试论突发公共事件管理应对能力

突发公共事件严重威胁公众的生命健康和财产安全,影响经济发展和社会稳定。现代政府必须全面增强应对突发公共事件的能力,当危机爆发时尽量减少危机带来的损失,将危机消灭在萌芽状态。我国政府在长期应对突发公共事件的过程中积累了一些经验,但也存在许多问题和不足,须从预警、决策、社会力量动员等九个方面提高应对突发公共事件的能力。     

工业旅游发展的“达利”模式研究

随着旅游消费的升级,工业旅游、农业旅游、邮轮旅游、高尔夫旅游等旅游新业态不断涌现,产业融合成为旅游产业发展的新趋势。文章在阐述国内外工业旅游研究现状与意义的基础上,以浙江达利丝绸工业旅游区为例,从产业融合的视角,分析了达利工业旅游融合发展的动因与过程,剖析其融合障碍,修正了“达利”模式及其配套措施,提出了模式的适用性与对同类工业旅游发展的启示。     

经管类大学生就业能力培养对策研究——以浙江高校为例

本文通过对浙江省地方高校经管类大学生就业能力的调查研究发现,一方面学生自身缺乏相应的能力,另一方面,学生对就业能力的认知与用人单位实际需求之间尚存在着差异,迫切需要加强对经管类专业大学生就业能力的培养。因此,本文从大学生、高校、企业和政府四个层面提出了相关的对策建议。     

二战后中日结盟观比较研究——以中苏同盟、日美同盟为例

战后中日结盟观存在差异。从结盟功能来看,中国谋求的是生存与安全;日本谋求的是从生存、安全到对外权力的增加、对国际秩序的影响。从结盟对象来看,中国的结盟对象包括强国和相对弱势的国家;日本的结盟对象集中在强国。从同盟地位与同盟管理来看,中国强调地位及管理的平等,而日本对这方面的不平等往往持容忍的态度。从结盟基础来看,中国从以面临共同威胁而产生的共同安全利益以及意识形态划界,到淡化、放弃意识形态划界。日本则从以面临共同威胁而产生的共同安全利益以及意识形态划界,到淡化意识形态,再到一度逐渐强化意识形态划界。从结盟影响来看,中国经历了结盟利于和平到不利于和平的观念转变,日本则以结盟利于和平的观念为主。     

韩国财政预算管理体制考察及启示

财政预算管理体制与政府部门有着千丝万缕的联系,考察分析韩国现行财政预算管理体制应首先从韩国财政机构的构成着手,比较分析中韩两国财政预算在编制、执行、决算等预算环节的异同。这对解决中国目前预算年度与立法机关审议批准时期冲突、预算编制时间短、预算编制机构设置不合理和预算执行进度过慢等问题有借鉴意义。     

“梅普”时期的俄罗斯经济:形势、政策、成就及问题

2012年3月4日,俄罗斯举行总统大选,普京再次当选俄罗斯总统,"梅普组合"这个在俄罗斯特殊历史条件下形成的权力配置形式完成其历史使命。2012年,俄罗斯经济在经历了国际金融危机之后,国民经济又回到2008年的水平。此时,我们对"梅普组合"时期俄罗斯经济发展状况、经济发展政策及战略进行系统地梳理和回顾,在此基础上对俄罗斯经济的发展水平及发展脉络做出客观的判断,进而对该时期经济发展中存在的问题进行深入剖析,并对俄罗斯经济未来发展方向做出预测。     

东北地区农业系统资源利用方式及其效益的历史变迁

历史上东北地区水草丰沛,森林茂密,沼泽遍地。生息繁衍于此的东北先民,或渔猎,或游牧,或农耕。明清以来,尤其是清中期实行招垦政策以来,东北地区的荒田、草地、山林、沼泽,均得到了大面积的农业开发,造成农田系统对草地系统、森林系统、沼泽系统不断包抄与逐渐挤压,深刻影响了东北地区的作物布局与耕地制度。受此影响,东北地区种植业系统功能日益强化,而畜牧业系统、林业系统以及渔猎系统功能呈日渐式微趋势,外来移民的大量涌入以及放垦政策的大力推行难辞其咎。     

Dimensions of Chinese foreign conflict and cooperation: A research note

Key mediation attributes, such as mediating actors, the strategy they choose, and previous mediation experiences, are widely thought to influence the nature of a conflict management outcome. But how and when these features shape outcomes is not a straightforward matter, and a standard analysis of these factors does not lead to their widely anticipated results. Why? We develop a new analytical framework that argues that a dispute's intensity alters the conflict management processes. Furthermore, in order to observe this variation, we also need to expand the traditional, dichotomous notion of conflict management outcomes (success or failure) to include a fuller range of observed results. Using the most recent International Conflict Management data set and our new analytical framework, we analyze the effect on conflict management outcome of mediator (a) identity, (b) strategy and (c) history. We find that directive strategies and international mediators are effective in resolving high intensity conflicts, procedural strategies and regional mediators are effective in resolving low intensity conflicts, and that mediation history always affects resolution. Our results have implications for both the study and practice of international dispute mediation.     

Third-Party Intermediaries and Negotiated Settlements, 1946–2000

Past studies regarding the success and/or failure of conflict management activities have brought about a wide range of results. In this paper we attempt to gain more definitive conclusions about effectiveness by accomplishing two tasks. First, using a basic theoretical framework we identify expectations of efficacy as they relate to differences between states, coalitions, and IGOs. Second, we also examine the utility of different conflict management techniques in an effort to place in greater perspective the effectiveness of mediation, the most utilized technique of third party intermediaries. Using a new dataset on third-party intermediary behavior in militarized disputes from 1946 to 2000, we find that while all conflict managers are useful in assisting belligerents in reaching a negotiated settlement, IGOs are the most effective. Additionally, while mediation is an effective technique to produce settlements, military intermediary actions, such as peacekeeping, are much more useful.