Weak states and uneven pluralism: lessons from Mali and Kyrgyzstan

We argue that certain important democratic practices and elements of pluralism are lasting features of political systems in many poor countries. Because of state weakness, such arrangements work to the benefit of both elites and citizens. The broader citizenry and civil society enjoy significant political freedoms and greater access to foreign aid. Elites tolerate these limited civil liberties and regular elections because they produce few costly consequences due to state incapacity. We evaluate this theory of ‘uneven pluralism’ in poor countries using evidence from a paired comparison of Mali and Kyrgyzstan. These two countries have experienced significant political turbulence, but on balance have shown a persistent and robust commitment to a free press, transparent elections, and respect for freedom of association. Our theory suggests that uneven pluralism is likely to continue in countries like Mali and Kyrgyzstan, even as significant limits on judicial independence, persistent corruption, and lack of government transparency make democratic consolidation unlikely.     

Isotopic analogs as internal standards for quantitative GC/MS analysis--molecular abundance and retention time difference as interference factors

The following analyte/isotope-labeled internal standard (IS) systems are adapted to further study the interference phenomenon previously reported from our laboratory--the intensity ratio of the ion-pair designated for a specific analyte/2H-analog system increases as the solvent used to reconstitute the extraction/derivatization residue is increased: (a) Three analyte/2H-analog pairs with 2H-atoms positioned at allylic sites (butalbital, secobarbital, methohexital); (b) Two analyte/2H-analog pairs without these structural features (pentobarbital, phenobarbital); and (c) Two analyte/13C-analog pairs (butalbital, secobarbital). Major experimental parameters adapted in this study include: (a) Varying reconstitution solvent volume while keeping a constant analyte/IS concentration ratio; (b) Varying analyte/IS concentration ratio; (c) Varying gas chromatograph (GC) injection port temperature; and (d) Varying GC column temperature programming conditions, rendering difference in the degree of overlap of the peaks derived from the analyte and the 2H-analog. This study results in the following observations: (a) Changes in the intensity ratio of the ion-pair designated for a specific analyte/2H-analog system depend on molecular abundance, regardless of whether the 2H-atoms are positioned at active allylic positions or not--thus, ruling out hydrogen/deuterium exchange as the cause of the observed interference phenomenon; (b) Variations in GC injection port temperature do not alter the observed interference phenomenon-thus, ruling out chemical reactions at the injection port as the underlying cause; (c) Variations in peak-overlapping between the analyte and the 2H-analog, facilitated by changing GC column programming conditions, alter the observed interference phenomenon. Abundance of the analyte and the 2H-analog and their overlapping characteristic in the mass spectrometer ion source are believed to be the underlying cause of the observed interference phenomenon. The interference phenomenon observed for a specific analyte/2H-analog system has significant consequences on the linearity of the thereby generated calibration curves. Nonlinear approaches can better describe the calibration data and are needed more in comparison to systems in which 13C-analogs are used as the ISs.     

Statistical Modeling of the Case Information From the Ohio Attorney General's Sexual Assault Kit Testing Initiative

The Ohio Attorney General's Sexual Assault Kit (SAK) Testing Initiative has resulted in nearly 14,000 kits being processed since the initiation of the project in 2012. A logistic regression model was fit to the data from 2500 SAKs in order to determine the probability of obtaining at least one Combined DNA Index System (CODIS) eligible DNA profile based on a number of predictor variables. The probability of obtaining at least one CODIS eligible DNA profile from an SAK varied as a function of (i) days to kit collection following a sexual assault; (ii) years to kit submission to the laboratory for testing following kit collection; (iii) the age of the victim; and (iv) the occurrence of victim‐reported consensual sex around the time of the assault and/or kit collection. These findings demonstrate the utility of the statistical modeling of data obtained from the “forklift” testing approach of sexual assault kits.