海子之死的证据学谜区（下）

20年来,伴随着海子诗歌的巨大成功和广泛社会影响,海子逝世的原因也引起社会日益广泛的关注和推测。本文提出了关于海子死亡问题的证据学谜区、广义破案和证明。并对关于海子案件的纷繁杂乱的证据材料之筐、证据系统完型谜区、海子死亡原因的可能性空间、死亡安排、证据理论的难题与困境等问题进行了初步探索。     

Association for Methodology and Documentation in Psychiatry Profiles Predict Later Risk for Criminal Behavior and Violent Crimes in Former Inpatients with Affective Disorder*

Abstract: Few studies have investigated criminal and violent behavior in patients with affective disorders. We reviewed the national crime register for records of criminal offenses committed by 1561 patients with affective disorders and studied the predictive value of certain psychopathological symptoms assessed with the Association for Methodology and Documentation in Psychiatry (AMDP) system concerning future criminal behavior. Sixty‐five (4.2%) patients had been convicted in the 7–12 years after discharge (307 cases). Patients with the AMDP syndrome mania had a significantly higher risk for later criminal behavior. The combination with the hostility syndrome further increased the risk. These findings are in line with previous data indicating a higher risk for later criminal behavior in patients with a manic/bipolar disorder compared to depressive disorder. As previously demonstrated in another sample of schizophrenic patients, the AMDP syndromes mania (and hostility) is associated with a higher risk of later criminal behavior.     

NEIGHBORHOOD STRUCTURAL CHARACTERISTICS,INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL ATTITUDES,AND YOUTHS' CRIME REPORTING INTENTIONS*

Although the “stop snitching” phenomenon has brought recent attention to crime reporting, researchers have recognized for a long time the importance of this issue. Early studies focused on individual-level factors related to reporting, but recently, researchers have begun to examine neighborhood-level predictors. Most of these studies, however, omit key individual-level predictors of reporting and provide relatively little insight into the individual-level processes through which neighborhood context might affect reporting. This study uses survey data from a multisite, school-based study to examine whether neighborhood structural characteristics and individual-level attitudes and experiences are related to youths’ intentions to report crime. In addition, we assess whether neighborhood characteristics influence reporting via their effect on individual-level attitudes and experiences. We find that neighborhood poverty has an inverse relationship with crime reporting intentions and that numerous individual-level measures are associated with reporting, including attitudes toward the police, delinquency, and perceptions of the community. Importantly, the effects of neighborhood characteristics are reduced when youths’ attitudes and experiences are included in the model. Taken together, our findings suggest that neighborhood context might affect reporting by shaping the attitudes and experiences of youth.     

我国刑法中“恐怖活动犯罪”的认定

“制造社会恐怖”是恐怖活动犯罪特有的犯罪目的 ,正确理解恐怖活动犯罪的这一犯罪目的的内容 ,以及由这一目的决定的恐怖活动犯罪的罪过结构和客观特征 ,是司法实践中认定恐怖活动犯罪 ,正确适用刑法相关规定的基本前提。     

试论忘却犯的行为性

忘却犯是指负有防止危害结果发生义务的人因为疏忽大意的过失而未尽职责致使该结果发生从而构成的不纯正不作为犯。忘却犯是历来确定行为概念时不得不面临而又最难逾越的障碍。只有将行为定义为“体现了主体的心理事实、能对社会生活产生重大影响的身体动静”方可正确地说明“犯罪是行为”这一命题。     

论恐怖犯罪行为的根源——文明及文化冲突论解析

美国“9.11事件”清楚地向世界表明,恐怖组织及其所从事的恐怖犯罪行为将给世界带来巨大灾难,使人类文明惨遭破坏,给人们心灵留下难以忘怀的伤痛,甚至蒙上了长久的阴影。其实,恐怖犯罪由来已久,只是以前没有引起人们的足够重视罢了。目前,以美国为首的世界反恐怖战争似乎已取得了决定性的胜利,但是,如果不从根本上分析恐怖犯罪的原因,显然难以彻底消灭恐怖组织及其恐怖犯罪活动。作者认为,恐怖组织的出现,以及恐怖犯罪行为的发生,都是不同文明和不同文化冲突的结果。在经济全球化、政治一体化趋势越来越明朗的今天,充分注重各国、各民族、各区域的独立性和独特性;尊重各国和各民族的传统;协调各种文明和文化的冲突,才是治理恐怖犯罪的根本策略。     

A Note on the Use of County-Level UCR Data

County-level crime data have major gaps, and the imputation schemes for filling in the gaps are inadequate and inconsistent. Such data were used in a recent study of guns and crime without considering the errors resulting from imputation. This note describes the errors and how they may have affected this study. Until improved methods of imputing county-level crime data are developed, tested, and implemented, they should not be used, especially in policy studies.     

The collation of forensic DNA case data into a multi-dimensional intelligence database

The primary aim of any DNA Database is to link individuals to unsolved offenses and unsolved offenses to each other via DNA profiling. This aim has been successfully realised during the operation of the New Zealand (NZ) DNA Databank over the past five years. The DNA Intelligence Project (DIP), a collaborative project involving NZ forensic and law enforcement agencies, interrogated the forensic case data held on the NZ DNA databank and collated it into a functional intelligence database. This database has been used to identify significant trends which direct Police and forensic personnel towards the most appropriate use of DNA technology. Intelligence is being provided in areas such as the level of usage of DNA techniques in criminal investigation, the relative success of crime scene samples and the geographical distribution of crimes. The DIP has broadened the dimensions of the information offered through the NZ DNA Databank and has furthered the understanding and investigative capability of both Police and forensic scientists. The outcomes of this research fit soundly with the current policies of 'intelligence led policing', which are being adopted by Police jurisdictions locally and overseas.     

公司社会责任制度的理论基础与路径选择

在经历了＂股东利益最大化理论＂和＂利益相关者理论＂的激烈争论之后,出现了＂改良的利益相关者理论＂。该理论将股东利益、其他利益相关者的利益以及公司价值统合在一个综合的价值评价体系之下,应该成为现代公司社会责任制度实施的理论基础,并指导公司治理实践。公司社会责任的实现不仅需要法律、舆论监督等外部手段的促进,更需要公司治理结构的配合。在＂改良的利益相关者理论＂出现之后,各国公司治理结构受到一定的影响,但并没有脱离原来的制度依赖。本文认为,在公司治理层面,社会责任理念的灌注及实现只能选择局部的功能性调整作为路径。