Social Media Influence on Diplomatic Negotiation: Shifting the Shape of the Table

Social media is changing not only the atmosphere in which international negotiations take place; it is also changing the very substance of the deals. Because of the pace and proliferation of social media, negotiators must read “weak signals” early on—and anticipate a quickly organized, highly motivated opposition. However, diplomatic negotiators still lack the tools to engage in this sort of anticipatory strategy design. This article examines two recent cases, one involving the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership and the other involving a German Constitutional Court’s ruling on the European Central Bank’s Public Debt Purchasing Program, in which social media had a highly disruptive, unanticipated impact on international negotiations—to the point of forcing negotiators’ hands—and suggests institutional remedies to better anticipate the catalytic impact of advancing technology on diplomatic interactions.     

东盟自由贸易区与东盟合作机制--东盟合作机制变迁的社会学考察

东盟自由贸易区建设使东盟合作机制具有了越来越多的正式色彩.这种变化并不是事先刻意而为的,而是为解决协议不执行问题、通过讨价还价逐渐演化而成的.东盟国家之所以没有一味地固守其传统的合作特性,而是有所变化,主要是因为作为一种经济合作安排,东盟自由贸易区不仅关系到东盟国家的经济增长和政治安全,也关系到东盟作为整体在国际上的信誉.     

Zwischen Kultur und Kalkül? Vertrauen und Sozialkapital im Kontext der neoinstitutionalistischen Wende

Trust and social capital work in social networks as informal institutions, favouring cooperation between the participants of such social interaction. However, the increasing use of both terms has been accompanied by vanishing conceptual and theoretical precision. In order to counterbalance this development this article tries to clarify some of the major puzzles connected with both terms. First, we embed trust and social capital within the institutionalist turn in political science. Second however, we demonstrate that trust and social capital have been modelled from at least two perspectives: sociological institutionalism and economic institutionalism. Furthermore, attempts of combining those approaches have lead to decreasing theoretical consistency. Finally, we propose that economic institutionalism is theoretically and empirically more fruitful to explain the creation and destruction of social capital.     

Gender and Disorder Specific Criminal Career Profiles in Former Adolescent Psychiatric In-Patients

A Norwegian nation-wide sample of 1087 former adolescent psychiatric in-patients, 584 males and 503 females, were followed up 15–33 years after first hospitalization. On the basis of detailed hospital records from index hospitalization all were rediagnosed according to DSM-IV. The patient list was linked to the national criminal register and the diagnostic groups were compared as to gender-specific frequency of registered criminality. Next, the criminal career characteristics were compared in those with criminal records at follow-up, relative to mental disorder at index hospitalization. The prevalence of registered criminality, both overall and for specific types of crimes, differed significantly between diagnostic groups and between genders. In both genders criminal convictions were most frequent in disruptive behavior disorders and personality disorders. Among males, the lowest violent crime rate was observed in those with psychotic disorders. Males had more severe criminal careers than females, both quantitatively and qualitatively. The diagnoses and criminal profiles of the 10 most active criminals in the study sample were described closer, as were the 11 individuals found guilty of homicide.     

论江泽民的和谐观

江泽民同志以马克思主义唯物辩证法为指导,批判地吸收中国传统文化遗产,提出了一种崭新的、比较系统的、以"社会和谐"、"人与自然的和谐"、"国际力量的和谐"为核心内容的和谐观.     

谈宗教因素对恐怖主义的影响

宗教因素对恐怖主义的影响由来已久。近年来,宗教问题与恐怖主义经常纠缠在一起,构成对人类和平与安全的严重威胁。文章通过研究宗教史上恐怖主义活动的基本情况,试图消除宗教恐怖主义,发挥宗教社会功能,为人类和平与发展服务。     

社会基本矛盾运动原理的科学内涵--从协同动力学的观点看

唯物史观关于社会基本矛盾运动的原理,是与协同动力学原理相一致的社会动力学理论.在术语上,唯物史观中的生产力和生产关系、经济基础和上层建筑等概念,分别与协同动力学中的竞争、协同、动力学模式和序参量等概念密切相关.在原理上,生产力决定生产关系、经济基础决定上层建筑的原理,以及生产关系对生产力、上层建筑对经济基础具有反作用的原理,揭示了社会有机体系统内部大量子系统运动状态与系统序参量互动的伺服过程.     

论社会治安防控体系建设

构建社会治安防控体系是一个全新的课题。本文系统论述了社会治安防控体系的概念与基本特征;分析了社会治安防控体系产生的时代背景;提出了社会治安防控体系建设的总体目标:论证了社会治安防控体系建设的基本原理;阐述了当前公安机关构建社会治安防控体系应重点解决的问题。     

论社会治安防控体系的概念、属性及结构模式

社会治安防控体系是指公安机关依据系统论，运用社会控制理论和系统工程方法，整合内部警力与社会资源，以社区警务为基础，以全时空巡逻防控为基本勤务方式，以刑侦防控为首要环节，形成统一指挥、互相配合、信息共享、协调运转，集打击、防范、管理、控制、服务等多种功能为一体，能对社会治安实施综合控制的警务工作系统。其基本属性是系统论，表现在整体性、层次性与开放性三个方面。社会治安防控体系的结构模式可归结为北京模式、廊坊模式和昆明模式三类。