新加坡与马来西亚关系中的水因素

本文以影响新加坡和马来西亚关系的重要变量之一的淡水资源分配问题为例,为诠释资源的争夺和分配是促使国家之间加强合作或进行对抗和冲突的主要因素之一这一命题提供一个实证分析。在新马关系中,水因素作为影响两国关系的一个联系变量和双方其他争端交织在一起,从而影响着双边关系的发展。     

论协调地方政府间关系

当代我国经济与政治的发展催生了地方政府间关系协调这一新的研究课题。地方政府间关系的核心内容是利益关系,在实践中又具体表现为利益关系的冲突性博弈与合作性博弈。通过协调地方政府间关系,推动地方政府间从冲突性博弈逐步转向合作性博弈,最终实现共同发展,有利于推进我国市场经济的发展。     

二元结构、城市化与财政功用

我国存在明显的二元经济结构,但现有的描述二元经济以及城市化模型中极少考虑诸如土地制度等我国特有的制度及现象。基于我国的现实情况,通过建立数理模型对影响城市化进程的诸多因素进行分析后发现,商品化程度和城乡之间的交易效率差距对加速城市化进程而言有着极其重要的意义。故可以通过提供更优质的教育、医疗等公共物品或者简化税收程序等财政手段来促进城市化的快速进行。     

自杀恐怖袭击研究

自杀恐怖袭击是指受意识形态或宗教原因驱使的、有预谋的暴力行为 ,其恐怖袭击的成功性很大程度上取决于实施者的自我残杀。恐怖分子使用自杀恐怖袭击 ,是基于战术策略、防范难度、恐怖性以及所传递信息的内在性等原因。影响恐怖分子采取自我牺牲行为的动机是多样的 ,包括宗教、政治等多种动机     

Stability and Changes in Problem Behavior During Adolescence: Latent Growth Analysis

The aim of this study was to examine growth trajectories of externalizing and internalizing problems during adolescence. In addition, we also examined factors that might account for individual differences in the level of problem behavior and in the rate of change: Adolescent gender and the quality of the relationships with parents and peers. The sample consisted of 212 adolescents (mean age 13.4 years at the initial assessment) who were assessed at 3 measurement waves with approximately 1-year intervals. The results showed substantial absolute and relative stability in both types of problem behavior, but also significant individual differences in both initial levels of problem behavior and in the rate of change across the 3 measurement occasions. Adolescent gender and the quality of the parent–adolescent relationship predicted the initial level of both externalizing and internalizing problems. The protective effect of the positive quality of the relationship with peers was found for internalizing but not for externalizing problems. No differences appeared between boys and girls in the effect of the quality of interpersonal relations on the level and on the rate of change in problem behavior, suggesting that the etiology of problem behavior might be similar for boys and girls in spite of gender differences in the prevalence of problem behaviors.     

台湾经济开放度与经济增长关系的实证研究

对外贸易和引进外资是战后台湾经济发展的动力和生命线。本文运用协整分析技术 和Granger因果关系检验对台湾经济开放度与经济增长的长期均衡关系作实证检验。结果表明, 台湾经济开放度各项指标与经济增长均存在正向的协整关系;台湾GDP增长是其外资依存度和 实际关税率提高的原因,而外贸依存度的提高促进了台湾GDP的增长;同时,台湾经济增长与 两岸贸易依存度互为因果关系,相互之间的协整关系也最强。因此,改善两岸贸易失衡状况,促 进两岸投资贸易正常化,是台湾经济实现持续稳定增长的主要途径之一。     

群体性事件的多发原因及其处置原则

群体性事件是我国当前治安管理工作中影响较大、危害较强、破坏较为严重的治安事件,具有突发性、群体性、对抗性、反复性、联动性、危害性等特点。究其原因,有心理因素和社会因素,它已成为影响我国政治稳定和社会安定的一个重要因素。因此,妥善处置群体性事件,采取有效对策,已成为公安机关当前一项极为重要的工作。     

Bilateral aid in sub-Saharan Africa: are donor delivery tactics stimulating economic growth and development?

ABSTRACT

The literature assessing the effectiveness of bilateral foreign aid flows to sub-Saharan Africa primarily focus on one aspect of the aid delivery mechanism that is employed by donors, namely that of channeling aid to recipient central governments. These analyses do not take into account alternative donor delivery tactics of circumventing recipient governments with poor institutional quality – delivering aid to non-state (‘bypass’) actors instead. Thus, the objective of this paper is to extend the aid effectiveness literature by disaggregating bilateral aid flows into both government-to-government aid and bypass aid, and assessing their relative effect on economic growth. Utilising data compiled from multiple data sources including the OECD Credit Reporting Services and World Bank datasets, I find that whereas the effect of government-to-government aid on economic growth is conditional on institutional quality, bypass aid is unconditionally effective.     

血痕Gm(2)因子检验及分布

应用抗 Gm(2)血清和抗 D-Gm(2)血清以及 Gm 标准对照血清,选择新鲜 ORh(D)红细胞,用凝集抑制试验,对北京地区269人血清或新鲜血痕进行检验。结果 Gm(2+)分布为29%,Gm(2-)分布为71%。对已确定 Gm(2)型的230份血痕,在室温放置14个月后再次检验,结果与第一次所测血型完全相同。同时对11起案件中的血痕检验了 Gm(2)因子,起到了排除嫌疑人或增加与案件相关联的作用。     

中国的经济发展与制度变迁论纲

本文通过对制度变迁理论的分析,简要阐明了制度变迁理论的一般含义,并通过对中国经济体制改革实践的回顾,论证了制度变迁作为一个重要因素将在经济增长和经济体制的变革中起到重要作用.