russian electorate’s distinctive recent experience of a loss of a third of the state’s territory and half its population. In such a democracy only a centrist, not a liberal, strategy can block a return to authoritarianism, and such a strategy in Russia will subordinate rights to the task of privatization that a Duma weakened by ideological, demographic and geographic impediments to party development cannot conduct. Consequently what are taken as signs or causes of democratic failure in Russia are instead necessary effects of introducing democracy in Russia’s special circumstances.     

俄罗斯经济增长因素实证分析

俄罗斯建国十多年以来,纵观其各年GDP增长,1995年经济开始有了起色,虽然1997、1998年受到金融危机的影响GDP有所下降,但是危机过后到现在,一直保持增长趋势。经验认为,俄罗斯经济增长与其能源出口、制度改革、居民消费、汇率贬值和稳定的政治局势有很大关系,通过建立多元回归模型,对影响俄罗斯经济增长的主要因素进行实证分析,来验证学术界存在的观点,并根据结论提出保持经济稳定性增长的对策。     

国际油价走势对俄罗斯产业结构的影响分析

近年来,国际原油价格不断攀升,给俄罗斯带来了巨额财富,从而保证了俄罗斯经济连续多年的快速增长。但是,高油价在给俄罗斯带来好处的同时,也对俄罗斯经济未来发展带来了潜在的不利影响:抑制了本国产业结构的调整,影响了国家经济安全和可持续发展。从国际石油价格走势来看,油价高位将会持续下去。因此,俄罗斯产业结构的调整在短期内将难以得到根本解决。     

中国纺织企业在俄罗斯跨国经营的探讨

自改革开放以来,纺织品一直是中国出口产品的主要类别,加入世贸组织后,我国纺织品出口持续高速增长。据海关统计,2004年我国对全球出口的纺织品服装已达951亿美元,约占全年出口总额的16%,占全球纺织品贸易总额的1/4。由于受到新一轮贸易保护主义的影响,最近一段时间,先是美国对中国棉制针织衬衫等七种纺织品设限,后是欧盟无视中国一再采取的加征关税等措施,对中国T恤和麻纱采取设限措施。在这种示范效应的带动下,目前已有54个国家的98个行业组织签署了《伊斯坦布尔宣言》,对中国纺织品出口设置障碍。在这种情况下,中国纺织企业应认真思考和寻找更多的出路和市场。     

借俄罗斯经济复苏契机振兴东北老工业基地

近年来,俄罗斯经济持续增长,呈现出明显的经济复苏的新气象,过度依赖自然资源的经济增长模式正在改变,吸引外资力度在不断增大,这一切对东北老工业基地的振兴产生巨大的影响。尤其是俄东部大开发和大型基础设施的建设,更是直接给东北振兴带来了新的机遇。东北地区应借助这一有利时机,发挥自身优势,确定“桥头堡”战略,把东北建设成为对俄产业链条的核心、贸易基地、经贸活动的咨询中介中心,推动东北老工业基地的振兴。     

Nomads under arrest: The nation-building and nation-destroying of Kalmyk nomads in Russia

Nomads are positioned outside of the modern conception of nations, which is based on a traditional or modern hierarchical model (Kuzio, 2001) which tends to “dehistoricize and essentialize tradition” (Chatterjee, 2010: 169). Using an analysis of the narrative construction of nomadic Kalmyk nationhood, particularly through historiography and culture, this article demonstrates that in spite of nation-destroying efforts from the Tsarist Empire and the Soviet Union, the Kalmyk nation has been flexible with reinventing cultural strategies in charting the nomadic national imaginary from Chinggis Khan to the Dalai Lama. It argues that nomadic nationhood contains a deeply imaginary response to nomads’ cultural and intellectual milieu which provided a way of freeing itself from Tsarist and Soviet modular narratives of national imagination, demonstrating how nomadic nationhood exists as a non-modular form of nationhood.