陕西重点示范镇建设与发展的机遇、定位与模式

陕西省重点示范镇建设实施两年以来，其示范引领作用已逐步显现。从重点示范镇已产生的经济社会效应看，它们日益发挥出农民分享发展成果的平台、村落整合并点的重要载体、农村工商贸易的集散中心、农村公共产品的供给中心、统筹城乡发展的重要基础等五个方面的功能。根据示范镇资源禀赋、优势产业和发展方式等情况，可将其发展模式划分为城市辐射型、旅游开发型、工业催生型、市场拉动型和农业发展型五种类型。继续推进陕西重点示范镇建设，需要在认清自身发展条件和特点的基础上，发挥比较优势，打造特色产业，走出适合自身的发展之路。     

性骚扰是性别歧视吗:一个法理的追问

在美国的法律制度框架下,职场性骚扰属于1964年《民权法案》第七章所禁止的性别歧视行为。从规范法学的角度看,法院一开始并不接受性别歧视学说,后来因为逐步认定了性骚扰必然会涉及对受害人性别的选择这一事实,所以认为性骚扰属于性别歧视范畴。从法理学的角度,以麦金农等为代表的女性主义法学家建构了性与性别霸权的关系。同时,学者们认为司法上性骚扰的认定出现了"性欲主导模式",既存在规制过窄的问题,对无关乎"性"的性别骚扰过于忽视;又有规制过度的问题,反性骚扰话语与科层制反"性"管理话语相结合,对职场进行了过度管制。因此,有一种学说希望把性骚扰建构为维持性别刻板的工具。对于性骚扰到底错在哪里的追问,可以让我们反思侵权法模式与反歧视模式法的利弊得失。     

Comment on the Marshall-Hoare-Henssge model for estimating the time since death

Timewise temperature variations in objects that are undergoing unsteady heating or cooling is a commonly encountered problem in the thermal sciences. One particular area of application is the cooling of a body post-death and the use of body temperatures to estimate the time of death. Here, a new approach based on the theory of transient heat transfer is formulated to allow efficient calculation of unsteady conduction problems. The theoretically derived unsteady temperature models are compared with experimentally based correlations (the Marshall-Hoare-Henssge model). The two approaches are found to agree very well. With this new theoretically based approach, timewise temperature variation can be calculated for both large and small Biot number transient problems.     

国际碳交易机制下中国低碳投资风险探讨

跨国低碳投资已经形成了相当的规模,随着世界经济向低碳经济转变,其潜力将不可限量,我国低碳投资也方兴未艾。本文在总结和介绍目前国际碳交易市场机制下低碳投资的趋势与投资模式的基础上,重点分析了我国低碳投资现金流模型与投资风险管理。     

Satisfaction,Alternatives, Investments,and the Microfoundations of Audience Cost Models

In this paper, we suggest that the Investment Model of Commitment, developed in social psychology, offers a solution to an important microfoundational issue in audience cost theory. Audience cost models are useful for thinking about the foreign policy behaviors of democratic and nondemocratic states. However, they often assume that citizens reliably penalize leaders who break their foreign policy promises even though the empirical record suggests this is not always the case. We argue that public commitment to foreign policy assets and relationships is a precondition for the application of audience costs. Using the UN and NATO as case studies, we hypothesize that the commitments people develop to international organizations emerge as a function of (1) their satisfaction with the performance of the organization, (2) the investments in those organizations, and (3) an assessment of the alternatives to these associations. Correlational and experimental tests of the model confirm that the strongest individual-level commitments arise when people are highly satisfied with the performance of specific institutions, believe that much has been invested in support of them, and perceive that the alternatives to particular institutions are poor. Implications for the development of audience cost theory are discussed.     

东北三省旅游业增长绩效差异影响因素的实证分析

在日益激烈的市场竞争和外部宏观经济风险不断增大的背景下,如何提高旅游业的增长绩效,是目前东北旅游业谋求不断发展过程中亟待解决的问题。东北地区旅游资源丰富,森林、草原、湿地、冰雪、工业、农业旅游资源在全国独具特色,生态环境优越,是中国重要的冰雪旅游和避暑度假旅游目的地。运用非参数Malmquist生产率指数分解方法测算和分析东北三省旅游业在1999～2010年期间的技术效率变化和技术进步情况,并结合面板协整模型分析地区财政条件、区位条件、旅游资产规模、旅行社等因素,可从中找出东北旅游业增长效率的切入点。     

试论交际法在成人英语教学中的应用

交际法是一种既培养学习者语言能力又培养其交际能力的教学方法,为我国外语学界所认可并在基础教育外语教学中广泛采用。在成人英语教学中也应该引入交际法。     

才子佳人小说创作模式及其演变

才子佳人小说是在其开山之作《玉娇梨》、《平山冷燕》的创作示范与影响下迅速崛起并流行的;由于书坊主的商业运作,学步者纷纷,遂使起初的创作模式变成了窠臼,引起了接受者的审美疲劳和广泛批评。于是一部分作家为摆脱窠臼,不断翻新出奇,有意涉笔讲史、神怪、世情乃至艳情等内容,以迎合读者日趋变化的阅读口味;发展到后来,终于蜕变而为其它类型的小说了。     

“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations

Many studies report the “wonders of aggregation” and that groups (often) yield better decisions than individuals. Can this “wisdom of crowds”-effect be used to forecast elections? Forecasting models in first-past-the-post systems need to translate vote shares into seat shares by some formula; however, the seat–vote ratio alters from election to election. To circumvent this problem, this paper proposes citizen forecasting, which aggregates citizens’ local expectations to directly forecast constituencies. Using data from the 2010 British Election Study, this paper finds (1) that groups are better forecasters than individuals, (2) that citizen forecasting correctly predicts a hung parliament, and (3) that marginality and group size are important predictors for “getting it right”.     

中国特色社会主义法学教育模式的基本特征

建国六十多年来,具有中国社会主义法学教育特色的世界法学教育的第三种模式已经初步形成。基本标志是:以法学学士、硕士、博士教育为主体,以法学专科教育等为补充的多层次的高等法学教育体系已经成熟;法学的基本教育、特色教育和继续教育有机结合的多元化的法律人才培养模式基本形成;普通高校、科研机构的法律素质教育和专门学校的法律职业教育与全民的普法教育互相衔接的多轨制的法学教育制度初步完善;法学教育和统一司法考试与法律职业密切关联的互动型的教育就业机制逐步建立;教育行政部门的行政管理和司法行政部门的行业指导与法学教育行业协会的自律性管理及法学院校的自我管理四位一体的法学教育管理体制日益协调。