Small winners and big losers: strategic party behaviour in the 2017 Dutch general election

Abstract

This article analyses party strategies during the campaign for the Dutch general election of March 2017, making use of issue-yield theory. It investigates whether parties strategically emphasise high-yield issues, by juxtaposing the issue opportunities provided by voters with parties’ issue emphasis during the campaign. More specifically, it asks whether parties strategically emphasised issues that were expected to reward them electorally. Analysing voter preferences and party campaign data, it is found that parties and most of their constituencies show high ideological consistency, that parties emphasise mostly positional issues and thus choose a conflict-mobilising strategy, and that most parties emphasise high-yield issues rather than following the general political agenda. Four small parties that won significantly behaved strategically while the social democrats – who severely lost – hardly did. The findings imply that the issue-yield framework can help to explain the election result in the fragmented Dutch multi-party context.     

‘Get Brexit Done’: The New Political Divides of England and Wales at the 2019 Election

This article analyses the successful Conservative election campaign of 2019 and how it took advantage of a fractured political and economic landscape. It reviews the unique circumstances around the 2019 election and the ‘surprising death’ of a no-deal Brexit. We then analyse the divergent political communication strategies in the 2017 and 2019 Conservative campaigns showing how the latter was much more coherent and politically unorthodox. Drawing on socioeconomic, demographic and British Election Study data, we argue that Boris Johnson’s messaging was carefully tailored towards the demands of voters in the ‘red wall’ seats. Conservative success was built around an appeal to voters in these economically depressed ‘geographies of discontent’. But while tremendously successful, the coalition this created is potentially fragile. An unconventional, ‘leftish’ Conservative campaign built a new, diverse bloc of voters. It includes a number of left-wingers expecting change alongside traditional Conservative supporters, and will be hard to keep together given the economic turbulence ahead.     

涉外警务专业方向人才培养方案制定之我见

专业人才培养方案是高等学校实施人才培养工作的纲领性文件,是开展教学工作的基本依据。本科公安涉外警务专业方向人才培养方案的制定,必须在科学教育理念指引下,贯彻改革创新,整体优化的原则,重点在专业人才培养目标和规格的定位、培养模式、课程体系和教学内容的创新、加强实践性教学和学生自主学习等方面有所突破。     

紧急避险制度初探

紧急避险是我国刑法理论上的＂正当化事由＂,其鲜明特点是法益与法益之间的正当冲突。文章通过对紧急避险的理论现状分析,讨论紧急避险的限制条件,得出对正当防卫不能实行紧急避险的结论。     

坚持可持续发展 科学合理配置警力——上海市公安局松江分局优化派出所警力配置的工作探索

当前,基层警力不足问题已成为制约和困扰公安工作的一个主要因素,科学合理地配置警力资源成为了提高警务工作效率、缓解警力不足的重要手段。要强调科学配置警力资源的重要性,从基层派出所警力配置现状和存在问题入手,根据市公安局相关要求,并结合各分局实际,设计一套基本符合实际需求的警力配置方案,同时通过对方案进行研究,发现一些优化警力资源配置的可行性途径,并根据研究结果,对下一步的工作提出设想。     

合同一般法定解除条件探微

违反从给付义务必须达到相对人的合同目的因此而落空的程度才允许解除合同。不可抗力致使不能实现合同目的作为合同解除的条件,尚无废除的必要。不能实现合同目的可被解释为严重影响订立合同所期望的经济利益。在金钱给付作为合同标的场合,付款迟延情况下的解除合同必须从严把握。     

高职院校发展通识教育的创新理念

"通识教育"是我国高等教育改革中的创新理念。本文通过辨析"通识教育"与"文化素质教育"的关系阐述了"通识教育"理念的内涵;同时结合高职教育特点,讨论高职院校发展通识教育的时代意义;建议高职院校从完善通识教育课程体系,提高教师素质,发挥学生主体性和营造校园人文环境等方面实践通识教育。     

评述行政紧急权力的法律控制

紧急状态是任何社会在其发展过程中都不可避免的,因而行政紧急权力的动用在特定情况下也就同样不可避免。但是何为行政紧急权力,为什么要控制行政紧急权力以及如何控制行政紧急权力,这些关乎行政紧急权力有效运行的重大问题,伴随着紧急状态立法成为我国行政法学者热议的话题。学者们对行政紧急权力的基本属性还存在不同的理解,对行政紧急权力法律控制的必要性和控制路径也存在着不同的认识。加强对行政紧急权力在事前、事中、事后的法律控制是根本途径。     

Law Enforcement Lessons Learned from Hurricane Katrina

Major disasters represent infrequent events that often require response organizations to vicariously learn from the experiences of others in order to improve their operations. A primary mechanism for such knowledge diffusion is the different practitioner and empirical journals for the organizational fields that comprise disaster response. A review of the literature for the law enforcement field, however, reveals that little attention is given to how these organizations manage actual disasters. In particular, the presentation of organizational experiences, whether through case studies or other methodologies, is very limited in the practitioner and empirical literature of this field. This represents a considerable problem for improvements of disaster response operations given that law enforcement agencies represent a key component in such efforts. The research presented in this article is an effort to fill this knowledge gap and thereby facilitate organizational learning to improve future law enforcement disaster response activities. The authors traveled to Mississippi and Louisiana after Hurricane Katrina to examine the response efforts of state and local law enforcement agencies to the storm. The findings from this research are reported here in a lessons‐learned format to inform law enforcement disaster response policy.