警察心率变异性非线性分析的研究

运用北京豪峰数码娱乐科技有限公司与美国心脏数理研究所合作开发的生理相干与自主平衡系统(Self-generate Physiological Coherence System,SPCS)提供的协调指数、稳定指数、评价分数等指标,对140名刚参加公安工作的新警和260名有公安工作经历的在职警察的HRV进行非线性分析,在检测警种岗位差异对警察精神负荷的影响上,指标具有敏感性,并且随着公安工作时间的延长,指标的敏感性加强。     

美国警务新模式——Compstat模式简述

Compstat模式是美国警务的新模式,自应用之日起,Compstat模式就在打击犯罪和维护治安方面取得了巨大的成功。从Compstat模式的概念、构成原则、构成要素及其优缺点等层面对这种模式加以分析、研究,对我国现代警务模式的建立有一定的借鉴意义。     

人民币汇率制度与我国金融危机的防范

现行人民币汇率制度名义上是一种有管理的浮动汇率制度,但实际上属于"软"钉住美元的汇率制度,具有自身难以克服的内在缺陷,已对我国经济产生许多不利影响,而且容易诱发金融危机。为防范金融危机在我国出现,我国急需完善现行人民币汇率的市场化形成机制。     

社会问题与教育转型——试论民国时期的学生就业困难(1912—1937)

中国新式学校教育开始于清末,1905年科举制度的废除使它随即成为国家主要制度性教育,毕业生逐渐增多,此系中国教育的重大变革。然而到了民国时期各级各类学校毕业生都遇到了严重的就业困难,表现为毕业生的低就业率和已就业者的职业困境,构成了一个新的教育和社会问题。而这与清末和民国时期的中国教育转型有极大的关系,这种转型是受外部因素影响的急剧变革,该变革使社会的受教育者就业模式快速解体,短时间内天然地导致了学生就业困难。所以如果我们能够把中国的学生就业问题,放在一百年来中国社会改革的过程中来看待,将有助于我们更为客观地理解这个问题。     

关于国有商业银行履行资本供给职能的探讨

国有商业银行在目前的产权结构、经营环境等条件下 ,很难履行资本供给职能 ,因而亟须对各国有商业银行进行产权改革 ,并进行利率市场化改革 ,以改善国有商业银行的经营环境和理顺其经营行为。     

International cooperation in exchange‐rate management: Coordination of U.S. and Japanese intervention, 1977–1990

What are the determinants of international cooperation in exchange‐rate management? To answer this question, coordination of foreign exchange intervention by the United States and Japan from 1977 to 1990 is analyzed. An examination of the data raises two empirical puzzles: (1) Why do the periods of active intervention and high cooperation coincide?; (2) Why does Japan intervene unilaterally more often than the United States? Some hypotheses drawn from various theories of cooperation are tested, but none of them receive strong support. Instead, intervention volume and learning by U.S. administrations account for the variance in coordination. These findings resolve the two puzzles: (1) The periods of active intervention are the time of high need for cooperation; (2) Japan is obliged to intervene unilaterally while the United States is learning to cooperate.     

Establishing Likelihood Ratios for Patterned Garment Comparisons from Seam Measurement Data,

It is often challenging to ascribe an objective measure of confidence for identifications based on surveillance imagery from a crime scene. The present work seeks to address this deficiency in the case of garment comparison evidence by developing a quantitative method for establishing a conservative lower bound on the likelihood ratio (LR) for identifications involving patterned garments. The method is based on statistical analysis of pattern offset measurements taken from a sample of garments of the same type (manufacturer, style, and size) as the seized evidence. The developed analysis framework was demonstrated on different types of garments over a range of modeled surveillance imaging scenarios with variable image quality; the lower bounds on the LRs ranged from approximately 10–1 to over 400–1. The statistical model was tested and validated through a large‐scale empirical study involving both simulated and human observer‐performed garment comparisons.     

An Impulse Response Function for Corporate Taxes in Barbados

For many years, corporate taxes have been an important source of Government revenue in Barbados. The variables, namely, rate of corporate tax, real income and the rate of interest were selected when applying an impulse response function to the model for corporate taxes. The function revealed the following results after respective new equilibria were attained: First, corporate taxes would contract if the rate of corporate tax had experienced an upward shock. Second, corporate tax inflows would rise sharply from an upward shock to real income. Finally, an upward shock to the rate of interest would result in a steep contraction in corporate taxes.