基层民警的基本素质缺陷及对策思考

基层民警的基本素质是基层基础工作的重要方面。当前基层民警的基本素质中还存在不少突出问题,影响和制约着公安机关战斗力的提高。基层民警基本素质缺陷表现为:政治思想方面欠缺;业务素质方面欠缺;体能素质方面欠缺;文化、科技素质方面欠缺;心理素质方面欠缺。     

New Approaches to Age Estimation Using Palatal Suture Fusion

Palatal suture fusion has seen little testing and/or application due in part to an inadequately described relationship to formal age ranges. This study presents a modified scoring method that examines fusion on samples of modern documented adult males and compares two Bayesian approaches to age estimation. In the first analysis, American and Portuguese collections were used to derive univariate and multivariate transition analysis (TA) parameters, which combined with an informative prior, estimated age in a sample of modern Americans and Portuguese. For the second analysis, a Bayesian multiple linear regression (BMLR) used indicator statuses as the independent variables with age as the dependent variable. Highest posterior density regions (HPDRs) and highest posterior density intervals (HDI) were calculated for a holdout sample. Final age estimates for the methods were tested for accuracy using cumulative binomial tests at 75% and 90% coverages. The HPDRs from multivariate TA captured age better for younger individuals, but consistently underaged. The cumulative binomial tests on the BMLR results indicated the prediction intervals performed as expected, and we show they are narrower (more precise) and/or more accurate than the corresponding HPDR. The modified method presented here formally links palatal suture obliteration to age using two different approaches, one of which (BMLR) is new to the aging literature. The BMLR provided results free from bias and more reasonable age ranges while maintaining accuracy. We present a look-up table and a free, simple R file for users to download and run their own estimates with BMLR.     

Hurdles to peace: a level-of-analysis approach to resolving Sudan’s civil wars

Why do some peace agreements end armed conflicts whereas others do not? Previous studies have primarily focused on the relation between warring parties and the provisions included in peace agreements. Prominent mediators, however, have emphasised the importance of stakeholders at various levels for the outcome of peace agreements. To match the experience of these negotiators we apply a level-of-analysis approach to examine the contextual circumstances under which peace agreements are concluded. While prominent within the causes of war literature, level-of-analysis approaches are surprisingly scant in research about conflict resolution. This article compares two Sudanese Peace Agreements: the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (2005) that ended the North–South war and led to the independence of South Sudan, and the Darfur Peace Agreement (2006) which failed to end fighting in Darfur. We find that factors at the local, national and international level explain the different outcomes of the two agreements. Hence, the two case studies illustrate the merit of employing a level-of-analysis approach to study the outcome of peace agreements. The main contribution of this article is that it presents a new theoretical framework to understand why some peace agreements terminate armed conflict whereas others do not.     

论侦查假说的三个支点

侦查假说是侦查人员在侦查破案过程中必不可少的思维方式。侦查假说具有多元性、层次性和开放性。侦查实践的终极目标是实现案件的侦破,侦查假说的正确与否决定着侦查工作的成败。侦查实践往往围绕侦查假说展开推理和论证。构建侦查假说,需要在时间层次、空间层次和人物层次之间进行综合考量,形成较完整的有关犯罪假说体系的三个支点。     

日本企业高管的薪酬水平及其未向国际高水平靠拢的原因

日本企业员工工资早在20世纪80年代就已经达到世界最高水平的情况下,企业高管年薪一直处于相对较低的水平,并没有向国际高水平靠拢,更没有向美国看齐。这与日本特有的社会意识、传统的经营思想、日本式企业制度、主流经济和民主化改革、法人所有制、没有照搬美国职务工资、董事报酬规程和高管激励机制、政府控制特殊法人CEO年薪、外资企业少以及社会舆论制约等有很大的关系。     

女性“第二轮班”现象真的存在吗 —— 基于女性教育、职业和收入特征的实证研究

本研究借助国家统计局和妇女联合会的调查数据,对比了中国不同性别城镇劳动者在有酬劳动 时间和家务劳动时间分配上的差异特征,并利用面板数据模型验证了影响女性群体时间选择偏好的主要因素。 结果表明,在中国女性城镇劳动力者中,显著存在着“第二轮班”现象,即不仅参与有酬劳动,而且负担了很 大比重的无酬家务劳动。同时,教育、职业和收入等因素对不同性别劳动者时间分配有一定程度的影响。     

Direct democracy and subjective regime legitimacy in Europe

While much research focuses on the causes and consequences of direct democracy and regime legitimacy, little attention has been paid to the potential relationship between them. In an attempt to fill this void, this paper focuses on the legal provisions for direct democracy and its use. The key argument is that possibilities for the public’s direct involvement reflect high importance given to citizens, openness of the regime towards different modes of decision-making, and ways to avoid unpopular institutions. Consequently, citizens are likely to accept and support the regime, improving or maintaining its legitimacy. The cross-national analysis includes 38 European countries ranging from transition countries to established democracies. It uses bivariate statistical analysis and country-level data collected from legislation, secondary sources, and aggregate surveys.     

氧化还原机制在中医体质研究中的应用

[摘要]氧化还原平衡体现了阴阳平衡思想,氧化还原机制与体质学基本原理及体质三级预防理念有着相似之处,氧化还原机制的多样性研究为体质分类研究提供了切入点。对不同体质的人群进行氧化还原状态检测,一方面可诠释体质理论的科学内涵,另一方面可为“治未病”提供可供参考的指标体系。     

法治层次观照下的法律语言发展完善

法律语言与法律文化的关系密不可分。法律语言的完善程度是法律文化是否成熟的重要标志。法治是有层次的，法律语言必须具有多种特征才能与之相适应。法律语言需要进一步发展完善，立法语言应在准确、严谨的基础上，尽量简明、平实；司法文书写作风格要多样化并增强其内容的说理性；法制宣传要关注民众需求，注重宣传的实效。这是法治层次论对法律语言发展完善的客观要求。     

地市级行政学院教师执教能力的构成及培养

新的培训形势下，地市级行政学院在师资队伍建设方面普遍存在着教师对“教什么”、“怎么教”无所适从、教师知识结构老化固化等五类问题。导致这些问题的主要原因在于：教学内容开发能力、教学方法创新能力、教学技能驾驭能力和教学工具适应能力不足。在教师执教能力结构中，教学内容开发能力是核心成分，教学方法创新能力是权变成分，教学技能驾驭能力是必要成分，教学工具适应能力是辅助成分，分别可以通过教研咨一体化、培训对象研究、导师帮带制度和教学优化设计等途径和方式加以强化培养。