新普京时代的俄欧关系走势分析

不出大的意外,未来10年普京都将主政俄罗斯。这也是俄罗斯重新崛起的关键时期。对于俄罗斯而言,无论是现代化战略的实施,还是世界大国地位和影响力的重塑,俄欧战略伙伴关系都至关重要。显然,对于一向重视俄欧关系的普京而言,欧洲仍将是俄罗斯外交的优先方向。但考虑到一系列结构性矛盾和分歧的存在,俄欧关系仍难以迈出实质性步伐。     

俄加入世贸组织过渡期黑龙江省对俄经贸合作对策

俄罗斯于2012年8月正式成为世贸组织成员国。加入WTO后,俄必须遵守WTO规则要求,投资环境进一步趋好,市场准入扩大,将为黑龙江省推进对俄经贸合作提供难得发展机遇。但这并不意味着对俄合作风险已完全消除,黑龙江省对俄合作仍将面临诸多挑战,在俄加入WTO过渡期,应主动适应新形势,推动对俄经贸合作实现又好又快发展。     

黑龙江省对俄林业经贸合作战略升级研究

对俄林业经贸合作是黑龙江省可以先行的和最有发展潜力的合作领域。未来黑龙江省对俄林业经贸合作将呈现良好的发展态势,实行跨国经营、加强两国地区间和企业间合作,采取灵活多样的形式与策略等,都是保障黑龙江省对俄林业经贸合作真正富有成效的可行途径。     

Excavating Concealed Tradeoffs: How Russians Watch the News

Citizens in democracies are expected to make better decisions if they understand policy tradeoffs. However, politicians rarely have incentives to communicate them; citizens are uncomfortable choosing among valued outcomes; and devising a common metric is difficult. It is not surprising that in the United States the environment provides relatively little cuing or priming of tradeoffs in television news. Russian citizens, on the other hand, face a media environment in which tradeoff cuing is intentionally suppressed by owners' agendas, yet viewers detect concealed tradeoffs even in the absence of tradeoff priming and viewpoint diversity. Analysis of discourse among ordinary Russians in 16 focus groups convened in four cities, differentiated by political reform and media market environments, showed that when watching news in which tradeoffs are thoroughly concealed, viewers challenge stories by offering a broad spectrum of uncued tradeoffs. Tradeoffs come from diverse policy domains and represent a range of cognitive strategies, some of which are considerably more abstract than others and link elements of their observations and assumptions (together with what they can extract from the stories) into complex reasoning outcomes.     

Economic cooperation in Northeast Asia: The proposed Tumen River scheme

Abstract

This paper examines a relatively unexplored aspect of the Russo-Japanese territorial dispute: the involvement of subnational actors. It focuses in particular on the sustained campaign of domestic lobbying and paradiplomacy by elites from the Far East region of Sakhalin aimed at preventing the Russian central government from transferring the South Kuril Islands/Northern Territories to Japan during the 1990s. It explores the various responses to the ‘Sakhalin factor’ from federal authorities in Russia, as well as private and public bodies in Japan, highlighting the subsequent localization and pluralization of diplomatic channels. The paper also considers why the ‘Sakhalin factor’ became so prominent, pointing to a synergy of factors that include the high-profile anti-concessionary campaigns of the Sakhalin political elite, the fallout from Russia's troubled attempts at state building and a possible convergence of interests between Boris Yeltsin and regional authorities. The paper concludes with an analysis of how Vladimir Putin's federal reforms, launched in 2000, have diminished Sakhalin's authority over the South Kuril Islands.     

乌申斯基教育民族性思想初探

在乌申斯基丰富的教育宝库中 ,教育的民族性思想是其教育理论的指导思想之一 ,并体现在他的教育理论及实践中。本文主要论证乌申斯基教育的民族性思想。     

进一步开拓俄罗斯建筑市场时不我待

随着经济稳定增长,俄罗斯建筑市场迅速发展,对建筑材料和建筑工程承包的需求量持续扩大,从而为我国建筑企业和建材生产企业进入俄罗斯建筑市场提供了前提条件。与此同时,俄罗斯的投资环境不断改善,为我国企业对俄开展建筑领域的合作提供了可操作性。可以预料,我国建筑企业在俄罗斯建筑市场上将大有作为。     

俄罗斯农业发展前景浅析

俄罗斯农业在经历了近十年的严重危机之后已开始走上恢复和振兴的轨道。俄拥有丰富的农业资源和强大的农业科研力量,农业机械化程度高。只要政策对头,措施得当,俄农业将会保持相对稳定的增长趋势。     

Carbon Flows between the EU and Eastern Europe: Baselines, Scenarios and Policy Options

We develop baseline data and an analytical framework for understanding the role that flows of carbon between the Former Soviet Union/Commonwealth of Independent States (FSU/CIS) and the European Union (EU) may have in enabling the EU to meet major reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the medium-term future. The paper sets out an analysis of contemporary flows of carbon between the EU, EU Candidate Countries and the FSU/CIS, and outlines two scenarios for investigating how flows may develop in the future under different assumptions about climate and energy policy. The 'trading' scenario assumes unconstrained trade in tangible (mainly gas) and intangible (tradable emissions permits) flows of carbon from the FSU/CIS to the EU. The 'autonomy' scenario assumes limits to carbon flows and a subsequent requirement for high levels of domestic de-carbonisation in the EU (e.g. energy efficiency and indigenous energy sources). We conclude that neither scenario is feasible or desirable, but that even a combined approach, which sees trade complemented by tough domestic action, still requires far greater efforts than are currently planned.     

俄罗斯燃料能源的出口

近年来俄罗斯燃料能源出口的特点是出口量大且呈增长趋势;在俄罗斯对外贸易出口总额中占有较大比重;出口量占生产量的比重较大;主要出口到欧洲国家,对独联体国家出口逐渐减少.俄罗斯燃料能源出口发展前景和趋势是今后仍将大量出口燃料能源;将减少对欧洲国家出口,增加对东北亚国家的出口;在大量出口燃料能源的同时,也将扩大某些燃料能源的进口.